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February Discobs 2024


George BM
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We're getting to the point where snowfall amount probabilities
  in the Sierra/northeast CA won't even matter--being replaced by
  certainties. Snow amounts will be so much and difficult to 
  accurately measure due to strong winds producing prolonged 
  periods of near zero visibility, and blowing/drifting snow 
  capable of burying vehicles and making it difficult to locate 
  roads. Even walking outside would not be advised during this 
  storm as a person could quickly become lost or disoriented.

Its going to get chilly here, but this is the AFD for the Sierra Nevada. I'm chasing it. Flying out today at 4 PM to Reno and spending 6 nights up near Donner Pass. This should be the chase of a lifetime. 

 

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On 2/23/2024 at 1:50 AM, Jrlg1181 said:

Only received 0.93 inches of total precip this month , following 6.58 for January.... Since mid November we have for the most part made up for that crushing drought in the Valley last year, but heading into the spring growing season down here we certainly don't want a drier than normal March following this February... The drought may have ended but it was still going strong only 3 months ago... Not sure if the ground water level has fully recovered yet...

Good News!!  We have returned to near normal.  It bottomed out at 91.34 ft. on November 21, now up to 71.16 ft..

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2 hours ago, katabatic said:

We're getting to the point where snowfall amount probabilities
  in the Sierra/northeast CA won't even matter--being replaced by
  certainties. Snow amounts will be so much and difficult to 
  accurately measure due to strong winds producing prolonged 
  periods of near zero visibility, and blowing/drifting snow 
  capable of burying vehicles and making it difficult to locate 
  roads. Even walking outside would not be advised during this 
  storm as a person could quickly become lost or disoriented.

Its going to get chilly here, but this is the AFD for the Sierra Nevada. I'm chasing it. Flying out today at 4 PM to Reno and spending 6 nights up near Donner Pass. This should be the chase of a lifetime. 

 

Holy crap. Really? That's awesome - have fun and do take care. 

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4 hours ago, katabatic said:

We're getting to the point where snowfall amount probabilities
  in the Sierra/northeast CA won't even matter--being replaced by
  certainties. Snow amounts will be so much and difficult to 
  accurately measure due to strong winds producing prolonged 
  periods of near zero visibility, and blowing/drifting snow 
  capable of burying vehicles and making it difficult to locate 
  roads. Even walking outside would not be advised during this 
  storm as a person could quickly become lost or disoriented.

Its going to get chilly here, but this is the AFD for the Sierra Nevada. I'm chasing it. Flying out today at 4 PM to Reno and spending 6 nights up near Donner Pass. This should be the chase of a lifetime. 

 

Please send some pics or vids 

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Most all high end predictions don’t work out anymore but let’s see if the Mega Front concept still can .

its my own arbitrary but these are the parameters to qualify around DC . Either/Or does it

13 degree drop in one hour.

18 degree drop in 2 hours 

23 degree drop in 3 hours

28 degree drop in 6 hours 

35 degree drop in 12 hours

42 degree drop in 24 hours 

I believe great November front if 1995 that set off great 95-96 winter qualified on all 6 or 5 of 6 and I can’t remember another that did. 

 

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6 hours ago, katabatic said:

We're getting to the point where snowfall amount probabilities
  in the Sierra/northeast CA won't even matter--being replaced by
  certainties. Snow amounts will be so much and difficult to 
  accurately measure due to strong winds producing prolonged 
  periods of near zero visibility, and blowing/drifting snow 
  capable of burying vehicles and making it difficult to locate 
  roads. Even walking outside would not be advised during this 
  storm as a person could quickly become lost or disoriented.

Its going to get chilly here, but this is the AFD for the Sierra Nevada. I'm chasing it. Flying out today at 4 PM to Reno and spending 6 nights up near Donner Pass. This should be the chase of a lifetime. 

 

WOW I can't wait to see some of your videos of this.  Current Donner Pass forecast:

Thursday:  New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible.
Thursday Night:  New snow accumulation of 17 to 23 inches possible.
Friday:  New snow accumulation of 19 to 25 inches possible.
Friday Night:  Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. 
Saturday:  Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow
Saturday Night:  Snow showers likely, mainly before 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow before 11pm. 

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1 hour ago, BlizzardNole said:

WOW I can't wait to see some of your videos of this.  Current Donner Pass forecast:

Thursday:  New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible.
Thursday Night:  New snow accumulation of 17 to 23 inches possible.
Friday:  New snow accumulation of 19 to 25 inches possible.
Friday Night:  Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. 
Saturday:  Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow
Saturday Night:  Snow showers likely, mainly before 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow before 11pm. 

Already having flight drama but I will make this come hell or high…snow. Blizzard warning now up for 5-10 feet and 65 mph winds. My Airbnb is at 7,100 feet on the windward side of the Sierra. The condo is at the base of Donner ski resort so if there is anywhere that’s going to max out on QPF, this will be it. LFG! 

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1 minute ago, katabatic said:

According to NWS I’m in the 100+ inch zone at Donner. There is 3 extra bedrooms at this place…anybody wanna come and help me shovel lol 

IMG_0054.png

I'm sure they are good at what they do up there but all I can imagine is getting stuck there... it being Donner Pass doesn't help with my concerns lol

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55 minutes ago, katabatic said:

According to NWS I’m in the 100+ inch zone at Donner. There is 3 extra bedrooms at this place…anybody wanna come and help me shovel lol 

IMG_0054.png

I read this wrong at first and thought you were getting 4,500 to 5,500 feet of snow on Thursday, then another 2,000 to 4,000 feet on Friday, etc. By Sunday morning I think the snow would be stacked up into outer space. I think most here would be happy with that. :lol:

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2 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

I read this wrong at first and thought you were getting 4,500 to 5,500 feet of snow on Thursday, then another 2,000 to 4,000 feet on Friday, etc. By Sunday morning I think the snow would be stacked up into outer space. I think most here would be happy with that. :lol:

Yeah, who cares about 100" of snow?  If its not 4,500 feet of snow, I'm out.

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12 hours ago, katabatic said:

We're getting to the point where snowfall amount probabilities
  in the Sierra/northeast CA won't even matter--being replaced by
  certainties. Snow amounts will be so much and difficult to 
  accurately measure due to strong winds producing prolonged 
  periods of near zero visibility, and blowing/drifting snow 
  capable of burying vehicles and making it difficult to locate 
  roads. Even walking outside would not be advised during this 
  storm as a person could quickly become lost or disoriented.

Its going to get chilly here, but this is the AFD for the Sierra Nevada. I'm chasing it. Flying out today at 4 PM to Reno and spending 6 nights up near Donner Pass. This should be the chase of a lifetime. 

 

damn you better get some video!!!

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