Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Smilin

[masonwoods]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Looks like the ICON.

Any worry this isn't done coming in more N/NW?

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, masonwoods said:

Any worry this isn't done coming in more N/NW?

Enough to not get the best snows, sure...but I don't think to the point where I get really skunked.

[jbenedet]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

A partial phase sooner works too, A full phaser would be to much of a good thing.

This.

[Torch Tiger]

Not sure it was discussed earlier, RGEM looks a bit more amped than the GGEM @ 84hr.  But nothing like the gfs which has a much more mature mid-level and sfc low at that point.  I know JV model especially at that range, don't hate

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Enough to not get the best snows, sure...but I don't think to the point where I get really skunked.

You're in a good spot with a lot of room.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

700mb track is awful for southern CT and all of south coast, be wary of those snow maps.. Great run 84 north .. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Man, no shit ...  S+ low visibility at dawn ... sun shining by 2pm

 

[FXWX]

Could be a heck of a deformation band somewhere across south-central to northeast Mass???  Room for this to shift around in the next couple of days so anyone from northern CT north and northeast should be interested in how that shakes out.  Going to be a zone of great rates for several hours...

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

You're in a good spot with a lot of room.

Agree.

[wxsniss]

Nice to see relative stability for once this winter... Euro is now 24 hours of runs showing 6-12+ for SNE

Factors favoring positive busts include better fronto pressed against the cold, and maybe a bit more / earlier NS infusion especially for areas further north like MA/NH border into CNE (though that interaction could also keep the SS more disjointed as in yesterday GGEM runs)

Factors favoring tempering expectations include exit speed of system and warm surface temps at least at first few hours in coastal areas

[George001]

I’m getting excited about this threat

[FXWX]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

700mb track is awful for southern CT and all of south coast, be wary of those snow maps.. Great run 84 north .. 

Yep... Still decent snows but 700 in particular is not ideal for srn CT... Still wiggle room to watch...

[jbenedet]

13 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Not sure it'll mean much, if anything with this system, but toss the nam far and wide today and tomorrow. It's off the rails, not mixing the BL at all 

Eh. It bears remembering: “A butterfly flaps its wings…” small errors in the short term are amplified out in time. RE: downstream upper level heights.

 

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, George001 said:

I’m getting excited about this threat

I remember you were worried about it missing to the south. We need to fix these models. 

Hopefully we all cash in. I'm bored.

[TalcottWx]

I had joked about winter hitting on the 12th. My wife is being induced on Monday. It looks like Winter Storm Shea is a go.

[CoastalWx]

If you look at H7 RH/Temps/winds you can see by 12z Tuesday your death band is probably NW CT to ORH to Ray and just north. But man this is flying. Probably only get a few hours in the meat of it. Look at where it is at hr 90 and then again at hr 102. 
 

Usually your best bet in these is where it first develops as it elongates and develops before it matures and pivots east. Could be quite the punch from 4a to 12p across the region. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

25 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Now its time for me to visit..........

The grim reaper of SNE snow 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The grim reaper of SNE snow 

And George when he’s “excited.”

[NW_of_GYX]

Another 100cm for Cape Breton? 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

If you look at H7 RH/Temps/winds you can see by 12z Tuesday your death band is probably NW CT to ORH to Ray and just north. But man this is flying. Probably only get a few hours in the meat of it. Look at where it is at hr 90 and then again at hr 102. 
 

Usually your best bet in these is where it first develops as it elongates and develops before it matures and pivots east. Could be quite the punch from 4a to 12p across the region. 

8 hours from start to finish lol 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, NW_of_GYX said:

Another 100cm for Cape Breton? 

You beat me to it but Hazey and leo are having themselves a good one out there.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

Another 100cm for Cape Breton? 

Verbatim its 40-70" widespread up there as this storm just occludes east of there and they get Kevins actual days and days of snow..

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro looks great for a widespread 6-12” CT to Ray

[NW_of_GYX]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

You beat me to it but Hazey and leo are having themselves a good one out there.

6-10 feet in 10 days? That’s not something you see outside of the sierra or coast range. Bonkers 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

Another 100cm for Cape Breton? 

Yup lol

[HinghamBoss]

A storm of yore - regionwide 6" storm - would feel like a home run right now.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Verbatim its 40-70" widespread up there as this storm just occludes east of there and they get Kevins actual days and days of snow..

I see spots with 100+ on pivotal. Crazy.

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

6-10 feet in 10 days? That’s not something you see outside of the sierra or coast range. Bonkers 

It closes off gets stacked and occludes over Labrador for days.

[Chrisrotary12]

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Man, no shit ...  S+ low visibility at dawn ... sun shining by 2pm

 

No way. We were told snow from sundown Monday to sundown Tuesday.