CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 12 Share Posted August 12 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: What is the/your obsession with Mumbai? My favorite city to visit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 12 Share Posted August 12 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: What is the/your obsession with Mumbai? I traffic light-in a city of 21M up to the 2020s. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 12 Share Posted August 12 12z HWRF finally drops the EWRC-prone structure and shows a much better core structure as it bombs 98L out to the mid-930s on Thursday. It shows the system passing over/near the Virgin Islands/PR as a TS and organizes once it gets north of their latitude. 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: I traffic light-in a city of 21M up to the 2020s. i love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 12 Share Posted August 12 bhais Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 12 Share Posted August 12 1 hour ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: bhais Talk English 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 12 Share Posted August 12 2 hours ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: bhais Who are you and what ? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Talk English OK mom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who are you and what ? I'm curlyheadbarrett Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Talk English If he is all mumbai all the time I suppose he means bro there… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If he is all mumbai all the time I suppose he means bro there… I think maybe he was saying bye to the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 4 hours ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: My favorite city to visit Faadu 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Faadu Tales from mumbai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 tropical storm, eh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: tropical storm, eh It’s moving way too fast to acquire a coherent and durable LLC imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 But—this is really interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: But—this is really interesting what would this mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 GL Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: GL Bermuda. pat pat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 40 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: what would this mean? Distilled the best I can, it’s moving so fast within the easterlies of the MDR that we don’t see the westerly wind that you would normally expect for a TC that’s moving in the basin more slowly, but that just masks the fact that organizationally it’s more vertically aligned and consolidated than one would think. Once it slows down it should intensify at a faster pace. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Distilled the best I can, it’s moving so fast within the easterlies of the MDR that we don’t see the westerly wind that you would normally expect for a TC that’s moving in the basin more slowly, but that just masks the fact that organizationally it’s more vertically aligned and consolidated than one would think. Once it slows down it should intensify at a faster pace. ernesto needs some pats before I head off to sleep then once he slows down I agree he could take off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 Hopefully Ernesto is the last snoozer-system for awhile. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully Ernesto is the last snoozer-system for awhile. Probably will be quiet for awhile after this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Probably will be quiet for awhile after this one. We make into September without anything other than Ernesto, then I think its fair to question some of these hyper-active calls...especially if Ernesto doesn't make major status, which would cap its ACE accumulation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We make into September without anything other than Ernesto, then I think its fair to question some of these hyper-active calls...especially if Ernesto doesn't make major status,which would cap its ACE accumulation. I agree. Obviously we could get into September and all hell breaks loose, however, it just boggles my mind how so many people out there (professionals, amateurs) focus on one or two aspects and just go haywire with forecasts. You see it with every type of weather event and within seasonal forecasts. Severe - some will go absolutely wild because of hodographs winter - the 10:1/Kuchie maps...it's too early in the season to get me started on this crap. tropical - warm waters!!!!!!!!!!! winter seasonal - weak la nina...1995-1996 redux. But hype rules all I guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I agree. Obviously we could get into September and all hell breaks loose, however, it just boggles my mind how so many people out there (professionals, amateurs) focus on one or two aspects and just go haywire with forecasts. You see it with every type of weather event and within seasonal forecasts. Severe - some will go absolutely wild because of hodographs winter - the 10:1/Kuchie maps...it's too early in the season to get me started on this crap. tropical - warm waters!!!!!!!!!!! winter seasonal - weak la nina...1995-1996 redux. But hype rules all I guess I think its reflective of the decay of society in general....less impulse control and a greater proclivity towards instant gratification....social media is killing us. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 One thing I will say is that ACE doesn't go bonkers, it makes the winter call very easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: One thing I will say is that ACE doesn't go bonkers, it makes the winter call very easy. he went from a 3 psl abomination to a nice looking storm, mirin the ascension. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 Some give up to easy.. the chances of getting anything are minimal here but doesn't mean you can't drive somewhere for some fun.. some members of the EPS would be fun for the cape.. until they all go far ots we watch 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 13 Share Posted August 13 29 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I agree. Obviously we could get into September and all hell breaks loose, however, it just boggles my mind how so many people out there (professionals, amateurs) focus on one or two aspects and just go haywire with forecasts. You see it with every type of weather event and within seasonal forecasts. Severe - some will go absolutely wild because of hodographs winter - the 10:1/Kuchie maps...it's too early in the season to get me started on this crap. tropical - warm waters!!!!!!!!!!! winter seasonal - weak la nina...1995-1996 redux. But hype rules all I guess I guess, and the season could absolutely still underperform, but the people that know tropical haven’t just relied on SSTAs. And I’ll reiterate that while this season may feel quiet, it has done the exact opposite of underperform. With 41 ACE pre-Ernesto the season was 5th all time in ACE to date (from GAWX—it’s behind 2005 (74), 1933 (54), 1926 (47), and 1916 (42)). This is with the post Beryl lull. All NS have impacted land. The U.S. has two hurricane landfalls. Now if the thought is the season needs to be in front of 1933 and just behind ‘05, sure. But ACE can’t be gamed the same way that looking just at short lived NS can. Would you rather have a bunch of short lived slop generating 35 ACE, or the earliest 5 on record and an additional hurricane out of four systems? For this time of year we’ve actually had quality stuff. Will it continue? I think so but it remains to be seen. Edit: it’s kind of like running the 400M hurdle at the Olympics. We’re off to a fast start, but we have 85% to go and any one hurdle (cough: SAL) could end that quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now