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2024 - tracking the tropics


mcglups
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Recurve is always the betting favorite. That’s our climo. Often times you can see the recurve pattern a mile away, other times the steering signal is more interesting. This is the latter right now. If the trough were showing up as flat as a pancake or out in the Atlantic there wouldn’t be anything to discuss.

We’ll see what it is should this wave develop in about a week, and when it’s actually approaching the ECONUS some days after that. 

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It won’t look like that is the point . Some of us knew Deb wasn’t OTS 

Completely different setup and we all knew Dirty Deb wasn't going OTS.

12z Euro op is slower with the system, and has the U/L towards WV, while the GFS buries the U/L way way southwest over TN nearly GA.  You want that UL over the lakes more like the Dirty Deb setup and no model shows that.

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