mreaves Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:15 PM, dryslot said: 12z Euro is pretty zoinked this run, Definitely came north. Expand Ooh Dryslot is back. That can only mean good things for the northerners. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2024 Author Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:00 PM, Spanks45 said: With a pasty snow and mid February sunshine, water will be pouring down rainspouts after the temps spike to 40...steam rising from the blacktop. Down here it will be done by 10 am, sun by noon Expand Doubt it will be that mild... but if the sun did come out in time, yeah ... steam dogs on sunny sides of roof tops. But it may also be breezier than we think. This this thing's heading below 980 mb prior to 70 W so there may be a bit of wind for a couple of hours as this is ending, too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:08 PM, WeatherX said: Wheels have come off the SOP crew train for this one. It was fun while it lasted though, basically 3 1/2 days notice for yet another failure. Expand Disagree 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just get me double digits...no JP fetish here. Expand Who hacked Ray's Tandy? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:50 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Doubt it will be that mild... but if the sun did come out in time, yeah ... steam dogs on sunny sides of roof tops. But it may also be breezier than we think. This this thing's heading below 980 mb prior to 70 W so there may be a bit of wind for a couple of hours as this is ending, too. Expand Hope so...although I like having my solar panels void of snow for obvious reasons. Its getting to the point down here at least, you almost need to start with...back in the day we actually had to shovel and snow blow our snow. Now just let the sun and warmth work it's magic, since 2022 at least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:11 PM, Spanks45 said: Not too worried....I actually received my first seed order today, so at this point I could go either way. Garden time soon....Lots of outdoor work to get done this Spring as well, so earlier the better. However, I still love how snow makes even the oldest folk act and feel like kids, so if it snows, awesome if it doesn't, time to start the spring work early.... Expand I quoted the wrong post…i meant to quote the one where you said the sun would be out at 10am. But I get what you’re saying. I guess my point was, I think we’re in a pretty good spot at the moment. GFS was very nice. So was Euro, and so was the EPS. Let’s just enjoy this, and see what happens. If it ends up sucking, we’re used to it from the last two yrs lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:53 PM, Spanks45 said: Hope so...although I like having my solar panels void of snow for obvious reasons. Its getting to the point down here at least, you almost need to start with...back in the day we actually had to shovel and snow blow our snow. Now just let the sun and warmth work it's magic, since 2022 at least... Expand I don’t think it gets to warm after it ends… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:27 PM, Damage In Tolland said: We looking at typical upper 20’s temps for this? Expand I think eventually (esp interior) but the first 2-4 hours might be pasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:51 PM, Kitz Craver said: Disagree Expand I think if you are 5-10 miles north of the CT Coast, no need to worry. Unless there are more ML moves north or the system decides to "attenuate". I live on the coast of CT so my posts my seem alarmist lol. I know how it rolls NOM (north of merritt). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:38 PM, Typhoon Tip said: I agree with Ray. This is a rather impressive analog just on the scratch surface appeal, between the ICON/Euro blend ( or just Euro below), vs Dec 9 2005. Both events moving swiftly... right down to the sun set likely visible in the evening of this one, just like that one back whence. I mean the NCEP Library version (left) may as well be one of the present Euro ensemble members of today - Expand Just about what I gather for max snowfall, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:57 PM, WeatherX said: I think if you are 5-10 miles north of the CT Coast, no need to worry. Unless there are more ML moves north or the system decides to "attenuate". I live on the coast of CT so my posts my seem alarmist lol. I know how it rolls NOM (north of merritt). Expand Oh, ok… gotcha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:21 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Expand Two more runs and we’ve got the north of pikerte 2 through Jeff special I’ve been expecting On 2/9/2024 at 6:26 PM, CoastalWx said: That thing is hauling east. Expand Hours and hours…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:56 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think eventually (esp interior) but the first 2-4 hours might be pasty. Expand Let’s see if we can keep it all pretty pasty . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 8:14 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s see if we can keep it all pretty pasty . Expand 50⁰ on Sunday foot on Monday then it's winter again. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:55 PM, WinterWolf said: I don’t think it gets to warm after it ends… Expand Yup. That’s a good airmass working it’s way into the system. temps stay below freezing after it departs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:53 PM, Spanks45 said: Hope so...although I like having my solar panels void of snow for obvious reasons. Its getting to the point down here at least, you almost need to start with...back in the day we actually had to shovel and snow blow our snow. Now just let the sun and warmth work it's magic, since 2022 at least... Expand given that we are going into mid Feb sun angle should melt it off within a day or two especially if they're black like most of them... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:09 PM, MJO812 said: We are in a good spot now. This isn't going to go way further north . South shore of SNE should be good. Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 it'd be nice to have the airmass that follows this system in place before it gets here for a change, looks like another toe the line temp system, and it's moving, so ceiling ain't too high here, maybe a bit east up through ORH will be better, ALY is weary with pops at this time, don't blame em, within 4 days and still very flip floppy, at least something is there to track... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Weird looking evolution on the NAM... Almost if it is trying to get the nrn stream to move faster to act like a phaser to my eyes, damn near did at hr84Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2024 Author Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 8:43 PM, Prismshine Productions said: Weird looking evolution on the NAM... Almost if it is trying to get the nrn stream to move faster to act like a phaser to my eyes, damn near did at hr84 Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand It's a tad more amplified ... but as far as stream interaction it's about right on queue from the previous/extrapolation - it's a partial deal. The N/stream is sagging and that "tips" the flow more n out ahead ...which lifts the everything in latitude. This is would probably go on to being a somewhat more prolific impact at least to NYC/CT/RI as a guesstimate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 8:43 PM, Prismshine Productions said: Weird looking evolution on the NAM... Almost if it is trying to get the nrn stream to move faster to act like a phaser to my eyes, damn near did at hr84 Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Expand That would be a SoP crusher. Doesn’t mean much but at least it is not tickling PF’s fanny…yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 8:52 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That would be a SoP crusher. Doesn’t mean much but at least it is not tickling PF’s fanny…yet. Expand Hes currently sitting quietly, high on his picnic table perch, looking down at the SOP peeps, wiggling his fingers together like Mr Burns 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 8:52 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That would be a SoP crusher. Doesn’t mean much but at least it is not tickling PF’s fanny…yet. Expand That’s a fat PV to the north. It’s not going to rip inland with that setup. There’s def a northern limit. The goal posts are prob like dendrite to south coast right now for the meat of the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 9:08 PM, ORH_wxman said: That’s a fat PV to the north. It’s not going to rip inland with that setup. There’s def a northern limit. The goal posts are prob like dendrite to south coast right now for the meat of the snow. Expand The 18z ICON has stronger confluence so far, but that 12z run was zonked so no surprise EDIT; Still pretty zonked lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 big hit on the Icon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Wow, didn't think I would break 50 today(Davis home station), not ready for spring yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 lock that run in please 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:09 PM, MJO812 said: We are in a good spot now. This isn't going to go way further north . South shore of SNE should be good. Expand Why do you do this to yourself? On 1/1/2024 at 6:46 AM, MJO812 said: There is a limit to how far north this can go because of the ridge breaking down out west and the blocking to the north. Going to be an interesting week Expand On 2/26/2023 at 2:48 AM, MJO812 said: There is a limit to how far north this can go Expand On 2/19/2021 at 4:17 PM, MJO812 said: Gfs comes north with the storm for next Friday. The PV is right over the lakes. The storm can't come further north due to the confluence over Maine. Expand On 12/14/2020 at 1:20 PM, MJO812 said: Its amazing how everyone was saying how this storm can't come north because of the confluence and here we are , models are coming north. Expand 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 kuchie 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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