Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one

[MJO812]

And cmc

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Wagons way up and in on the gfs, as we’ve been saying 

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS is gonna be warm and zonked. 

Would love the phasing to take place later obviously but it's great to finally see something involving a text book phase between the northern stream and southern stream. Not sure what room we have to get a later phasing, but certainly still far enough out to where that is possible, although I imagine we would want to start seeing that signal in the next day or two.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Hate that ICON only has 10:1

[CoastalWx]

Paste blizzard for Dave into SNH.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Would love the phasing to take place later obviously but it's great to finally see something involving a text book phase between the northern stream and southern stream. Not sure what room we have to get a later phasing, but certainly still far enough out to where that is possible, although I imagine we would want to start seeing that signal in the next day or two.

A later phase is never a bad bet.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

A later phase is never a bad bet.

Nope...something I'm not going to disregard as probable or possible right now. But details aside, I think where things stand right now. 

[weathafella]

Some redemption late in the event.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Paste blizzard for Dave into SNH.

Everyone yearned for March 2023 reenactment. lol

[ORH_wxman]

GFS does get crunched a bit at the last second to keep it a big paste job N of pike and inland but if that goes further north, it’s almost an inland runner. 

[CoastalWx]

Well would be a fun ending near BOS.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

A later phase is never a bad bet.

Yup…that’s been the trend the last few yrs. Lots of time to go. 

[MJO812]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

GFS does get crunched a bit at the last second to keep it a big paste job N of pike and inland but if that goes further north, it’s almost an inland runner. 

How does the primary get so far north with blocking ?

[40/70 Benchmark]

Will, does this remind you at all of December 2019?

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Hate that ICON only has 10:1

Is this bait to get met to post the ICON Kuchera?

It's so close to working.

[ORH_wxman]

25-burger for Ray on the GFS 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, MJO812 said:

How does the primary get so far north with blocking ?

What blocking.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Will, does this remind you at all of December 2019?

The snowfall distribution is kind of similar but the evolution is definitely not. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Is this bait to get met to post the ICON Kuchera?

It's so close to working.

Yea, post it....BC I think it would be a hair north of the 10:1 map.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The snowfall distribution is kind of similar but the evolution is definitely not. 

I just meant the snowfall distribution.

[CoastalWx]

Too bad another 30-40miles south and Tip's (dynamics should suffice) statement would be true. Very dynamic.

[Prismshine Productions]

Yea, post it....BC I think it would be a hair north of the 10:1 map.

I got you

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, post it....BC I think it would be a hair north of the 10:1 map.

 

[wxeyeNH]

12Z GFS  

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

I got you

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

Mine's bigger, er rather, has more resolution.

[Prismshine Productions]

 

*slowly sips my brew for once again I posted for you* XD

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[HIPPYVALLEY]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

How does the primary get so far north with blocking ?

I wouldn’t worry about it, wake me up for the 12z Friday runs.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Too bad another 30-40miles south and Tip's (dynamics should suffice) statement would be true. Very dynamic.

 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Too bad another 30-40miles south and Tip's (dynamics should suffice) statement would be true. Very dynamic.

The best PVA and energy on these 12z solutions is at the base of the southern stream trough so even on these solutions that initially run things well NW, they keep trying to crash everything SE as the system encounters a lot of compression in the flow to the east. GGEM went wild too late in the event after having the primary near ROC, though it was mostly too late for SNE outside of a few inches in the pike region northeastward….but Maine gets epically destroyed. Lol

 

 

[CoastalWx]

Need Narcan to offset this overdose of Kuchie posts.