CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 01:20 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:20 PM Just now, Torch Tiger said: the type of season that makes folks rage-quit the hobby I don’t know, I’m excited to see the wave heights on the Frying Pan Shoals buoy. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Saturday at 02:01 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:01 PM I can’t stand y’all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted Sunday at 03:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:02 PM I wish the Atlantic Ocean had “super” designations for Atlantic hurricanes as well. Why do Typhoons get special treatment?(just trying to get some tropic related discussion going) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 02:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:32 PM 23 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said: I wish the Atlantic Ocean had “super” designations for Atlantic hurricanes as well. Why do Typhoons get special treatment?(just trying to get some tropic related discussion going) I could be off on this but technically the Atlantic does get designations as category 3 or higher are called major hurricanes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Monday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:09 PM Mid to late next week could be interesting for the east coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted Monday at 06:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:01 PM 52 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Mid to late next week could be interesting for the east coast Please lord let it be so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Monday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:14 PM zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Tuesday at 07:03 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:03 AM 0z GFS please 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted Tuesday at 09:45 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:45 AM 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: 0z GFS please Looks like Donna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Tuesday at 10:46 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:46 AM 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: 0z GFS please I'm all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Tuesday at 12:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:44 PM i do see a pathway to vulnerability ioa the gulf/florida and the se out there in the d7-12 range. it has to do with the wholesale change in pattern in the main belt of the westerlies from easern asia all the way around... in short the powerful positive wpo, which has really predominated and forced a kind of pattern lock down over the last 10 days - i time which has been more than decent to use here in new england, much to the chagrin of the responsibly minded disaster zealot posters in here ... - is finally indicated in all major ensemble clusters to collapse. that translates a repositioning of the l/w progression through the np ... ultimately across n/a after some lag. it does a bunch of stuff but the main take away is the entire flow paradigm modulates anew. a transient positive pnap through the west teleconnects to nw flow over st louis mo, which in turn tips the deep layer flow s along the ec. whether these models like the recent ggem and the gfs are right about that western car. tc that's a sides the changes above. but.. if a tc is there, the former provides a means for it getting drawn into the interest region(s). predicated on the idea of these ens based mode changes working out, that gives a window 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Tuesday at 12:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:50 PM 3 hours ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said: Looks like Donna That’d wake up SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Tuesday at 12:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:51 PM 5 hours ago, ineedsnow said: 0z GFS please Give us a little description. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Tuesday at 01:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:01 PM 19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Give us a little description. i'll bite... a flip in the pna leads to a trough digging s. this feature closes off, doing so with perfectly exquisite timing. what could go wrong at this time range huh nevertheless, these flow changes in general, draw a tc out of the caribbean, across cuba, over florida ... while interestingly, not weakening it appreciably enough despite encountering these land regions. then it even intensifies further as it comes n astride the western side of the g-string waters down there. closed low ultimately sucking it into it like a star wondering too close to a blackhole. one should gather an impression of how this above ends up after this frame.... if you guessed this, ... you guessed wisely. however, none of which is either a statement of forecast from me, nor is very likely at this range to be correct but that's understood. the main usefulness of this model's 00z run ( for now ) is that it is the first entertainment/eye-candy in probably 40 days worth ennui so crushing as to challenge the very endurance of man 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Tuesday at 01:07 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:07 PM 960ish over ern LI lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted Tuesday at 01:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:23 PM Going to go way out on a limb with “ain’t happening james” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Tuesday at 01:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:46 PM 22 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Going to go way out on a limb with “ain’t happening james” So true…but maybe a 950mb instead of a 960..lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Tuesday at 02:07 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:07 PM Not totally unrealistic....I mentioned late last week that I could see something getting pulled N over Cuba and posing a threat. But talk to me this weekend. The main inhibiting factor is lead time. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Tuesday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:13 PM 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not totally unrealistic....I mentioned late last week that I could see something getting pulled N over Cuba and posing a threat. But talk to me this weekend. The main inhibiting factor is lead time. Wave break forces this into the Gulf then dies inland. We end up cool and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Tuesday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:17 PM 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wave break forces this into the Gulf then dies inland. We end up cool and dry Probably....I won't even look until this weekend if it still looks compelling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Tuesday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:48 PM Yup, to Rays point, it’s still a ways out, so that’s the biggest thing that plays against it. But stranger things have happened too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Tuesday at 04:42 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:42 PM Gfs and cmc have a hurricane into Florida at the end of September Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Tuesday at 04:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:55 PM What you posted was the 0z from what I saw. Or am I missing something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Tuesday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:56 PM 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Yup, to Rays point, it’s still a ways out, so that’s the biggest thing that plays against it. But stranger things have happened too. Very much too far out to take it serious, but if you look at that synoptic evolution, that's exactly what you want to see so can't totally discard this one yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Tuesday at 04:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:59 PM 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Very much too far out to take it serious, but if you look at that synoptic evolution, that's exactly what you want to see so can't totally discard this one yet. Yes sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted Tuesday at 05:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:45 PM If it’s possible to die from weather boredom I’m critically ill right about now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:27 PM zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Tuesday at 07:19 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:19 PM 51 minutes ago, weathafella said: zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Some really fun 12z GEFS and EPS members. It has to happen at some point and I think this is our best chance we had in awhile.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Tuesday at 07:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:21 PM 54 minutes ago, weathafella said: zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Until it’s not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Tuesday at 10:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:41 PM 4 hours ago, weathafella said: zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Not anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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