WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Get this stuff out of the “epic” pattern coming long range thread. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 We need a 'Winchester pummeled' post at 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Who likes a wet V Day? 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I wouldn’t complain if something like a commutageddon redux happened…minus the commute part. Almost 4”/hr rates and the most prolific thundersnow event I’ve experienced. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: We need a 'Winchester pummeled' post at 00z. No…”How much for Short Pump” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 12 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I wouldn’t complain if something like a commutageddon redux happened…minus the commute part. Almost 4”/hr rates and the most prolific thundersnow event I’ve experienced. I hope people (OPM and businesses) have since learned, or remote work options will make people stay home. I recall that day vividly because I was telling everyone I knew to be home no later than 4 pm because it was going to be a sudden changeover. Some were complaining because Fairfax County stayed home all day (I think we had a bit of snow in the morning). I was actually rather shocked that they made that decision, but I was really glad to not be in the mess. CWG did an awesome job of trying to warn people of the changeover. I think we all learned about graupel that day. It was a really cool changeover to watch (unless you were watching from the roads). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Dq fuq is this? pinned 2 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Blend not bad. Suggests snow tv to a coating. Trending! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 42 minutes ago, snowfan said: Who likes a wet V Day? Stewardess I speak jive. I like a wet V-Day. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Blend not bad. Suggests snow tv to a coating. Trending!It’s actually better than what is what showing in the double snowstorms in January lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 2 minutes ago, Ji said: It’s actually better than what is what showing in the double snowstorms in January lol Clearly a signal for snow well to our north for that window. Possibility for a little something is there though. And subject to change- we have seen that there is a path to victory on recent op runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7 Author Share Posted February 7 36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Dq fuq is this? pinned Blame @CAPE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Blame [mention=1005]CAPE[/mention]Didn’t realize there was a new thread. Here is 18z control. Still way different evolution than GFS. No initial phase and NS heads E. I think this looks decent . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 53 minutes ago, CAPE said: Clearly a signal for snow well to our north for that window. Possibility for a little something is there though. And subject to change- we have seen that there is a path to victory on recent op runs. If the storm track and strength remains the same as what was shown on the 18z I will take my chances with the thermals. There is a lot of potential with this one.. I would not be surprised if we were looking at a warning level event heading in the to weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Dq fuq is this? pinned Right!!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Blend not bad. Suggests snow tv to a coating. Trending!Same way the blend looked 2 days before MoCo and HoCo saw 6” with that second wave in January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I'm ready for the 0z party. 1 hour until it's in our sights! Please weenie this post. I need professional help. 1 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I'm ready for the 0z party. 1 hour until it's in our sights! Please weenie this post. I need professional help. Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 0z NAM hangs more energy back, for the later part of the wave, vs 18z gfs https://ibb.co/Fz5q7rH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 19 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm ready for the 0z party. 1 hour until it's in our sights! Please weenie this post. I need professional help. you mfers really came through and did it. I'm definitely noting who actually did it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 0z NAM hangs more energy back, for the later part of the wave, vs 18z gfs https://ibb.co/Fz5q7rH It's deeply unsettling when you are positive or pro-storm. Shut up Chuck. 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Not that we care, but from what I'm seeing on the ICON, it's gonna be ugly. But we only care about the ICON when it shows snow for us. Trash it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 PNA will be spiking, so the later we can hold that energy back, the better. Sometimes models at this range trend toward giving space between 2 waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 15 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Not that we care, but from what I'm seeing on the ICON, it's gonna be ugly. But we only care about the ICON when it shows snow for us. Trash it. I think I spoke too soon. It's not gonna get the job done, but nowhere near as bad as I thought ETA...yeah, its gonna cut west of us. Again, trash it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 ICON is basically if the NAM went past 84H as a global model. Just not worth discussing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Icon hangs energy back like euro but then actually brings it pretty far N, I’ll take that progression though. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 So far, no remarkable changes form 18z...but it's early yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 So just some slight differences...just a hair more separation between the norther s/w and southern one and the northern s/w isn't digging quite as much. But so far, it's a draw with 18z. What the fuck are we looking for again? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Just now, stormtracker said: So just some slight differences...just a hair more separation between the norther s/w and southern one and the northern s/w isn't digging quite as much. But so far, it's a draw with 18z. What the fuck are we looking for again? I think More separation. Hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Things look a bit amp'd out in front. Not sure we're going to be good on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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