Alfoman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Surface low just behind WV at Hour 108, definitely a tad bit faster than 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Over ORF at 114 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 surface looks to be modestly colder than last run thru 117... might help when it still hopefully flips us to snow i'd trust @stormtracker has the more relevant info - he's always ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 It’s drier. But still same temp profile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 We will like this 995 low pressure near Norfolk at 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Ripping snow at 117 at DCA and north 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Heavy beat down snow into the area at 117 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 It's further north but we still get a good hit. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Better for norther folks accumulation wise. Def drier tho. I lost like 8”. Shut up RR 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Still snowing at 120 but north and east gets the goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, stormtracker said: Better for norther folks accumulation wise. Def drier tho. I lost like 8”. Shut up RR Thanks Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 points for the compromise crew... don't want this to compromise any further north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Somebody post a clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 It’s not a bad run just shifts heavy precip a bit north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, yoda said: Thanks Ji No prob yoder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Maybe that's the compromise between Euro/GFS. I'd take it in a heartbeat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Noise, but everything trends south this year….after we close this thread and start a new one… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I’ll see what the ensembles say but i can kind of feel it slipping away 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Ass hair=Noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It’s not a bad run just shifts heavy precip a bit north. the vort pass was norther - but the shifts are quite modest. a shift like we got in the last 48 hours of our last storm would be a difference maker. and we've got 120 to go lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said: I like this on better but ain’t nobody gettin 10:1 ratios 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I’ll see what the ensembles say but i can kind of feel it slipping away This probably will slip away in the end, but at least we have something to watch while we wait for our HECS to lock in at D10 and never waver. 5 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: the vort pass was norther - but the shifts are quite modest. a shift like we got in the last 48 hours of our last storm would be a difference maker. and we've got 120 to go lol It has been the outlier, and just made a move towards consensus. If the Euro makes a notable shift next run, I might stay interested. Places near the PA line probably have the best shot with this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I think it trended better at 104hr. https://ibb.co/7jkTsL9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 1 minute ago, snowfan said: Come at me… If it's going at 1"+ hour rates like the run had it, that'll end up incorrect. Especially for northern spots where it kicks off between 7-10am. Probably not relevant anyway. But the snow depth map has sucked ass the 3 events we had this year. Gotta blend it with other, equally bad snow maps at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: If it's going at 1"+ hour rates like the run had it, that'll end up incorrect. Especially for northern spots where it kicks off between 7-10am. Probably not relevant anyway. But the snow depth map has sucked ass the 3 events we had this year. Gotta blend it with other, equally bad snow maps at least Crappy surface temps + midday usually doesn’t work too well unless you’re far N/W of the cities. I’d feel better about our chances if this was coming in overnight. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 If we've learned anything it's that some ass hairs are noisier than others 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, snowfan said: Crappy surface temps + midday usually doesn’t work too well unless you’re far N/W of the cities. I’d feel better about our chances if this was coming in overnight. No disagreement there Anyway - thru 96 it seems unlikely to me the GEFS is a significant cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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