Kevin Reilly Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: GEFS is looking like it’s going to follow the GFS and improve. FWIW it looked like the CMC rushes to Syracuse but gets Shunted ESE so maybe it trends tomorrow to GFS and GEFS we shall see. Euro will be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: GEFS is looking like it’s going to follow the GFS and improve. Let’s hope this is the new trend underway. I’ve had good vibes on this one for some reason. I feel like storms this year haven’t showed their hands until 4-5 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 hmmmm 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The darker blues went from SNE to something that looks much more like an I-95 snowstorm. Might be a blip - but good vibes at least briefly 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Ways to go but better. Second thread has locked in good trends. Who’s gonna be bold and risk the end of a trusted jinx.#PhillyspecialWinter 23-24, the year of the south trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The darker blues went from SNE to something that looks much more like an I-95 snowstorm. Might be a blip - but good vibes at least briefly These maps looked better than the mean and median but a significant sag south. Definitely has recaptured my attention for another few cycles. Nothing else to do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 These maps looked better than the mean and median but a significant sag south. Definitely has recaptured my attention for another few cycles. Nothing else to do Looking better than the gfs pd event lolSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Let’s hope this is the new trend underway. I’ve had good vibes on this one for some reason. I feel like storms this year haven’t showed their hands until 4-5 days out. The two storms in January moved in our direction within 48-72 hours. Pretty drastic changes too. For storm 2 most models showed 1-2” for many of us inside 36 hours and then we saw a last minute jack up to 6-7” in some areas in central MD inside 18 hours. Not out of the realm of possibility this ends up being a few inches if things continue to tick in our direction and we get a bit lucky. Why the hell not? Let’s keep the good luck rolling. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Looking better than the gfs pd event lol Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk End of GEM has some nice looking potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The two storms in January moved in our direction within 48-72 hours. Pretty drastic changes too. For storm 2 most models showed 1-2” for many of us inside 36 hours and then we saw a last minute jack up to 6-7” in some areas in central MD inside 18 hours. Not out of the realm of possibility this ends up being a few inches if things continue to tick in our direction and we get a bit lucky. Why the hell not? Let’s keep the good luck rolling. We will have a -ao and -nao for this storm Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 For reference purposes only 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 End of GEM has some nice looking potential.Not with a high in se Indiana Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 For reference purposes onlyI think icon shifted south tooSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 For reference purposes onlyAssuming 12z was a total dud? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Assuming 12z was a total dud?Def south shift on gefsSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Euro not as good, similar track but absence of colder air until storm explodes off coast. GFS holds the only promise of significant snowfall south of 40N. At this time range, not an entirely bad situation. I am seeing hints of a two-wave solution developing, that may work in your favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 hours ago, Roger Smith said: Euro not as good, similar track but absence of colder air until storm explodes off coast. GFS holds the only promise of significant snowfall south of 40N. At this time range, not an entirely bad situation. I am seeing hints of a two-wave solution developing, that may work in your favor. GEFS has had that indication for several runs, but looking at the individual members it has mostly been timing differences. WB is shittier than normal this morning so I can't look at the latest run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 WB 6Z GFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Last 4 GFS runs 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 FOLKS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 11 minutes ago, Solution Man said: FOLKS my process is the click previous run on TT zoomed in on NE US. Its moved decidedly south last five runs in such larges ticks that you could say shit's going down...that is my position on this matter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: my process is the click previous run on TT zoomed in on NE US. Its moved decidedly south last five runs in such larges ticks that you could say shit's going down...that is my position on this matter. It’s coming…get your gear ready…Short Pump May get the bullseyes at this rate. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Their pump is so damned short, it's gonna take the Virginia National Guard til September to find that pump, the snow is gonna be so deep lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Tracker needs to allow us to enlarge text in posts. I want to scream FOLKS in 12 mile high font. This is the storm. Central VA is going to get totally obliterated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6z GEFS- 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 13 hours ago, stormtracker said: Imma give it one more cycle, buts almost shit the blinds on this one I dunno man, but ok. 7 hours ago, Ji said: Where is nonstormtracker? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk My insomnia finally caught up with me. I was down at like 9:15 last night. lol. I’m just now waking up. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 A bit difficult to capture it in one 6 hour window, but you can see the spread in timing and low track among the members. The more southern track is the bigger camp. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Lol. I didn't even know there was a thread for this. I posted in the main thread but late to the party and nothing to add 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Damn these models are struggling. Last night I think I am taking a 300 mile drive north for this one, this morning, I might be staying home. Who the heck knows anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, RevWarReenactor said: Damn these models are struggling. Last night I think I am taking a 300 mile drive north for this one, this morning, I might be staying home. Who the heck knows anymore. Sir, this is a storm thread. The panic thread is two doors down. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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