Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[Damage In Tolland]

EPS is nice 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

EPS is nice 

Yea it is for sure 

[Ginx snewx]

Upside down girl.you turn me inside out. Boy pick a solution any solution this morning.  From jacking Long Island to Congrats Dendrite, models are swinging more than the dancers from the pole at Tollands infamous Electric Blue. Lot o' time to sort this mess out.  Tip yea take a joke man about your threads epically failing. Save the elitist posts man. As Jane Curtin once said "Tip you ignorant slut"... lol.  LFG with the snow already 

[jaf]

6z GFS is almost a complete whiff

[MJO812]

Gefs

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Upside down girl.you turn me inside out. Boy pick a solution any solution this morning.  From jacking Long Island to Congrats Dendrite, models are swinging more than the dancers from the pole at Tollands infamous Electric Blue. Lot o' time to sort this mess out.  Tip yea take a joke man about your threads epically failing. Save the elitist posts man. As Jane Curtin once said "Tip you ignorant slut"... lol.  LFG with the snow already 

Wake and bake?

[moneypitmike]

5 minutes ago, jaf said:

6z GFS is almost a complete whiff

If it were to whiff, calls for the lawn thread would grow louder.

[EMontpelierWhiteout]

20 minutes ago, jaf said:

6z GFS is almost a complete whiff

Still too early and with a lot of model spread on amount of phasing and resulting track. I remember the days of yore when the Euro ruled in these events at this timeframe and nail biting in this case for a whiff would have been far less. NW trends in GFS as coastal events approach have been pretty reliable this year as SNE forum members know all too well. 

[CoastalWx]

Well it was in the realm of possibilities, but definitely didn’t expect a gfs whiff. Northern stream is zipping along and does not allow the nrn stream s/w to phase in.

[Ginx snewx]

42 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Wake and bake?

Was waiting for that. Been up since 3 bored at work listening to my client snore lol. I kind of like where we stand for a snowstorm 

[CoastalWx]

Yeah EPS mean looked nice. 

[UnitedWx]

6 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

MVY is awesome, its so cozy have family out there. been probably a dozen times. they got a killer christmas day miracle last year 5-10"

My family has been vacationing in Truro since 1970. We built a house there in 1982, and saw my largest positive forecast bust there Thanksgiving 1989. They called for a dusting to a couple inches and we ended up with 18! As far as this storm... the 6Z GFS seems un PHASED with our desires for snow. Lets see if this trend continues at 12Z, or if it's just bouncing around

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah EPS mean looked nice. 

 

[brooklynwx99]

i'd probably lean towards a ECMWF/UKMET blend at this point, makes the most sense. CMC looks too diffuse and rainy while the GFS is likely too far south

[CoastalWx]

Still a lot of spread there, but you can see a lot of members also still favor latitude. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Still a lot of spread there, but you can see a lot of members also still favor latitude. 

If I was Ray I would be squirming with anticipation 

[Kitz Craver]

13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

If I was Ray I would be squirming with anticipation 

I’d hate to be making a 1rst call at this juncture, tough one.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

6z GEFS has so much spread the 50th percentile is virtually nothing for everyone..  Even amount of rainers, and good hits, but more whiffs.. actually like where we are now with gfs being south and euro being north..

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Still a lot of spread there, but you can see a lot of members also still favor latitude. 

There still aren’t many that are actually hits here. Overnight runs were interesting, but I’m not sure I’d call them “good”

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Upside down girl.you turn me inside out. Boy pick a solution any solution this morning.  From jacking Long Island to Congrats Dendrite, models are swinging more than the dancers from the pole at Tollands infamous Electric Blue. Lot o' time to sort this mess out.  Tip yea take a joke man about your threads epically failing. Save the elitist posts man. As Jane Curtin once said "Tip you ignorant slut"... lol.  LFG with the snow already 

Yea, I just take the thread-fail part as ball-busting...everyone knows the deal as far as details.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

There still aren’t many that are actually hits here. Overnight runs were interesting, but I’m not sure I’d call them “good”

Really?  The 0z runs were all very good for SNE, except the Euro Op.  And their ensembles were all good too, including the EPS. What are you looking at?  
 

Now that fact doesn’t mean anything at this range, because this is still all over the place, but those 0z runs were very good for SNE. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Right now, all we know , is that it’s going to snow. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

34 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

If I was Ray I would be squirming with anticipation 

I was legitimately happy to see guidance trend south and whiff or fringe me last night...honest to God truth. Obviously its not physically impossible, but its not a large concern for me.

[jbenedet]

Pretty funny seeing these SNE weenies wanting to sell the GFS at 6z after hugging it at 0z 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Right now, all we know , is that it’s going to snow. 

 Rains to Maine by 12z.  lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

38 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i'd probably lean towards a ECMWF/UKMET blend at this point, makes the most sense. CMC looks too diffuse and rainy while the GFS is likely too far south

Man, hook me up with EPS member 34....some mood lightining would be nice, too.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, jbenedet said:

Pretty funny seeing these SNE weenies wanting to sell the GFS at 6z after hugging it at 0z 

They are both waaay too far south IMO.

[40/70 Benchmark]

27 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I’d hate to be making a 1rst call at this juncture, tough one.

I may do it tomorrow...judement call, but I would rather do it today as far as schedule goes.

[mreaves]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Man, hook me up with EPS member 34....some mood lightining would be nice, too.

37 would be a kick in the nuts for everyone.

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Gefs

The thing about those clusters....there aren't any.  Still birdshot.