2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread

[stormtracker]

Northern stream s/w out front still of the southern stream wave, which is a touch more south west than it was on 6z

[nw baltimore wx]

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

Ass hair = Noise

We need a Thesaurus thread that gets regularly updated.

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

Ass hair = Noise

correct

[brooklynwx99]

pretty distinct trend to separate the two streams over the last two model cycles, increasing confluence later on

[stormtracker]

Still too early to tell, but I do notice it's just slightly more amp'd out in front.  Not sure if this is a good thing...odd because the s/w down south is a touch souther...but we'll see in a few

[stormtracker]

I just hope everyone knows we were supposed to start as rain in the last two runs and don't get alarmed if/when I say rain is on us at x hour

[stormtracker]

Rain starts around 10z Tuesday...seems to be heavier precip to our south than 6z...storm developing quicker and souther?  

[stormtracker]

15z, 0 850 literally bisects DC..some heavier stuff to our W and SW

[stormtracker]

It's a slightly colder, better run so far

[stormtracker]

FOLKS... 21z much heavier precip vs 6z..850 south of us

[stormtracker]

Much more QPF vs 6z

[EHoffman]

Hour 126 

[Eskimo Joe]

We look colder at 850 and 925 mb on the 12z GFS. Certainly better.

[stormtracker]

Lol...DC 10-12

[nw baltimore wx]

Unbelievable.  I'd still be shocked, but fun to imagine.

[yoda]

[stormtracker]

[SnowenOutThere]

I think we'd take

[stormtracker]

sorry for the shitty pic of a pic...it's quicker than all that screen shot on a PC

[Eskimo Joe]

Man that's nice. Would essentially rescue winter for most folks.

[WxUSAF]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Lol...DC 10-12

B

L

U

E

B-A-B-Y

[nj2va]

I like seeing that H north of us over Canada, sinking south as the LP deepens.  Get that a bit stronger and more south in Canada and it'd be even better.

[SnowenOutThere]

Lmao the column never goes below freezing and the ratio is 5:1, would be some insanely wet snow

[SnowenOutThere]

CMC also went significantly south but still is a miss to the north by a significant amount

[EHoffman]

36 on the surface for our heaviest rates lol

[WxUSAF]

If someone tries to post a snow depth map, it’s an insta-ban

[CAPE]

The timing of that NS shortwave digging south and beginning to phase is key. Even better this run.

[WxUSAF]

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

CMC also went significantly south but still is a miss to the north by a significant amount

Yeah that’s a big jump 

[GEOS5ftw]

This reminds me a bit of the evolution of the early January 2022 storm. Which the GFS also caught onto a few cycles before EC. Not sure it matters (probably not), but something to consider.

[Heisy]

Cmc at least sped up the N/S. I want the Ukie to show something similar and then I’ll get a little excited before the euro


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