TheBudMan Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: I had 8 inches from a narrow strip during a clipper in February. That was my excitement. @40/70 Benchmark doing all he can to not edit that statement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Headed way east earlier on then sort of stalls about 800 miles south of Nova scotia. Definitely an Atlantic Canada threat. Could Brampton, ON be affected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 Today's 06z models are still very bullish. No tales from Mumbai loonyland here. ICON: 944 mb at 108 hrs, probably a cat 4. HWRF: 948 mb at 60 hrs with peak winds of 108 kt, a strong cat 3. HMON: 955 mb at 51 hrs with peak winds of 116 kt, a cat 4. HAFS-A: 947 mb at 108 hrs with peak winds of 109 kt, a strong cat 3. Intensification is much more gradual though. HAFS-B: 957 mb at 48 hrs with peak winds of 110 kt, a strong cat 3. These models together would blend to a high-end cat 3 or low-end cat 4 hurricane (around 950 mb / 113 kt assuming ICON's 944 mb would result in ~120 kt). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: I had 8 inches from a narrow strip during a clipper in February. That was my excitement. That's what she said. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 11 minutes ago, CurlyHeadBarrett said: Could Brampton, ON be affected? Probably Mumbai. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 Just now, CoastalWx said: Probably Mumbai. Tales from Mumbai. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 Category 1 more than 980 mb 28.9395 in 74 - 95 mph 4 -5 ft. Minimal Category 2 965 - 979 mb 28.49655 - 28.90997 in 96 - 110 mph 6 - 8 ft. Moderate Category 3 945 - 964 mb 27.90594 - 28.46702 in 111 - 130 mph 9 - 12 ft. Extensive Category 4 920 - 944 mb 27.16769 - 27.87641 in 131 - 155 mph 13 - 18 ft. Extreme Category 5 919 mb 27.13816 in Over 155 mph Over 18 ft. Catastrophic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: https://x.com/webberweather/status/1823705939104428042?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Yea ok Webby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 44 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Right, so the year can't be above normal the rest of the way ... lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 is the basin so fucking unfavorable or what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 Euro couldn’t hold a consistent track on this one even if it were threatened with being unplugged. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: Euro couldn’t hold a consistent track on this one even if it were threatened with being unplugged. 12z yesterday to today shifted 200 mi? wsw Bermuda went from barely getting the left quadrant to crushed lol Actually, Bermuda is nearly too far east for an inner eyewall (unless it's massive) on todays 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 Don’t worry…the euro nailed the h5 heights over Sri Lanka. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 5 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea ok Webby. Lol same wish cast every year. Surf though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 14 Share Posted August 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted August 15 Share Posted August 15 The little jog Ernie takes to line up to nail Bermuda, will most likely save Nova Scotia from any major impacts. Close graze. St. John's and the Avalon have best shot at a possible landfall still. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 15 Share Posted August 15 20 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: None of those years sucked for snowfall the ensuing winter...at least there is that- 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 15 Share Posted August 15 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: None of those years sucked for snowfall the ensuing winter...at least there is that- 3 of 4 here, as 05-06 was a full-on ratter at my place, the only winter in which I saw no storms 6"+ since 1967-68 in NNJ. (The other 3 all were waaaay AN.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 On 8/8/2024 at 3:15 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: How long until this thing hits eastern Canada? Dang…. Even this was too far west. You hate to see it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Dang…. Even this was too far west. You hate to see it! Well there is that one 6z EPS member that almost gets to Maine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 This thing is, and has been a complete disappointment. Next. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 41 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: This thing is, and has been a complete disappointment. Next. I was intrigued by it last weekend, but it became clear by Monday that this was largely irrelevent for the CONUS (aside from surf). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: This thing is, and has been a complete disappointment. Next. We tried to tell yall a week ago… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 Yeah. Once you see it doesn't have the classic H5 look....next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah. Once you see it doesn't have the classic H5 look....next. lol. It's pretty easy to sniff out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 Still may have a significant impact on Newfoundland, but yeah, the initial trough pulling it north before the Bahamas usually means it's gone for the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 Hopefully we can scare up another at some point soon. Maybe a Caribbean storm would increase our odds a little bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 16 Share Posted August 16 53 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We tried to tell yall a week ago… I spent about 2 minutes the last week on it, so it isn’t a big deal for me. I don’t wait for model runs, and watch every move it makes as others like to do. To each their own on that. If it were to become imminent or threatening, then we invest. I just hate the know it all “tudes.” It’s arrogant and not needed at 7+ days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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