stormtracker Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Honestly, it's hard to get excited with the Euro and lesser models are not in the neighborhood of the GFS. But maybe the Euro will fold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 3 minutes ago, EHoffman said: 36 on the surface for our heaviest rates lol Wxbell shows 33° and ripping in DC at 129 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Wait a sec. 20 mins ago—GFS sucks. It’s on its own island. Now I come back in—suddenly we’re all bowing to the almighty King GooFuS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Just now, T. August said: Wxbell shows 33° and ripping in DC at 129 I was looking at 126, where we're also ripping. But yeah sfc gets to freezing relatively quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Let's temper our expectations. The GFS is on its own with the snowy solution. CMC did shift further south, so maybe it's onto something like resolving the s/w spacing, confluence, etc. Need to see the Euro blink, though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 4 minutes ago, T. August said: Wxbell shows 33° and ripping in DC at 129 We need that NS interaction. Really energizes it. More lift, quickly intensifying low pressure = heavy precip and column cooling. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Just now, Terpeast said: Let's temper our expectations. The GFS is on its own with the snowy solution. CMC did shift further south, so maybe it's onto something like resolving the s/w spacing, confluence, etc. Need to see the Euro blink, though Someone mentioned Jan '22 and those of us north of 695 got like a quarter inch from that while you all in the beltways south basked in a legit huge snow so...my expectations are pretty damn low lol...but would so super cool for the GFS to have sniffed one out and also would be cool if it could get a ton of the forum too... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: DCA is the new snow capital of the east. Whodathunkit 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 DCA is the new snow capital of the east. WhodathunkitIt’s our winter. This one is ours. Philadelphia, NYC, and Boston wished they had our snow climo 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 12 minutes ago, Scraff said: Wait a sec. 20 mins ago—GFS sucks. It’s on its own island. Now I come back in—suddenly we’re all bowing to the almighty King GooFuS. Its called latest model privilege. Pretty new colors. But much caution needed. GFS has been so bad this year. Euro is still saying congrats NE. What will 12z say? Stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Those snow maps have a little bit of an 87 vibe to them, second storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 GEFS coming in hot. 12 1 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 What I'm saying to the GFS right now 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 4 minutes ago, jaydreb said: GEFS coming in hot. Triple blue'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 GEFS coming in hot. That’s an unreal shift compared to where we were 24 hours ago. Holy 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: That’s an unreal shift compared to where we were 24 hours ago. Holy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Still waiting for the median but the mean lit up like a Christmas tree 13 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 If the euro looks like the gfs, a lot of people will SHIT themselves. That was a nice run. Ggem sucks but it was like 3 million miles south of 0z 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2024 Author Share Posted February 8, 2024 36 minutes ago, Heisy said: Cmc at least sped up the N/S. I want the Ukie to show something similar and then I’ll get a little excited before the euro . Strike one on the UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Strike one on the UKIE Toss it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Median… at 06z the median for DCA was 0.4” 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Either gonna be a huge score for the GFS or an epic fail . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Looks like around 55% of the 12z GEFS members gave 2" or more snow at DCA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 11 minutes ago, nj2va said: Triple blue'd. Purple! @Ji how you feel about being purpled?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Either gonna be a huge score for the GFS or an epic fail .What is its track record this winter? Euro has been more accurate than gfs, i think?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Well at least the op has ensemble support. I'd be a little more excited if the GFS has been performing better. But it's been pretty bad, so. I'd give it another 24 hours of all model runs and watch the trends closely. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 6 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: What is its track record this winter? Euro has been more accurate than gfs, i think? . Was posted yesterday it is performing worse than the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 8, 2024 Share Posted February 8, 2024 Well i shit my drawers when i saw the gfs. If the euro shows what the gfs just showed, were all gonna have to wear fucking pampers when we look at the 00z modeling lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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