Tezeta Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Something bad is going to happen. 1 3 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: The first thing to remember is that there are other critical factors that determine level of named storm activity and high end H/MH activity like wind shear and instability/moisture. Everything to me suggests those factors will be favorable as early as next week. If we’re just taking SSTs, emphatically yes. The basin is near historic to historically warm—not just in SST anomalies, but the extent of the anomalies, oceanic heat content, and those anomalies. And these temps usually peak in September. The train is coming. Bro check out the shear map TF is this?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 1 minute ago, Tezeta said: Something bad is going to happen. Sandy/Irene reincarnate or wat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 3 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: I see this becoming a major (mogger) hurricane as well, but what category do you think? The wave already looks really good right now and might organize quicker than expected. I wonder what analogs yall have in mind ehhh can't really speculate as to what category at this juncture. Once you're starting to talk about the potential for a major hurricane there is the storm evolution processes which now get factored in and can play a significant influence on overall strength. I don't even feel comfortable saying "major hurricane" potential at this state, however, given what should be very favorable environmental conditions, it won't take much or long for this to really develop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Just now, weatherwiz said: ehhh can't really speculate as to what category at this juncture. Once you're starting to talk about the potential for a major hurricane there is the storm evolution processes which now get factored in and can play a significant influence on overall strength. I don't even feel comfortable saying "major hurricane" potential at this state, however, given what should be very favorable environmental conditions, it won't take much or long for this to really develop. I checked out the shear map and things look decent overall tbh but IDK if this would be Beryl tier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 MDR is activating in time here ... said so myself earlier in the week, and probably so did others for their own methods. beyond that concept, meh. another 24 hours later, another 24 different ideas as to what that might mean out in space and time. yesterday at this time the larger scale 'cane climate aspects had trending favorably for EC ... 00z they look like dung... ( modeling on average). yet, this 12z GFS somehow manages to place a TC E of Jersey with 00z recognizable climate inference bottom line, no stock in any depictions beyond 120 hrs... maybe out to 168 but no agreed that it may not be the only system. the favorability for genesis probably last 7 to 10 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 19 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ernesto destroys! E MA wx will blog ! Ernesto in roblox (hopefully) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 I wonder if Ernesto would be Sandy (in Mumbai) based off some of the model runs that do a sharp turn into NE/Canada (in Mumbai = knock off) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 31 minutes ago, Tezeta said: Something bad is going to happen. I agree. I have had a very unsettled feeling about this. Like Category 4 unsettled. Not to mention, I'm supposed to host a reunion on the Cape from the 17th through the 25th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Everyone needs to clam down 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 christ, what hole did the roaches crawl out of? 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 6 minutes ago, tunafish said: christ, what hole did the roaches crawl out of? the hole from mumbai 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 JBF (Just Be Fiona) theory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 I want a large storm with no injuries or damage. Is that possible? lol 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 1 minute ago, Cyclone-68 said: I want a large storm with no injuries or damage. Is that possible? lol A cat 3-4 in this area would be absolutely terrible. Mid tier cat 2 is the highest I would want. Never seen the hurricane dike closed in New Bedford but definitely would if that somehow happened. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 4 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I want a large storm with no injuries or damage. Is that possible? lol Only possible in GTA 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 1 minute ago, NotSureWeather said: A cat 3-4 in this area would be absolutely terrible. Mid tier cat 2 is the highest I would want. Never seen the hurricane dike closed in New Bedford but definitely would if that somehow happened. Could this be a Fran reincarnate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 7 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Only possible in GTA 6 Pretty good chance we see a cane before GTA 6 tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 1 minute ago, NotSureWeather said: Pretty good chance we see a cane before GTA 6 tho Lowkey wish this were getting a female name rather than "ernesto" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 8 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Could this be a Fran reincarnate? Way too early to have any clue what will happen. Gonna be 4-5 days before we can start trusting the models a little. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Just now, NotSureWeather said: Way too early to have any clue what will happen. Gonna be 4-5 days before we can start trusting the models a little. no problem buddy boyo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 15 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I want a large storm with no injuries or damage. Is that possible? lol No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 We've got a special thread for Ernie 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Ok…who’s this Curly headed Guy? And what’s this Boyo crap? Sounds like he’s related to James, and the other guy where everything is a blizzard. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Just now, WinterWolf said: Ok…who’s this Curly headed Guy? And what’s this Boyo crap? Sounds like he’s related to James, and the other guy where everything is a blizzard. Curlyheadjames? James Sapphire? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ok…who’s this Curly headed Guy? And what’s this Boyo crap? Sounds like he’s related to James, and the other guy where everything is a blizzard. Either James or Joe 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 Just now, MJO812 said: Either James or William 3 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Curlyheadjames? James Sapphire? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Either James or Joe Yup..something fishy going on… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 9 Share Posted August 9 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now