dendrite Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 5 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Landfall near Steinhatchee! We need his noggin rotating in the eye. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: We need his noggin rotating in the eye. Probably headed for me to you. South of pike 8-10” this week. 2-3” for us. (6z gfs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 6z GFS just starting to get a clue.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 EPS suggest we could have another threat in a couple weeks.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 Feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Probably headed for me to you. South of pike 8-10” this week. 2-3” for us. (6z gfs) I’m perfectly fine with 1-3”. Keep the 10” for VT and CT. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 6z Icon rips Dirty Debby west and up the HRV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 “rips” It’s more like Little Debby at that point. A waterlogged swiss cake roll. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 Now that the GFS is sobering up, let’s see how it adjusts. At least initially it looks like it’s back to the hellacious PRE/quasi-PRE idea somewhere in New England. Global tracks all looked closer to the coast with the Euro and Ukie modestly intensifying the low as it heads off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Likely due to trough enhancement, but anomalously warm coastal waters could support marginal tropical under the right conditions. Rain continues to be the story here obviously as this’ll likely spend a lot of time inland. I’ll be wary of last minute shifts east/south all the way to the end but for now it looks like a close approach from some type of discernible low is increasingly possible. I think you need that to maximize rain chances. If it’s 1010mb ground road kill like Tip said the other day sliding ENE off Virginia Beach, this is a run of the mill rainer. If that. If it’s a low deepening through the 990s with a center crossing over or near the south coast, then we’re talking. Maybe not for the debs that want 85kt/975mb mini nuke, but it’s early August and this is what we got. It’s better than dews talk. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: “rips” It’s more like Little Debby at that point. A waterlogged swiss cake roll. I think we’d all take the tors and gusty SE winds over boring flooding rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 just saw the 0z ukie was 8 to 15 for most of SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 0z gfs is ideal. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 spent some time analyzing this thing this morning ... Of the Can/Eur/USA, I'd trust the GFS the least 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 With a few more added. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 11 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: With a few more added. We flood and flood big time I think 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 Whew 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: just saw the 0z ukie was 8 to 15 for most of SNE Start high. You can always adjust higher. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 12z ICON pretty meh with rains.. still a good amount but not crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 12z ICON pretty meh with rains.. still a good amount but not crazy Crappy model but fun to see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Crappy model but fun to see ICON EPS is still fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 12z ICON pretty meh with rains.. still a good amount but not crazy Riding west of the Hudson will do that. Congrats Binghamton. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 That’s the track we want . Go west young lass.. go west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s the track we want . Go west young lass.. go west You want the winds, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s the track we want . Go west young lass.. go west Why that would be meh overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s the track we want . Go west young lass.. go west That would be good to miss out on the big rains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 12 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said: You want the winds, huh? That and the tor/ severe threat . 5-10” of rain doesn’t excite things 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 4 hours ago, dendrite said: “rips” It’s more like Little Debby at that point. A waterlogged swiss cake roll. Debbie downer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 5, 2024 Share Posted August 5, 2024 I see this is going to be an excruciating week of reading. Christ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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