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2024 - tracking the tropics


mcglups
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1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

With the prices we pay here in CT the grid needs to be titanium and gold plated. :lol: 

OT:  the reason power prices are elevated(ing)... not just in CT but everywhere, is claimed by "big power" to be caused by supply shortages relative to demand. 

Which is impossible to prove otherwise ...

Op Ed:  I don't believe this is really the case.  I believe there are increasing numbers of state and federal rebate programs to get residence and commercial grid users to go toward more efficient energy consumption technology, as well going solar and green power generation options. 

The combination of rebates ( which can range from 5 to 20k dollars ) attracting this conversion ( primitive initiative in the combating of AGW as the grid is still largely powered by fossile fuels), and solar pay-outs from surplus ... are beginning to place economic pressure/losses on the glut machinery that they've always enjoyed. 

These are not socially owned power suppliers and delivery companies - they are still capitalistic enterprises.  You cannot impose losses on them and expect them to not to respond in kind - they chalk up this impossible to prove bs when all they are really after is transferring those losses back onto anyone in the grid that is is still suckling from their teet.

Or ... maybe they are truly virtuous and are doing this because they have huge hearts and care about Gaia, and it's got nothing to do with money ... so they are attempting to squeeze people that way to save the planet as the heroes

Pick

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1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

ok

gfs_z500a_us_40.png

Almost escaped with the slowly departing trough over the Atlantic but this other one pops as a big ridge flexes in the wake of the trough. That’s one way to do it without seeing the rest of the run…but definitely not easy with the original trough there. 

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I still think there’s less than a 5% chance of this getting up here. Time and time again, every season we see waves like this slip right through our fingers (or completely disappoint, looking at you Henri…), even when modeling shows something substantial. 
 

That being said I’m embracing the delusion. Subtropical waters are warm enough that a hurricane moving at a decent clip could actually maintain major intensity at this latitude for a short time. Plus, gambler’s fallacy- we are so overdue, we have to hit soon, right?

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