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Mid/Late February will be rocking. (This year we mean it!) February long range discussion.


JenkinsJinkies
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7 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

 

All we need now is Storm 1 and Storm 2!!

LMAO x 999 decillion lol

We need KU Blizzard 1 and KU Blizzard 2.

We need some Dr. Seuss magic right about now, whip this epic pattern right into shape, give us a couple blizzards that somehow get stalled out in the 40/70 position for the DMV and just keep spinning for days and days while dumping torrential Mammoth magnitude snows. It's high time! The mid atlantic is way overdue, and to hell with the warm base state.

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2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

GFS and CMC looking less suppressive for PD...(cmc with the biggest change from 12z) Waves are closer to interacting...let's see where this goes.

That it is. Then again, the ns is all over the place with the gfs. Zero confidence in any solution it puts out beyond 180hrs, except that there will be a ss wave deep south

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8 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

That it is. Then again, the ns is all over the place with the gfs. Zero confidence in any solution it puts out beyond 180hrs

Yep. If we're talking about that interaction, ain't no way we can know for sure. But I would like to see the trend of less suppressed continue...that way we can take our chances on getting a phase.

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It’s just one run maybe two, and the EPO trend may be incorrectly modeled, but Commodity WG posted this (and I consider them to be credible):

https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1756015637673972047?s=46&t=etSZn0BwxaYu-SKkXncW9w

Right now I don’t have any confidence in what’s going to happen the rest of this month. None. I’m in wait and see mode now. 

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10 minutes ago, yoda said:

Because I am being snarky this evening, I can't wait to see those h5 maps showing AWESOME BLOCKING and shit on the 00z GEFS later tonight and probably on the 00z EPS too.  I'm getting annoyed with them.  Its time to PUSU

ETA -- I'm not talking about the posters... I mean the models

That’s why I’m tracking that garbage ass snow threat for Tuesday, the long range stuff is no guarantee

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It’s just one run maybe two, and the EPO trend may be incorrectly modeled, but Commodity WG posted this (and I consider them to be credible):
https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1756015637673972047?s=46&t=etSZn0BwxaYu-SKkXncW9w
Right now I don’t have any confidence in what’s going to happen the rest of this month. None. I’m in wait and see mode now. 
Gefs looks way colder for pd

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk

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12 minutes ago, yoda said:

PD storm chance on the 00z EURO just peters out as it gets to our region... but there's barely any snow anyway with the entire system

This one may take a bit to figure out....At first it looked like it was either phased bomb or suppressed. And I guess that is still technically the case... But today we've seen the trend away from suppression where the wave has no chance, to with different solutions to the NS interactions. Pull up a chair cause it's gonna be awhile to sort out :lol:

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