weatherwiz Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Nothing to really generate excitement yet, but for a tropical head like me I’m paying more attention each day. It’s going to be a few more days until TC genesis. I'm just kind of bustin too with this I have been watching closely though each day, one worry I have is something gets going very quickly and threatens anywhere along the Southeast Coast. Until we either start to see better organization the models will almost be kind of useless. But if we go into Friday or Saturday and this isn't looking better it's probably toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 A number of those solutions at least bring (whatever it becomes) pretty close to the Cape 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 Hateras brush is the only noteworthy scenario in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 Decent chance of a cane coming north into the Cape next week 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Decent chance of a cane coming north into the Cape next week I'll be there, but I am selling hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'll be there, but I am selling hard. If it comes.. I’ll be there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: If it comes.. I’ll be there She going/gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 He coming.. he come 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: He coming.. he come If the 12z Euro went beyond day 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: If the 12z Euro went beyond day 10 Boo ya 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 Now it's pushed beyond day 10. She gone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Now it's pushed beyond day 10. She gone. Thats how you get it up here. Slow it down and miss the westerlies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 I'm a little weenie on New England/New York hurricanes, both of my parents remembered 1938 quite well, but a strong tropical storm with the Bermuda-Azores ridge building back in, well, not 1938, that is more likely in September or October, but a Hurricane Belle scenario, which I remembered and which, along with 1978 on Long Island, made me a lifelong Gen X weenie. I try to contain my weenieness in the tropical forum threads. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 Yeah I could totally see a NE GOM storm head SE Tampa to Jupiter? through Florida, offshore then strengthen into a 'cane and slam into SNE. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 3ft+ of rain. Good starting point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 If that scenario plays out and it hits FL or stays just offshore of EC and slows it definitely has a window to come north after westerlies relax early next week. It also should help to pump that WAR so be very careful about calling for big chill and cool 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: If that scenario plays out and it hits FL or state just offshore of EC and slows it definitely has a window to come north after westerlies relax early next week. It also should help to pump that WAR so be very careful about calling for big chill and cool I would take a cane over the cold 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 prediction: storm somehow avoids SNE and makes landfall in St. Johnsbury by having micro eye go straight up the CRV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 Atlantic other than whatever happens with Debby is flaccid through mid month while EPAC heats up. Not a good start for a hyper active season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 3ft+ of rain. Good starting point. Can always go up from there. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: I would take a cane over the cold Let's freeze this b. Then violent cane rips through and changes landscapes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 11 hours ago, CT Rain said: Can always go up from there. Tropical Storm Alberto redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 17 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Now it's pushed beyond day 10. She gone. Some vomit-value posts in the tropical threads of late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 17 hours ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: I'm a little weenie on New England/New York hurricanes, both of my parents remembered 1938 quite well, but a strong tropical storm with the Bermuda-Azores ridge building back in, well, not 1938, that is more likely in September or October, but a Hurricane Belle scenario, which I remembered and which, along with 1978 on Long Island, made me a lifelong Gen X weenie. I try to contain my weenieness in the tropical forum threads. I was a kid in Falmouth (Buzzards Bay) for Belle and it was pretty disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 I’ll be in Atlantic Canada for first half of the month, maybe get a Juan redux. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 GFS and GEFS owning the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 Glue factory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS and GEFS owning the Euro. Toss that thing into the Seine River. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Toss that thing into the Seine River. EPS looks like GFS model. What a joke. Yet we are told to "save a horse." How about save some time and don't use it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 1 Share Posted August 1 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS looks like GFS model. What a joke. Yet we are told to "save a horse." How about save some time and don't use it. 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS and GEFS owning the Euro. Just absolute woodshed the last few seasons. Consistently wrong both the op and ensembles. Not just on the development of the wave but the broader steering pattern itself which is egregious imo at 7-8 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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