paulythegun Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 3k NAM (through 60 hours) is some combination of faster and/or further northeast of GFS. pretty good distance too. 12k NAM is like a half a day faster ahead with the whole system through 84. for what that's worth (literally nothing. negative information in fact) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Well here we go...either the elation or deflation run of the GFS... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Will 12z cause a thread closure? Will one reopen? Will that bring us to the promise land? Stay tuned 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Nothing remarkable so far...but we're only at hour 27 so.... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Carbon copy of 6z so far...at hour 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2024 Author Share Posted February 9, 2024 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Nothing remarkable so far...but we're only at hour 27 so.... I thought it looked a little better at 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Carbon copy of 6z so far...at hour 48 H5 at 48 you can see that the SE ridge is stronger. It is just barely... but we cannot even have barely at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 No really big changes so far...slightly warmer out front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 When I say no changes, I mean anything remarkable that will change the outcome. There are some ass hair changes here and there, but nothing really remarkable so far 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: When I say no changes, I mean anything remarkable that will change the outcome. There are some ass hair changes here and there, but nothing really remarkable so far Yeah but the SW is more north over TX/OK on the H5 at 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 So now there's a northern stream vort that's in a different position vs 6z...more SE..looks slightly stronger also 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Bet this comes farther N because GFS finally caved to other data and shows more interaction with the tpv lobe. Almost acts like a seesaw to swing it N . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 It's a tad warmer and looks like probably a hold from 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 So now there's a northern stream vort that's in a different position vs 6z...more SE..looks slightly stronger alsoThat lobe is killing us. The runs from 00z and before kept it separate. Finally 6z caved and phases it a bit and it’s swinging the main low farther N . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Yeah, we're cooked on this run. Same as 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's a tad warmer and looks like probably a hold from 6z Yeah... we need to watch the NS now... seems like more interaction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Central PA is getting crushed. Fucking PA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Better visible here. Look at the angle of the confluence. All because that darn piece diving in faster. Really annoyingly that close . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Not sure how we get this one back yall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Central PA is getting crushed. Fucking PA Not really surprised. The heights are the exact same from the 6z to 12z at 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Not sure how we get this one back yall Not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Yeah, we're shut out. Even Philly gets in on the action. And fuck NYC..it'll prob be warm there, so their gonna lose some of that accumulation on the models...like 8-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 It's ok. This wasn't our storm anyway. Gotta look on the bright side. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 That clown map is the stuff of nightmares for our M/D crew... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Meanwhile the GGEM took a huge jump slower and stronger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Not sure how we get this one back yall Only with further push of confluence and maybe the shortwave digging more back in the southwest. Other than that, the north trend has only begun, I'd think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Crazy how close that was from being better, has a lot to do with that tpv lobe and northern influence popping in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Just now, WxUSAF said: Meanwhile the GGEM took a huge jump slower and stronger Not surprised given the RGEM at 12z late in its run. Can we close and reopen just to end our 100% win rate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdood Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 I feel like the last two storms had one or two off runs then came back... but this has an overall different feel to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Meanwhile the GGEM took a huge jump slower and stronger and still misses us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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