CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98): Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in association with a tropical wave located roughly midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the early to middle part of next week while the system approaches and then moves near or over the Lesser Antilles. The system is forecast to continue moving generally west-northwestward and could approach portions of the Greater Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Fish Either way it would still be cool to go to the beach and see some big waves.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Either way it would still be cool to go to the beach and see some big waves.. Cape Bretton is a long drive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 Meh maybe next time.. we have to get lucky at some point 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Meh maybe next time.. we have to get lucky at some point Jova for New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 33 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Meh maybe next time.. we have to get lucky at some point Why do people want a hurricane impact? Do you hate your house 1 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 44 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Meh maybe next time.. we have to get lucky at some point We have been lucky for the last 33 years. I get the excitement of tracking tropical here but no major storm since 91 ( and we have a history of CAT 3 storms) and think of the tree growth since then. A strong CAT 1 or greater here will cause significant tree damage and people will be without power for weeks; any many are not prepared for this. Heck after a normal storm people expect power to be back within an hour or two. Having been through 5-6 storms in FL, most people there have emergency supply kits, and the state offers 2 tax free weekends to our purchase storm related supplies, and new gas stations are all built with backup generators…So in short we have been lucky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Cape Bretton is a long drive. I hear it’s beautiful this time of year though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Meh maybe next time.. we have to get lucky at some point Not so fast Read Webbs tweet. Look at what happened with Debby. Kept shifting west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I hear it’s beautiful this time of year though. I’m on the east side of PEI right now and the wind is howling! Not much rain though so it’s kind of fun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Not so fast Read Webbs tweet. Look at what happened with Debby. Kept shifting west. He gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He gone. We track till the end 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He gone. If it's gone, I want it long gone. No more sloppy seconds thanks... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Why do people want a hurricane impact? Do you hate your house people do be thirsty ahh mfs these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He gone. At this early point, Gotta be careful with talk like that Luke… I agree, Always bet against a hit in SNE for the most part, but modeling is certainly not handling these features correctly at this stage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 28 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: At this early point, Gotta be careful with talk like that Luke… I agree, Always bet against a hit in SNE for the most part, but modeling is certainly not handling these features correctly at this stage. Our friend hopes for San Diego wx nine months out of the year. Not that there’s anything wrong with that…I guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Our friend hopes for San Diego wx nine months out of the year. Not that there’s anything wrong with that…I guess. Lol..ya I get it. If we say it’s/he gone as the thing is in its very early formative stages, and it’s 9-10 days away from anything even happening up here, then that’s as bad as wishcasting imo. I know guys like to stir the pot for Kev and Anthony, and it’s all in fun, but gotta be careful sometimes with blanket statements of certainty. Big hits are very rare up here as we all understand, but they aren’t non-existent either. So at some point, it’s “gonna happen.” That we can all bet on. But “When” is the big question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol..ya I get it. If we say it’s/he gone as the thing is in its very early formative stages, and it’s 9-10 days away from anything even happening up here, then that’s as bad as wishcasting imo. I know guys like to stir the pot for Kev and Anthony, and it’s all in fun, but gotta be careful sometimes with blanket statements of certainty. Big hits are very rare up here as we all understand, but they aren’t non-existent either. So at some point, it’s “gonna happen.” That we can all bet on. But “When” is the big question. The same ones every threat say he gone she gone they gone. They said it for Dirty Debb and she came 300 miles west of us. They’re just wishcasting canes away .Even with one bearing down on us with warnings and big damage imminent they’d post she gone. This one has a solid d chance of making it back to coast . 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 12Z GFS was close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 Congrats canada 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The same ones every threat say he gone she gone they gone. They said it for Dirty Debb and she came 300 miles west of us. They’re just wishcasting canes away .This one had solid d chance of making it back to coast I get it Kev…that’s why I said saying “he gone” is as irresponsible as wishcasting. It’s silly. It’s always low chance in SNE, but that low chance will be realized at some point too Someday. That we know. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Congrats canada All possibilities are on the table this far out…but it’s low chance as always. So we watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 Looks like the Maritimes are in play. Makes sense since my area is the new TC magnet. Long ways out. We watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 The pattern suggests that there’s a couple of ways the guidance could shift west. It may still very well go OTS. But if it gets to the Bahamas and guidance is still trying to pop some type of cutoff that’s going to lead to a close U.S. approach. At least. I know tropical is an imby thing around here but we also tend to forget about our Atlantic Canada friends. Lee (‘23), Fiona (‘22), Larry (‘21), Teddy (‘20), Dorian (‘19) had varying direct impacts on the region with Lee, Fiona, and Teddy coming from patterns that initially looked like an easy recurve. Tbh @Hazey and Atlantic Canada should be watching as closely as anyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 awt, Canada 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Congrats canada RIP Brampton, everyone in the vicinity would need to get their gas masks out + toilet bleach 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: awt, Canada Brampton, ON might take a beating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 12z EURO way OTS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 He gone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 10 Share Posted August 10 47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He gone Lol, “HE” doesn’t even exist yet. Just a swirl of clouds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now