Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 2/8/2024 at 2:41 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nice move back se but we’ll need it to keep coming. I’ve noticed the eps/euro likes to swing from nw to se and back nw with each cycle as it gradually swings between the goalposts. The direction of 0z will be helpful to determine if this has any legs for SoP.

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It’s kind of the unmanned fire hose 

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/7/2024 at 10:37 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yup. Nice to look at but a precarious needle threader, such an outcome is a long shot. Euro/eps would have to fail miserably too. 

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I may puke next time I read needle threader. Lol 

[MJO812]

Icon has a faster transfer than 12z

[Ginx snewx]

Spaghetti Os from 18Z EPS

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/8/2024 at 3:33 AM, Ginx snewx said:

I may puke next time I read needle threader. Lol 

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Lol. Needle threader…

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/8/2024 at 3:56 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Lol. Needle threader…

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Aren't they all..

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/8/2024 at 3:59 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Aren't they all..

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I don’t think so. Good locked in airmass equates to less threading, more wiggle room. 

[MJO812]

Gfs has more confluence so far

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

To extent though yea Steve…every event has a degree of needle threading but I think some more than others depending on airmass and other features.  

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:01 AM, MJO812 said:

Gfs has more confluence so far

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Saw that. Colder

[Snowcrazed71]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:03 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Saw that. Colder

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Hoping it keeps trending in that direction......

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/8/2024 at 3:59 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Aren't they all..

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I said this a few weeks back to that same euphemism.   Ya sure, maybe if there was lots of cold air around…then it’d be something else that screws the pooch, and folks would be saying we need to thread the needle.   Always a needle threader imo too Steve. 

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:03 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

To extent though yea Steve…every event has a degree of needle threading but I think some more than others depending on airmass and other features.  

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Yea I know just sick.of needle threader,  make 2011 great again

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:05 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Yea I know just sick.of needle threader,  make 2011 great again

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It would be nice to kick feet up, chew some gummies, and micro analyze if we get 6” or 16”…and not rain or mangled flakes at 34F.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Looks all SS again with the NS stronger with confluence and not phasing in. 

[MJO812]

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

This could be good….

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:11 AM, MJO812 said:

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Now that's a good start

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:09 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looks all SS again with the NS stronger with confluence and not phasing in. 

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  On 2/8/2024 at 4:13 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

This could be good….

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15mgs?

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:11 AM, MJO812 said:

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That looks pretty nice to me…

[cleetussnow]

[weathafella]

It’s a good start for the SoP crowd but a bad one pike north.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:13 AM, Ginx snewx said:

 

15mgs?

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10 is enough…

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:14 AM, weathafella said:

It’s a good start for the SoP crowd but a bad one pike north.

ICON held serve for NoP, GFS is just moving around in the envelope

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Typical gfs, slips east lol

[MJO812]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:15 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Typical gfs, slips east lol

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Alot of eps members and gefs had this.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

I feel more comfortable gfs being just offshore at d6.

[JKEisMan]

Canadian is a warm pos.

[WinterWolf]

Lots of shifting around to go get. 

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 2/8/2024 at 4:01 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I don’t think so. Good locked in airmass equates to less threading, more wiggle room. 

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yea just lately it seems, i can recall many many storm prior to 2021 that had plenty of wiggle room