ravensrule Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 On 2/8/2024 at 10:08 PM, stormtracker said: Better for norther folks accumulation wise. Def drier tho. I lost like 8”. Shut up RR Expand Trust me, even in that scenario you wouldn’t have any difficulties finding suitable dates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Judging from the trends, the slower this system is the better it is for us. Faster means warmer in this case. Not sure which way this is going to eventually break, but I don’t like being on the southern 1/3 of the snow area. Learned that lesson on Jan 7 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 On 2/8/2024 at 10:29 PM, high risk said: It always warms my heart to see the snow depth maps posted here, but this is not the type of event for which they do well. They limit accumulation when surface temps and soil are warm, and they'll never capture the ability of heavy rates to overcome marginal thermodynamics. I'd probably either average the 10:1 and snow depth products or mentally adjust the 10:1 maps downward. Kuchera maps might be good too - I hate how generous they are with colder temps, but they seem to properly limit accumulations when the temperature is marginal. Expand Don't forget the increasing sun angle between 10:30 am and 2:30 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 On 2/8/2024 at 10:59 PM, Terpeast said: Judging from the trends, the slower this system is the better it is for us. Faster means warmer in this case. Not sure which way this is going to eventually break, but I don’t like being on the southern 1/3 of the snow area. Learned that lesson on Jan 7Already trending faster no? Most recent gfs is catching up w the euro. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 On 2/8/2024 at 8:51 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Think that’s more a function of timing. Notice how much warmer we are at 12z. Expand Bro. I shit all over this threat and it appears I will fail badly. You need to start all storm threads going forward. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2024 Author Share Posted February 8, 2024 On 2/8/2024 at 11:36 PM, clskinsfan said: Bro. I shit all over this threat and it appears I will fail badly. You need to start all storm threads going forward. Expand Haha DD wants to close it, so I must not be doing all that well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Most important 18z EPS Control run in history rolling out soon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 On 2/8/2024 at 11:36 PM, clskinsfan said: Bro. I shit all over this threat and it appears I will fail badly. You need to start all storm threads going forward. Expand The Washington DC Metropolitan Region will get obliterated by snow just as surely as Bruce Lee obliterates this chump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 On 2/8/2024 at 10:59 PM, Terpeast said: Judging from the trends, the slower this system is the better it is for us. Faster means warmer in this case. Not sure which way this is going to eventually break, but I don’t like being on the southern 1/3 of the snow area. Learned that lesson on Jan 7 Expand This is a good post. I need to know what I'm looking for during pbp. Slower....northern stream out front...separation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 @brooklynwx99 in the NE forum said the 90h 18z Euro looks more GFS like than previous runs. compressed flow making the vector of the h5 energy pretty similar since the Euro has it W-E and the GFS has WSW-ENE. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/8/2024 at 11:45 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Haha DD wants to close it, so I must not be doing all that well Expand Cant even think about closing a thread when this is 120 out. Straight up porn. At least out here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/8/2024 at 11:45 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Haha DD wants to close it, so I must not be doing all that well Expand I don’t really trust me it was all just in spirit of the 2 thread 100% success rate. Let’s win at 0z and not ever need a 2nd thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 12:24 AM, DDweatherman said: @brooklynwx99 in the NE forum said the 90h 18z Euro looks more GFS like than previous runs. compressed flow making the vector of the h5 energy pretty similar since the Euro has it W-E and the GFS has WSW-ENE. Expand Nice. I want confirmation from @Deck Pic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 12:31 AM, nw baltimore wx said: Nice. I want confirmation from @Deck Pic Expand i love brooklynwx but he is the optimistic weatherman i have ever met 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 12:41 AM, Ji said: i love brooklynwx but he is the optimistic weatherman i have ever met Expand Like the complete opposite of erswxman who was a complete mess a couple years ago. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 12:42 AM, DDweatherman said: Like the complete opposite of erswxman who was a complete mess a couple years ago. Expand oh my gosh what happened to that guy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 12:50 AM, Ji said: oh my gosh what happened to that guy? Expand He pops in when the rug is pulled to troll 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 12:24 AM, DDweatherman said: @brooklynwx99 in the NE forum said the 90h 18z Euro looks more GFS like than previous runs. compressed flow making the vector of the h5 energy pretty similar since the Euro has it W-E and the GFS has WSW-ENE. Expand I've seen it and he's right. I didn't comment because it stops at 90 and I'm not in the business of try to extrapolate. It does seem a bit more compressed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 12:31 AM, nw baltimore wx said: Nice. I want confirmation from @Deck Pic Expand I can confirm, I've seen it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 1:02 AM, stormtracker said: I've seen it and. his right. I didn't comment because it stops at 90 and I'm not in the business of try to extrapolate. It does seem a bit more compressed Expand EPS certainly has more confluence and has the vort more held back. another move towards the GFS 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 1:03 AM, brooklynwx99 said: EPS certainly has more confluence and has the vort more held back. another move towards the GFS Expand 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 1:06 AM, Ji said: Expand Looks tasty 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Ji aleet! Ji aleet! We have digital blue! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 1:07 AM, Chris78 said: Looks tasty Expand 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 That is a nice run of the EPS. h5 really is tasty at 108, nice QPF through our area 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Ends up being a relatively minor bump south on the snow mean… but better than nothing for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Not too many hits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 1:20 AM, EHoffman said: Not too many hits Expand Kind of expected that, not surprising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Overall, it's not bad considering its moving the way of the Gfs. Can't hate that upstairs progression of h5 track with more confluence pushing down (both OP and EPS). 0z will be....crucial? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 1:18 AM, NorthArlington101 said: Ends up being a relatively minor bump south on the snow mean… but better than nothing for sure Expand H5 looks alot better then ground truth unfortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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