ROOSTA Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Seems like just about everyone is onboard for the present wave just E of the Antilles to gain tropical characteristics. 50/50 ATT from NHC. If, a big IF... Don't know what to think. Gut feeling- It doesn't develop. Drought continues. I'm all in for a late blooming prolific season. Record breaker maybe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 @ineedsnowgives me the "huh" emoji for posting "zzzzzzzz" then likes a post opining that the only threat currently on the map won't develop. Gotcha- 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: @ineedsnowgives me the "huh" emoji for posting "zzzzzzzz" then likes a post opining that the only threat currently on the map won't develop. Gotcha- He confused. We Zzzzzzzzzzzz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He confused. We Zzzzzzzzzzzz. Funny how you can get a grasp of your stalkers through emoji patterns... that @NoCORH4Lis one...I could post that the sky is blue and would post a confused emoji. I don't mean people that I know, like Kevin. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Funny how you can get a grasp of your stalkers through emoji patterns... that @NoCORH4Lis one...I could post that the sky is blue and would post a confused emoji. I don't mean people that I know, like Kevin. Are things going as planned so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Must be some thinly veiled, passive aggressive pun aimed at a failed seasonal effort.....yep...you got me. Go figure, an amatreur weather hobbyist endeavoring to take on something very few pros will got it wrong. Guessing that "NoCORH4L" is the name of the weather coop that you meticulously set up in your mom's backyard on prom night. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 What’s happening here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: What’s happening here? Another seasonal forecast bust self-graded a B+ 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Beer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 As long as some models show a decently strong hurricane off the coast (even if steering isn’t cooperating) we watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Another seasonal forecast bust self-graded a B+ "Final Grade for 2023-2024 Season: D" "Final Grade for 2022-2023 Season: D" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 1 hour ago, tiger_deF said: As long as some models show a decently strong hurricane off the coast (even if steering isn’t cooperating) we watch Zero chance of that landfalling in New England. Then again, maybe this call is as accurate as my last couple of winter calls, which means we are in trouble...but I don't see anything to capture it. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Without a low digging into the Ohio Valley and southerly flow ahead, we zzzzzzz. Need a lot of things to fall in place to get something here, regardless of how due we are. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 So much confusion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Congrats again Atlantic Canada on the Euro But seriously, our only chance for anything other than cirrus is for the ridge to drive this into the Carolinas and then NE. Even then, remnants are a long shot. Maybe we can get a PRE out of it in SNE while Stein cradles Dendy to sleep lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Ok it whiffs. Next 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 I think its a little too early to declare a fish or Canada storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 18z EPS is interesting 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 Trough too flat 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 Looking solid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 Are we still chasing a cluster of clouds? must be boring 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 Just now, weatherwiz said: Are we still chasing a cluster of clouds? must be boring Those clouds are looking a little better this morning 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Those clouds are looking a little better this morning yeah showing some signs as it gets into a bit more of a favorable environment. We shall see what happens. Looks like the GFS actually takes it into the Gulf and blows up there? I'm assuming its the same wave anyways...haven't looked too closely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: yeah showing some signs as it gets into a bit more of a favorable environment. We shall see what happens. Looks like the GFS actually takes it into the Gulf and blows up there? I'm assuming its the same wave anyways...haven't looked too closely. It’s a very favorable environment in the western Atlantic, but the size of the wave and dryness aloft has kept this from popping quickly. I’d still say it’s unlikely anything happens in our neck of the woods but the SE is definitely in the game and we (and Atlantic Canada) should keep a casual eye on it. I don’t think the GFS Gulf solutions are viable given the convective activity we’re starting to see north of the Antilles but we’ll see if that activity leads to earlier development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: It’s a very favorable environment in the western Atlantic, but the size of the wave and dryness aloft has kept this from popping quickly. I’d still say it’s unlikely anything happens in our neck of the woods but the SE is definitely in the game and we (and Atlantic Canada) should keep a casual eye on it. I don’t think the GFS Gulf solutions are viable given the convective activity we’re starting to see north of the Antilles but we’ll see if that activity leads to earlier development. The GFS was certainly something We'll see how quickly any organization can occur once into a more favorable environment although dry air may still continue to be somewhat of an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The GFS was certainly something We'll see how quickly any organization can occur once into a more favorable environment although dry air may still continue to be somewhat of an issue. Yeah I think that probably continues to be a limiting factor but just note guidance has become more aggressive with intensification recently. With a favorable UL wind environment that can help keep nearby dry air from getting imparted. Still a fair amount of uncertainty with this one, but it continues to look legit to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah I think that probably continues to be a limiting factor but just note guidance has become more aggressive with intensification recently. With a favorable UL wind environment that can help keep nearby dry air from getting imparted. Still a fair amount of uncertainty with this one, but it continues to look legit to me. I am interested with this due to potential impacts along the Southeast coast but overall not too excited on this yet. The Euro has certainly been one of the more consistent and impressive with potential development. I would expect models though to continue struggling just because we don't have much to work with yet, so essentially it's just watching how this evolves on satellite throughout the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 31 Share Posted July 31 11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I am interested with this due to potential impacts along the Southeast coast but overall not too excited on this yet. The Euro has certainly been one of the more consistent and impressive with potential development. I would expect models though to continue struggling just because we don't have much to work with yet, so essentially it's just watching how this evolves on satellite throughout the day. Nothing to really generate excitement yet, but for a tropical head like me I’m paying more attention each day. It’s going to be a few more days until TC genesis. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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