Chris78 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Ji said: The gfs is just useless right now. America should be embarrassed Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk What if we get snow next Weekend? You could say the GFS sniffed it out first lol. Gfs had it 3 or 4 runs in a roe a couple days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, nj2va said: For S&G For real S&G post the entire 240 snowfall map lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Chris78 said: For real S&G post the entire 240 snowfall map lol You want Ji to lose it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Chris78 said: For real S&G post the entire 240 snowfall map lol Is it spring yet? 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, nj2va said: Is it spring yet? Winning lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Because I am being snarky this evening, I can't wait to see those h5 maps showing AWESOME BLOCKING and shit on the 00z GEFS later tonight and probably on the 00z EPS too. I'm getting annoyed with them. Its time to PUSU ETA -- I'm not talking about the posters... I mean the models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Yeah, the GFS long range is bleak if you believe this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, the GFS long range is bleak if you believe this run I enjoyed that 1040+ HP in Quebec scooting out to sea for our Feb 21st threat to become cold rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 It’s just one run maybe two, and the EPO trend may be incorrectly modeled, but Commodity WG posted this (and I consider them to be credible): https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1756015637673972047?s=46&t=etSZn0BwxaYu-SKkXncW9w Right now I don’t have any confidence in what’s going to happen the rest of this month. None. I’m in wait and see mode now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 10 minutes ago, yoda said: Because I am being snarky this evening, I can't wait to see those h5 maps showing AWESOME BLOCKING and shit on the 00z GEFS later tonight and probably on the 00z EPS too. I'm getting annoyed with them. Its time to PUSU ETA -- I'm not talking about the posters... I mean the models That’s why I’m tracking that garbage ass snow threat for Tuesday, the long range stuff is no guarantee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 It’s just one run maybe two, and the EPO trend may be incorrectly modeled, but Commodity WG posted this (and I consider them to be credible):https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1756015637673972047?s=46&t=etSZn0BwxaYu-SKkXncW9w Right now I don’t have any confidence in what’s going to happen the rest of this month. None. I’m in wait and see mode now. Gefs looks way colder for pdSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Gefs looks way colder for pd Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Its trended a bit north the last couple of days, though. Less suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Its trended a bit north the last couple of days, though. Less suppressionSomething has to be sacrificed for less suppression. Hopefully Carolinas take the fallSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 PD storm chance on the 00z EURO just peters out as it gets to our region... but there's barely any snow anyway with the entire system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12 minutes ago, yoda said: PD storm chance on the 00z EURO just peters out as it gets to our region... but there's barely any snow anyway with the entire system This one may take a bit to figure out....At first it looked like it was either phased bomb or suppressed. And I guess that is still technically the case... But today we've seen the trend away from suppression where the wave has no chance, to with different solutions to the NS interactions. Pull up a chair cause it's gonna be awhile to sort out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Those awesome ensembles we saw over the past week? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 minutes ago, yoda said: Those awesome ensembles we saw over the past week? This made me laugh and cry. Helluva post. Tough break for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 28 minutes ago, BristowWx said: This made me laugh and cry. Helluva post. Tough break for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 No 50/50... no PNA ridge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 No 50/50... no PNA ridge...I noticed today mjo went back to phase 6?Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Ji said: I noticed today mjo went back to phase 6? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Made a hard uturn in the past few days and is now forecast by 2 out of the 3 to enter the COD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Made a hard uturn in the past few days and is now forecast by 2 out of the 3 to enter the CODMy euro snowchart looks good but I wonder if skewed by non event early next weekSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Ji said: My euro snowchart looks good but I wonder if skewed by non event early next week Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk uh yeah it is lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Where is @brooklynwx99 Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I'm hoping to chalk this up to models always struggling with new pattern change regime and they will self correct soon but geezSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, Ji said: I'm hoping to chalk this up to models always struggling with new pattern change regime and they will self correct soon but geez Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Hang in there man. We've already lost a few good ones along the way, we can't afford to lose you too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 hours ago, Terpeast said: It’s just one run maybe two, and the EPO trend may be incorrectly modeled, but Commodity WG posted this (and I consider them to be credible): https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1756015637673972047?s=46&t=etSZn0BwxaYu-SKkXncW9w Right now I don’t have any confidence in what’s going to happen the rest of this month. None. I’m in wait and see mode now. This isn't a new development though. This has been modeled for many days now. I do think that ridge closing off and shifting north + the Pac trough encroaching on the west coast is the main reason recent guidance is somewhat less cold for the beginning of late month 'prime' window. It looks temporary though as the trough retrogrades a bit with a PNA ridge starting to develop towards the 23rd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, yoda said: Made a hard uturn in the past few days and is now forecast by 2 out of the 3 to enter the COD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 0z Ens runs look active. Both the GEFS and EPS indicate potential for the 18th and the 20-21st, and then ofc the PSU baby around the 24th. No details. Temperatures look below avg from the 17th on(colder on the EPS), but nothing super cold. The pattern continues to look volatile. Some of you need to stop living/dying with LR op runs. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 28 minutes ago, CAPE said: 0z Ens runs look active. Both the GEFS and EPS indicate potential for the 18th and the 20-21st, and then ofc the PSU baby around the 24th. No details. Temperatures look below avg from the 17th on(colder on the EPS), but nothing super cold. The pattern continues to look volatile. Some of you need to stop living/dying with LR op runs. My post showed the 00z EPS Day 10-15 h5. There was nothing nice about it. No PNA ridge, no 50/50... cutoff about to slam into the West which will raise heights into the Plains... 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now