George BM Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Forecast Discussion Friday, February 16, 2024 3:28PM EST Winter Storm Warning in effect for the Greater Washington DC metro region from 5PM EST Friday afternoon until 6AM EST Saturday morning. Blizzard Warning in effect for the Greater Washington DC metro region from 6AM EST Saturday morning until 9AM EST Sunday morning. Wind Chill Advisory in effect for the Greater Washington DC metro region from 2AM EST Sunday morning until 9AM EST Sunday morning. High to Extreme Impact Winter Weather Event will commence across the region this evening. Clouds have overspread the forecast area with the first reports of light snow/snow flakes coming in around Charlottesville. Temps currently hover around 28-32F across the region w/ dewpts in the low 10s. The snow will spread northeastwards over the area over the next several hours probably reaching the District of Columbia between 22-23z (5-6pm) and Baltimore as well as the MD/PA line by 1z (8pm) or so. Temps will fall into the mid/upper 20s areawide as the atmosphere wetbulbs. Snow will become heavier and northeasterly surface winds will increase throughout the night as the strong southern shortwave and associated surface low move east out of the NC mountains and towards the coast by dawn. Temperatures will remain fairly steady in the mid to upper 20sF throughout the night. However, with NE winds gusting up to 35 mph as dawn approaches, wind chills will drop into the lower teens. As the surface low approaches the VA/NC coast a powerful northern stream shortwave dropping in from the northwest will phase with the southern system leading to 1.) The surface low slowing down and veering NNE over the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay and 2.) Explosive deepening of said surface low. As this occurs snowfall rates will become very heavy (potentially exceeding 3”/hr) owing to strong lift and upper-level divergence. Winds, which will have northerly component by then, will become strong to perhaps damaging at times, gusting 50 to 60 mph (perhaps to around 70 mph at times over the Bay) particularly by the late afternoon and evening hours. This will lead to near-whiteout conditions over the region throughout the day and into Saturday night. With the strong dynamics in place occasional lightning/thunder is possible. Temps will slowly fall from the mid/upper 20s during the morning into the lower 20s by late in the afternoon dropping windchills well into the single digits. The surface low will most likely bottom out in the upper 960smb range around 03z-06z Sunday as it stalls or possibly does a small loop around Ocean City, Maryland before moving slowly off to the east as a strong, large north Atlantic low coupled with a strong Greenland high (strongly -NAO pattern) keeps the storm from quickly heading NE. Near-whiteout blizzard conditions will continue through the night and into Sunday morning until snow starts tapering off from west to east later Sunday morning. Temps during this time will fall from the lower 20s/near 20F into the mid-teens as colder air wraps in behind the low-pressure center. With winds remaining very strong through the night. Windchills values will drop to around 5F or so below zero across the Greater DC/Baltimore metropolitan regions. Wind Chill Advisories will likely be needed across the majority of the forecast area Sunday morning. By the end of it all snowfall totals will generally be in the 32”-48” range across the region w/ localized areas that end up under the heaviest banding the longest getting 4+ feet. Snow totals will be most likely end up around 20”-30”+ in eastern MD near the eastern shore of the Chesapeake Bay. The higher elevations far north and west may end up with 36 to 52 inches w/ localized amounts of 5+ feet possible. Snow drifts may end up as high as 20 feet in some spots. This will make travel impossible for most for a period of time after the snow has ended, especially with temperatures remain below freezing for the entire upcoming workweek. Forecaster Wannabe: George BM 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 It's about time, George BM! I like this storm. I would be out digging snow throughout the Metropolitan Region during and well after the storm. I would be observing strict Jebman Standards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Mammoth is ripping, epic rippage! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Lol it will be fascinating to see how some on here interpret Bob and Cape's dialogue in the long range thread. This might be fun or not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Bob canceled winter until March 20, right? (kidding) but weird dynamic to see psu playing voice of optimistic reason. Like they switched good cop/bad cop roles… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Seriously? The Commanders new head coach is Quinn, former Cowboys DC https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/39435992/sources-commanders-hire-cowboys-dc-dan-quinn-new-coach 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Seriously? The Commanders new head coach is Quinn, former Cowboys DC https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/39435992/sources-commanders-hire-cowboys-dc-dan-quinn-new-coach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Quinn was a mediocre head coach, 43-42 lifetime. But wait he is a defensive genius...Don't tell Green Bay... A lot of better choices out there than Quinn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 "We got the 28-3 head coach! No, not Belichick, the other one!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Read the whole thread. It’s always uplifting to hear stories about other people stepping up to help others. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 25 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Read the whole thread. It’s always uplifting to hear stories about other people stepping up to help others. I'm sure it's a heartwarming read, but it's requiring a login to see the other three tweets. Not gonna do it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Mammoth got demolished last night as snow simply poured down! They got 14 inches! Major storm cycle in progress as yet another 17 inches pile up today! Massive refills in the white room into tonight! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 A Wiccan prayer for snow: "From the reaches of the north,a place of cold blue beauty,comes to us the first winter storm.Wind whipping, flakes flying,the snow has fallen upon the earth,keeping us close,keeping us together,wrapped up as everything sleepsbeneath a blanket of white." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 67 and sunny as I land in Tampa. Pretty sweet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 1 hour ago, mattie g said: I'm sure it's a heartwarming read, but it's requiring a login to see the other three tweets. Not gonna do it! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 2 hours ago, biodhokie said: "We got the 28-3 head coach! No, not Belichick, the other one!" I texted my son who’s a Cowboys fan. His immediate response: “thank God he’s out of Dallas!” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 An NFL player sitting in a cowcar aisle seat? That makes the story even more impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 3 hours ago, blizzardmeiser said: Quinn was a mediocre head coach, 43-42 lifetime. But wait he is a defensive genius...Don't tell Green Bay... A lot of better choices out there than Quinn Yeah... Like why didn't Beinemy get his chance? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 Can you feel it....he's about to implode...it's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 1 hour ago, aldie 22 said: Can you feel it....he's about to implode...it's coming. poor steve. He has put so much time into this epic pattern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 16 minutes ago, Ji said: poor steve. He has put so much time into this epic pattern Reading your FB group page is a hoot...it's kind of like us reading you on here only in bulk lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 2 hours ago, yoda said: Quite the contrast between the humble Andrews and the asshole TE from KC who is spending all his free time on talk shows raging and cursing a HoF kicker. He should get checked out. Maybe onset of CTE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 True to form many on here aren't known for their patience Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 O’s trading for Corbin burnes. Joey Ortiz and DL Hall are reportedly the trade pieces. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: O’s trading for Corbin burnes. Joey Ortiz and DL Hall are reportedly the trade pieces. 7:27pm: Milwaukee is also acquiring a Competitive Balance Round A draft choice, reports Mark Feinsand of MLB.com (X link). According to Feinsand, the full trade is Ortiz, Hall and the #34 overall pick in next year’s draft for Burnes. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/02/orioles-nearing-deal-for-corbin-burnes.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Think it’s a pretty reasonable trade. Think Hall has big potential as a closer closer type reliever, but Burnes is a good move for the O’s and probably now at least some chance he could sign a new contract with the team given new ownership. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Absolutely love this trade. Hall was okay in spots but I'm not too big on him. Burnes is a legit ace and exactly what the O's needed. Love Rubinstein already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Did not take the new Orioles ownership long to act. Really good trade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Very solid trade. Nice move to solidify the starting rotation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 Love the trade. Didn't have to give up any of there top prospects. What Chicago wanted for Cease was outrageous. Basically 4 of the top 100 prospects in all of Baseball. I look at it as self sabotage for the GM of the whitesox 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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