drstuess Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 35 mb drop in 4 HH passes is nuts. Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 175mph/911mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 This will be the storm of record for Tampa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 3 minutes ago, FXWX said: Hey John... good friend and a former student of mine is the MIC at NWSFO Tampa... Convo with him last night was pretty alarming! prayers ...seriously. i mean, i can imagine that conversation last night might have been similar. pending some kind of modeling changes ( and of course there's no crystal ball) but for the time being, this omens as one of those 'special' kind of hells what went on the carolina high country notwithstanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 175mph/911mb jesus christ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 It’s hard to imagine this is going to weaken all the way to a 3 before it hits the coast but I guess that’s the hope currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 27 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: prayers ...seriously. i mean, i can imagine that conversation last night might have been similar. pending some kind of modeling changes ( and of course there's no crystal ball) but for the time being, this omens as one of those 'special' kind of hells what went on the carolina high country notwithstanding Agree... Final outcomes, none of which are good, somewhat dependent on ERC and tidal timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 16 minutes ago, FXWX said: Agree... Final outcomes, none of which are good, somewhat dependent on ERC and tidal timing. theoretic stuff but .. ... if we erc here sooner or later, then it's a larger system that still has to pass over the nw arc of the loop current, as it ascends latitude - consensus at 12z still looks to be tb but we'll see on that. just wondering what a post erc, larger system then does when it hits that ohc reservoir 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Surge now baked even if it drops to Cat 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mj-pvd Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Moved back to RI from Tampa during covid. My buddy couldn’t find gas today in south Tampa. McDill gonna be a navy base by the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 looks on sat like a turn to the ene has already taken place this afternoon. and .. it looks even more intense if that is even possible. but i guess once a tc gets over a buck 50 its playin with shrapnel either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: looks on sat like a turn to the ene has already taken place this afternoon. and .. it looks even more intense if that is even possible. but i guess once a tc gets over a buck 50 its playin with shrapnel either way. That will keep any land interaction to a minimum.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Absolute Beast. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: looks on sat like a turn to the ene has already taken place this afternoon. and .. it looks even more intense if that is even possible. but i guess once a tc gets over a buck 50 its playin with shrapnel either way. Yup I think at 5pm they go 180 or so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Absolute Beast. I always wanted to be in a big hurricane, but this might even be to much for me.. I never thought I would hope a storm would weaken. Also with TWC and news stations talking about weakening before landfall is probably giving people a false sense of security Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Stunning storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 So what is the strongest storm ever recorded in the Atlantic basin. This has to be very close to the strongest storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 16 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I always wanted to be in a big hurricane, but this might even be to much for me.. I never thought I would hope a storm would weaken. Also with TWC and news stations talking about weakening before landfall is probably giving people a false sense of security I was a freshman at UMiami in 8/92 when Andrew hit. It was very scary. The craziest thing was the sound of the wind. Almost like a loud whistle. I'm all set with going thru that again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 12 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: So what is the strongest storm ever recorded in the Atlantic basin. This has to be very close to the strongest storm Slp? Wilma 882mb 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 It's insane how steadfast the GFS has been on a landfall extremely close to Tampa, even when it's ensembles were farther South. I mean a good chunk of guidance was always south but everything has been caving to the GFS op. I am scared for Tampa...can't imagine what those people are going through watching the updates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Slp? Wilma 882mb Someone did mention that I missed it. But thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 My father-in-law lives with his lady friend on the beach in Dunedin. Luckily they made it to SC, but their condo is in big trouble. Really big trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 10-15 foot surge now forecast for Tampa Bay...no words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 180 mph 905 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 That sand on Siesta Key is going to be in rough shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 53 minutes ago, dendrite said: Slp? Wilma 882mb Strongest at landfall is still the 892 of Labor Day 1935, though it trails Wilma and Gilbert for lowest mb overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_observer Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Hot damn, GOES-19...that loop is incredible! Wish this beast wasn't heading towards any population centers though. https://satlib.cira.colostate.edu/loop_of_the_day/jaw-dropping-high-resolution-view-of-hurricane-miltons-eye/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 21 minutes ago, tamarack said: Strongest at landfall is still the 892 of Labor Day 1935, though it trails Wilma and Gilbert for lowest mb overall. once read an accounting of the labor day event where as the eye traversed the keys ... toilet water began gashing out of toilets, presumably do to sudden drop entering the pressure well/change. it was in the old weather almanac/book published in 1974 i think it was. as the eye passed off the water stopped rising out of the toilets, and this unusual behavior was attributed to the sudden pressure fall in the interior. amazing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Slp? Wilma 882mb wilma's winds maxed 185 mph sustained at one point, too - as did gilbert. ..not to far from milton gilbert had a truly immense circulation envelopment, though. wouldn't be shocked if gilbert owns the ise record by an embarrassing margin. but that's a trinket metric my theory on wilma is that she was probably able to attain such a dramatic pressure fall ( almost 97 mb in 24 hours. might be a ri record ) because she developed and stalled amidst a cag. storms that develop in already neggie base pressure anomalies can end up deeper relatively so. the feb blizzard up here along the sne coast in '78 was never below 982 ... but the surrounding ambience was very elevated at detonation/bombogen phases so it had an upward biased descension curve. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 AWESTRUCK is one word. BREATHTAKING is another. And to be in the path... Wow, I pray the people under evac get out. Record breaker for sure! How low will he go? NHC site is crashing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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