psuhoffman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I’ve been absent in here because the GFs has been so awful that frankly until something else joins this club I just cant get excited. That said the other guidance has kinda been trending towards it. Maybe once in a while the gfs can stumble onto the right idea. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Ok, yall....let's see what this episode of the Euro brings... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 22 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’ve been absent in here because the GFs has been so awful that frankly until something else joins this club I just cant get excited. That said the other guidance has kinda been trending towards it. Maybe once in a while the gfs can stumble onto the right idea. So weird how a brain works. I read GFs as short for “girlfriends”. Then you read your post with girlfriends in mind and it’s pretty damn funny. Ok. Back to work I go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ok, yall....let's see what this episode of the Euro brings... Anywhere even remotely close to the GFS or a nice trend to it would be phenomenal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 24 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’ve been absent in here because the GFs has been so awful that frankly until something else joins this club I just cant get excited. That said the other guidance has kinda been trending towards it. Maybe once in a while the gfs can stumble onto the right idea. I could easily see Mt. PSU getting a inches if it breaks right. Something that is hopefully a footnote to the 60"+ you rake in over the next month . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I have to post this GFS snow map.. it's probably the most accurate with regards to future trends/the current situation and all.. the max this map ever got since the GFS started showing a hit is 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Gonna be comparing to 6z until 84 hours, then it will be 0z 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I’ve been absent in here because the GFs has been so awful that frankly until something else joins this club I just cant get excited. That said the other guidance has kinda been trending towards it. Maybe once in a while the gfs can stumble onto the right idea. Remember when everything caved towards the GFS that one time in January 2022? Feel like it was a similar range. Half the forum was ready to crown the FV3 king 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 So far, no remarkable changes vs 6z, but it's super early in the game... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Seeing some subtle changes...southern sw is a bit more southwester than 6z.... by 60 hours is pretty evident and slightly more separation between the northern and southern wave 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 hour ago, EHoffman said: 36 on the surface for our heaviest rates lol I would not worry about it too much. We have seen thunder snow with these types of setups in the past.. as long as we get the rates I am pretty sure the cold air aloft will mix down 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Differences are a bit more apparent at 75...northern streamer is out a head a little bit more and southern streamer is back to the southwest a little more 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Differences are a bit more apparent at 75...northern streamer is out a head a little bit more and southern streamer is back to the southwest a little moreIt looks pretty GFS like, toggling back and forth between the two. Maybe even a little souther than GFS w/ the southern streamer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 81 hours nothern streamer is ahead by a good bit vs 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 ok, gonna switch to comparing it to 0z.....as you know 6z only goes to 90, so we're past that time period...and again, the northern streamer movement is pretty significant vs 6z 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Don't know if it's just slower, but the s/w in the south is a tad bit souther....still too early to call. So I won't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 This is going way too slow. I feel like this is the most important run of the season so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I think I safely say that it won't be like the GFS. Also rain gets in faster vs GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 ok, gonna switch to comparing it to 0z.....as you know 6z only goes to 90, so we're past that time period...and again, the northern streamer movement is pretty significant vs 6zPast 81 or so you can tell the GFS is holding a lot more energy back. Its a shift in the right direction though, you’d think 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The Euro isn't buying what the GFS is selling 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Past 81 or so you can tell the GFS is holding a lot more energy back. Its a shift in the right direction though, you’d think That's something to note though since normally (correct me if I'm wrong folks), the Euro has a tendency to hold back S/S energy more so than other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 LOL, the gfs just starts to get going at 9z Tuesday and the Euro has the thing north of us about to exit stage right 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Well, that was anti climatic. Mt PSU has a trace on this run. GFS should cave at 18z/0z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well, that was anti climatic. Mt PSU has a trace on this run. GFS should cave at 18z/0z Agreed, but what if it doesn't? The Euro definitely went more in the direction of the GFS from the last 2 runs. Problem is, meeting in the middle is no dice for us. It would have to mainly be GFSesque. Could always kill this thread and then the new thread will help the GFS score the coup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Well, that was anti climatic. Mt PSU has a trace on this run. GFS should cave at 18z/0zIdk man… toggling it back from 00z it was a pretty big jump. Kinda looks like it’s behind the GFS by 2 cycles. Maybe they meet in the middle and we get screwed. But maybe the GFS isn’t done moving yet and the middle is OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 DT yesterday said there was no way the MidAtlantic would get snow next week. So…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Idk man… toggling it back from 00z it was a pretty big jump. Kinda looks like it’s behind the GFS by 2 cycles. Maybe they meet in the middle and we get screwed. But maybe the GFS isn’t done moving yet and the middle is OK Damn, that's awesome. We said basically the same thing lmao 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Idk man… toggling it back from 00z it was a pretty big jump. Kinda looks like it’s behind the GFS by 2 cycles. Maybe they meet in the middle and we get screwed. But maybe the GFS isn’t done moving yet and the middle is OK Agreed, I think that was a decent enough shift. There’s even been shifts within 100 hours that have been meaningful this winter with our last two events so I don’t think anyone can confidently say they know the final outcome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: Agreed, I think that was a decent enough shift. There’s even been shifts within 100 hours that have been meaningful this winter with our last two events so I don’t think anyone can confidently say they know the final outcome. If you go back to 12z yesterday it is a huge shift in the right direction so I am happy with this. What we can’t have is the 2 meeting in the middle.. so we basically have 0 wiggle room and are relying on the euro to continue its shift. Fun times for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 10 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: DT yesterday said there was no way the MidAtlantic would get snow next week. So…. And we have this going for us. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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