MJO812 Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 Whatever happens with the eventual track, conditions look ripe for this one to get pretty strong. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 For the fishies. 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 I'm on my way to Maine so not upset Debbie calmed won to a plain little rain storm. Plenty of time for another one though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 Recurve is always the betting favorite. That’s our climo. Often times you can see the recurve pattern a mile away, other times the steering signal is more interesting. This is the latter right now. If the trough were showing up as flat as a pancake or out in the Atlantic there wouldn’t be anything to discuss. We’ll see what it is should this wave develop in about a week, and when it’s actually approaching the ECONUS some days after that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 https://x.com/reid_lt/status/1821645555006644391?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: https://x.com/reid_lt/status/1821645555006644391?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg That would be quite the storm…I guess we can always hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 JV models like JMA and NOGAPS both have it, too. Let's go! 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 Ernesto destroys! E MA wx will blog ! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ernesto destroys! E MA wx will blog ! Cool name too…1938 redux- let’s do it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 probably kicked on the 18z gfs. UL is too weak and south 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: probably kicked on the 18z gfs. UL is too weak and south Close but fish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 Not even that close tbh. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 50 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Close but fish We fish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 Yup gone before it even started 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We fish So was Deb’s Instead it’s over the Apps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 8, 2024 Share Posted August 8, 2024 show me a similar 500mb anomaly pattern that had a hit here, and I'll re-consider I guess a few maybe had similarities with that trough in the west but it looks rough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 12 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: show me a similar 500mb anomaly pattern that had a hit here, and I'll re-consider I guess a few maybe had similarities with that trough in the west but it looks rough It won’t look like that is the point . Some of us knew Deb wasn’t OTS 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It won’t look like that is the point . Some of us knew Deb wasn’t OTS Completely different setup and we all knew Dirty Deb wasn't going OTS. 12z Euro op is slower with the system, and has the U/L towards WV, while the GFS buries the U/L way way southwest over TN nearly GA. You want that UL over the lakes more like the Dirty Deb setup and no model shows that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So was Deb’s Instead it’s over the Apps Who cares when it’s a garbage low. Like I said, weak low with bullshit results. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Who cares when it’s a garbage low. Like I said, weak low with bullshit results. You also said “she gone”. One of those is not like the other 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 There are ways to get it up here, needs to be on the low-and-slow end of guidance jmo. Faster or develops more north are bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 GGEM ensemble has like 6/21 Canada hits, no NE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 58 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It won’t look like that is the point . Some of us knew Deb wasn’t OTS Yeah but you thought it was a cat two lolz... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 The look will change…that you can bet on. What it changes to, is anybody’s guess this far out. Fantasy range at this juncture. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 00z Euro would send this board off the deep end. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 11 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: 00z Euro would send this board off the deep end. He gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He gone We track 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 The 300hr tropical talk is almost as exciting as 300hr snow storm runs 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 9, 2024 Share Posted August 9, 2024 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He gone So was Debby right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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