stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Honestly, it's hard to get excited with the Euro and lesser models are not in the neighborhood of the GFS. But maybe the Euro will fold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, EHoffman said: 36 on the surface for our heaviest rates lol Wxbell shows 33° and ripping in DC at 129 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Wait a sec. 20 mins ago—GFS sucks. It’s on its own island. Now I come back in—suddenly we’re all bowing to the almighty King GooFuS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, T. August said: Wxbell shows 33° and ripping in DC at 129 I was looking at 126, where we're also ripping. But yeah sfc gets to freezing relatively quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Let's temper our expectations. The GFS is on its own with the snowy solution. CMC did shift further south, so maybe it's onto something like resolving the s/w spacing, confluence, etc. Need to see the Euro blink, though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, T. August said: Wxbell shows 33° and ripping in DC at 129 We need that NS interaction. Really energizes it. More lift, quickly intensifying low pressure = heavy precip and column cooling. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Terpeast said: Let's temper our expectations. The GFS is on its own with the snowy solution. CMC did shift further south, so maybe it's onto something like resolving the s/w spacing, confluence, etc. Need to see the Euro blink, though Someone mentioned Jan '22 and those of us north of 695 got like a quarter inch from that while you all in the beltways south basked in a legit huge snow so...my expectations are pretty damn low lol...but would so super cool for the GFS to have sniffed one out and also would be cool if it could get a ton of the forum too... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: DCA is the new snow capital of the east. Whodathunkit 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 DCA is the new snow capital of the east. WhodathunkitIt’s our winter. This one is ours. Philadelphia, NYC, and Boston wished they had our snow climo 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12 minutes ago, Scraff said: Wait a sec. 20 mins ago—GFS sucks. It’s on its own island. Now I come back in—suddenly we’re all bowing to the almighty King GooFuS. Its called latest model privilege. Pretty new colors. But much caution needed. GFS has been so bad this year. Euro is still saying congrats NE. What will 12z say? Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Those snow maps have a little bit of an 87 vibe to them, second storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 GEFS coming in hot. 12 1 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 What I'm saying to the GFS right now 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, jaydreb said: GEFS coming in hot. Triple blue'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 GEFS coming in hot. That’s an unreal shift compared to where we were 24 hours ago. Holy 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: That’s an unreal shift compared to where we were 24 hours ago. Holy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Still waiting for the median but the mean lit up like a Christmas tree 13 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 If the euro looks like the gfs, a lot of people will SHIT themselves. That was a nice run. Ggem sucks but it was like 3 million miles south of 0z 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 36 minutes ago, Heisy said: Cmc at least sped up the N/S. I want the Ukie to show something similar and then I’ll get a little excited before the euro . Strike one on the UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Strike one on the UKIE Toss it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Median… at 06z the median for DCA was 0.4” 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Either gonna be a huge score for the GFS or an epic fail . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Looks like around 55% of the 12z GEFS members gave 2" or more snow at DCA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 11 minutes ago, nj2va said: Triple blue'd. Purple! @Ji how you feel about being purpled?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Either gonna be a huge score for the GFS or an epic fail .What is its track record this winter? Euro has been more accurate than gfs, i think?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Well at least the op has ensemble support. I'd be a little more excited if the GFS has been performing better. But it's been pretty bad, so. I'd give it another 24 hours of all model runs and watch the trends closely. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: What is its track record this winter? Euro has been more accurate than gfs, i think? . Was posted yesterday it is performing worse than the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Well i shit my drawers when i saw the gfs. If the euro shows what the gfs just showed, were all gonna have to wear fucking pampers when we look at the 00z modeling lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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