stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Here's the takeway...the GFS isn't going down without a fight. Most of us thought it would fold by now 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 GFS slowly creeping north toward the rest of the guidance, which is slowly creeping south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:06 AM, stormtracker said: White rain baby Expand Subtle changes if the flow goes progressive ever so slightly east, we get hammered like 70 miles further east think we can manage that 115 hours out? Looks like a low rides to WV transfers east we would like the intial low just a bit more souther. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 I don't think it ticked south. It appeared like it would initially Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:07 AM, stormtracker said: Here's the takeway...the GFS isn't going down without a fight. Most of us thought it would fold by now Expand CMC further S too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 The salivating Loudoun Crew. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:07 AM, Deck Pic said: 33 in CLE park...you'll be good. The gradient will suck for someone Expand Since I'll be getting like a foot, you can come up to my place 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Next....on to pd3Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Pretty consistent just waffling around 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:06 AM, stormtracker said: White rain baby Expand Poor little old Georgetown. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:08 AM, DarkSharkWX said: CMC further S too Expand That's important for tonight, I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 I wanna know what the GFS is on, because it's good stuff whatever it is. It's got cooling 850 temps while warm air advection is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:08 AM, DarkSharkWX said: CMC further S too Expand Looks great! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Cmc is way further south compared to its last 2 runs, but it is a much weaker wave with zero dynamics boring rain with temps in the upper 30's to lower 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:13 AM, nj2va said: Looks great! Expand i mean it did its js a weak ass strung out wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:14 AM, Deck Pic said: you're in the game still. lol 4 days away. No wiggle room and euro says no 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Gefs way south 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:40 AM, Ji said: Gefs way south Expand Weren't you just complaining about this hobby in the other thread? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:44 AM, EHoffman said: Weren't you just complaining about this hobby in the other thread?lol like this storm is going to work out 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:52 AM, Ji said: lol like this storm is going to work out Expand Then why you posting about it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Ukmet is rockin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:57 AM, TSSN+ said: Then why you posting about it? I’m trying to enjoy the good stuff before Charlie Brown and Lucy arrive by 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:59 AM, TSSN+ said: Ukmet is rockin! That model is so bad. I don’t care what the scores say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 A lot of ensemble variation still on the storm. Some miss it completely to the south. https://ibb.co/2880jhz Usually when there's a bombing low pressure, there is a wider range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 4:40 AM, Ji said: Gefs way south Expand Not a member above the mason dixon. It is less than 5 days and it hasn’t shown a run without any snow in the ma in like 10 runs. I have never in my life seen the euro trend toward the gfs when we need it to. Maybe just maybe this will be the miracle and the euro caves here in about 30 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 5:56 AM, Stormchaserchuck1 said: A lot of ensemble variation still on the storm. Some miss it completely to the south. https://ibb.co/2880jhz Usually when there's a bombing low pressure, there is a wider range. Expand To me it looks more like variation in the timing more then anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Not sure if anyone has it faster but the low is maybe 50 miles further south at 84 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:21 AM, MDScienceTeacher said: Not sure if anyone has it faster but the low is maybe 50 miles further south at 84 hours Expand End result for the DC/Baltimore area isn’t much different from 12z, but you are correct. We are moving in the right direction, with light accumulation now showing up near PSU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:27 AM, T. August said: End result for the DC/Baltimore area isn’t much different from 12z, but you are correct. We are moving in the right direction, with light accumulation now showing up near PSU. Expand If you were in central pa the gfs and euro are pretty locked in. The only difference with the gfs is that the 850s crash a lot earlier and we get in the comma head for a few hours with some heavy/ dynamic snowfall. At this point I am thinking a day out on the slopes at liberty might be a safe bet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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