Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:32 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

12/20? That was weak in most of CT iirc. 20+ north of the border though.

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Nope. It was very nice here 16” or so.  Map verified. 

[weatherwiz]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:35 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

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@dendrite can you add an angry emoji to the reaction list?

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'd sign for the EPS...don't need a JP. That said, I wonder if guidance will not be intense enough with the band or tight enough with the gradient....

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:35 AM, WinterWolf said:

Nope. It was very nice here 16” or so. 

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Expected snowfall is different then actuals though but I could be mixing up my dates. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Biggest trend to me on the EPS is tighter with the gradient up north and heavier with the band....

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:37 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Expected snowfall is different then actuals though but I could be mixing up my dates. 

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It verified Luke. You’re mixed up on this one. I edited my post and said it verified.  Was a great storm. I have pictures. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:35 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:39 AM, WinterWolf said:

It verified Luke. You’re mixed up on this one. I edited my post and said it verified.  Was a great storm. I have pictures. 

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Just checked Kevins page. Had 12.5”, not bad. But I do remember the mid level goods were north of me after the waa snows. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:42 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Just checked Kevins page. Had 12.5”, not bad. But I do remember the mid level goods were north of me after the waa snows. 

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Yes, It was very good storm here in Southington. Then Feb 1st of 21 six weeks later was excellent too. 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:22 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Bingo.

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34” at the coop 

[weathafella]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:08 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

For once trends are favorable as we get close 

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We’re not close just yet.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:45 AM, WinterWolf said:

Yes, It was very good storm here in Southington. Then Feb 1st of 21 six weeks later was excellent too. 

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2/21 was better with 16” but again, missed out on the upper echelon event. It’s maddening not being able to reach that next step. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:46 AM, weathafella said:

We’re not close just yet.

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How bout dem muthafukkas

[Torch Tiger]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:45 AM, mahk_webstah said:

34” at the coop 

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lock it

[HoarfrostHubb]

12/16/20 I had 11.5”.  Nothing to sneeze it. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:46 AM, weathafella said:

We’re not close just yet.

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We actually are 

[brooklynwx99]

less spread. got rid of the NE lows

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:45 AM, mahk_webstah said:

34” at the coop 

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All I meant was don't be surprised if we see this band make further north than expected and be a bit heavier than expected....not so much a quantitative comp.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:55 AM, brooklynwx99 said:

less spread. got rid of the NE lows

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That makes sense bc it was NNE that saw the hair cut....everywhere form about KASH points southward bumped up. KMHT points north downward...

[brooklynwx99]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:58 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That makes sense bc it was NNE that saw the hair cut....everywhere form about KASH points southward bumped up. KMHT points north downward...

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kinda nuts comparing to 06z. huge shift from a normally stable model. makes sense given the early phasing solution got thrown out 

[NoCORH4L]

Always a tough call on amounts when we're relying on the storm to make it's own cold air. 

[SnoSki14]

  On 2/9/2024 at 2:00 AM, brooklynwx99 said:

kinda nuts comparing to 06z. huge shift from a normally stable model. makes sense given the early phasing solution got thrown out 

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Confluence trends don't typically just stop once they start. More south shifts are possible. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/9/2024 at 2:00 AM, brooklynwx99 said:

kinda nuts comparing to 06z. huge shift from a normally stable model. makes sense given the early phasing solution got thrown out 

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Hopefully it finally snows in NYC....I need to get off of the mat down there.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/9/2024 at 2:06 AM, SnoSki14 said:

Confluence trends don't typically just stop once they start. More south shifts are possible. 

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The GEFS reversed a bit and the EPS mainly just trimmed sown the northern slack...I think its pretty much done.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

  On 2/9/2024 at 1:37 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Expected snowfall is different then actuals though but I could be mixing up my dates. 

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Last second had some big jumps north we were thinking 12-18”+ but verified 10” most of southern CT. 

[mahk_webstah]

  On 2/9/2024 at 2:08 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The GFS reversed a bit and the EPS mainly just trimmed sown the northern slack...I think its pretty much done.

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Yeah, but there’s two short waves involved. When do they get properly sampled? We’re still more than four days out.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/9/2024 at 2:10 AM, mahk_webstah said:

Yeah, but there’s two short waves involved. When do they get properly sampled? We’re still more than four days out.

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I'm not saying where locked and loaded, but I we are about at the nadir of that southward drip.

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/9/2024 at 2:09 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Last second had some big jumps north we were thinking 12-18”+ but verified 10” most of southern CT. 

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We had substantially more than 10” here however.  

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/9/2024 at 2:05 AM, NoCORH4L said:

Always a tough call on amounts when we're relying on the storm to make it's own cold air. 

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I don’t think that’s the case anymore…as depicted the confluence and the high pressing down, are providing some good cold. 

[40/70 Benchmark]