WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: Much like the OP… not a lot on the snow front but rather massive jump southward on the LP 12z EPS 6z EPS Think that’s more a function of timing. Notice how much warmer we are at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Yeah I didn't realize this obviously right after the deflating 12z op run. It does bring back the interest level for me Negligible effect for NOVA. I need to see more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, winter_warlock said: Hmm how accurate is DT? Lol Exactly 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, konksw said: Want to see Gfs further south 18z. Put us in the compromise jackpot. I’m in the bullseye on the GFS. It can stay put now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 ICON continues to cut to basically Pittsburgh before transferring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 38 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Think that’s more a function of timing. Notice how much warmer we are at 12z. I think they are inherently tied together... slower storm will likely be further south here. But don't disagree with what you are getting at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Interesting, kinda funny snippet from Mount Holly AFD on this event- A deep upper trough over the West Coast ejects into the southern Plains, and the base of the trough pinches off into a closed upper low over the Southern Plains and Gulf Coast states Sunday night. Surface low pressure develops out ahead of it and moves towards the Mid-Atlantic on Monday. This is where the models go awry. The 12Z/08 ECMWF has the low passing through southern New Jersey and Delmarva Monday night, and then the low intensifies off the New Jersey coast as the H5 trough follows behind it Tuesday morning. This system then departs Tuesday afternoon. In terms of sensible weather, the predominant ptype will be rain on Monday, changing to snow over the southern Poconos and northern New Jersey Monday night and Tuesday as colder air filters into the region behind the departing low. A plowable snow is possible for those areas, and possibly even down to the Fall Line. The surface low is faster in the 12Z/08 CMC, with rain moving into the region earlier on Monday, and has the low over eastern Long Island by Tuesday morning. The storm is then gone Tuesday afternoon before the cold air filters into the region. This results in minimal snow accumulation. The outlier, though it has been a consistent outlier, is the 12Z/08 GFS. The storm is much slower, with the low still over North Carolina and Virginia Tuesday morning, and then passes through Delmarva during the day Tuesday before departing Tuesday night. With high pressure building in from the north, cold air advection will be underway, and temperatures drop to below freezing across much of the region. This results in at least a plowable snow across much of southern New Jersey and into Delmarva. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 @stormtrackertime, let’s do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Solution Man said: @stormtrackertime, let’s do this I’m on my way to the gym homie. And i hate doing pbp on this phone. I can’t compare easily. You got this. I’ll take a look but won’t be able to quickly tell if it’s souther norther etc. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I’m on my way to the gym homie. And i hate doing pbp on this phone. I can’t compare easily. You got this. I’ll take a look but won’t be able to quickly tell if it’s souther norther etc. will keep u up to speed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I’m on my way to the gym homie. And i hate doing pbp on this phone. I can’t compare easily. You got this. I’ll take a look but won’t be able to quickly tell if it’s souther norther etc. its norther and you know it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Ji said: its norther and you know it Could be. At least its not as dry as… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 18z ICON still sucked btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Similar to 12z at 57 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 An ass hair colder at 63 vs 12z 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: An ass hair colder at 63 vs 12z Maybe two 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 NS seems slightly faster, but too early to call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Nice dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Tad bit quicker so far and thevort closes off 6 hours sooner 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Nice look at 84, still can’t tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, Wonderdog said: Nice dump. Idk if you are actually that far ahead but I'm not seeing a cave thru 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Untrained eye likes this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I think we'll like this one Similar to 06z, but with better ridging out west 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I can’t compare shit, but I’m posting from the future. The money frames are almost in reach 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, stormtracker said: I can’t compare shit, but I’m posting from the future. The money frames are almost in reach Do you say FOLKS in the future? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Gotta go pick up my daughter now... will have to rely on you guys for the pbp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 LP is a little more than a hair further north and stronger at 105 before it starts trying to transfer. Idk how much it'll matter, in all honesty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Through 102, the low is 4mb stronger on the 18z compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Stronger low pressure at 105, and just a bit more northern vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 995 in SW WV at 111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now