Terpeast Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 If it’s getting this bad in here, wait until I post my winter 2024-25 preview after getting shut out this feb and march 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: If it’s getting this bad in here, wait until I post my winter 2024-25 preview after getting shut out this feb and march We still have that one week of winter in January and no one, and I mean no one, can take that away from us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, blizzardmeiser said: We still have that one week of winter in January and no one, and I mean no one, can take that away from us We do, indeed. I hope we cherish that week for a long time to come. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 6 minutes ago, Terpeast said: If it’s getting this bad in here, wait until I post my winter 2024-25 preview after getting shut out this feb and march Is there a way for a winter to be so bad it subtracts snow from other winters? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 hour ago, paulythegun said: A West-based NAO born and raisedOver Greenland was where I spent most of my daysChillin' out, maxin', relaxin', all coolAnd all blockin' the arctic airmass pool When a couple of highs who were up to no goodStarted suppressing waves in my neighborhoodI got one southern slider and Ji got scaredHe said, "You're movin' winter back to March it's not fair" Post of the winter. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Is there a way for a winter to be so bad it subtracts snow from other winters? We’ll get a KU next year because nothing makes sense anymore 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 31 minutes ago, Terpeast said: If it’s getting this bad in here, wait until I post my winter 2024-25 preview after getting shut out this feb and march Yeah.. did you guys see the NOAA issued a La Nina watch https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/february-2024-enso-outlook-all-along-la-nina-watch-tower And it could be +QBO next year too.. and the last time we had +NAO we hit 80 in January! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: We do, indeed. I hope we cherish that week for a long time to come. I got 9.5” in two storms that week. I’m good for this winter Maybe even next winter as well. Fuck it! See everyone in 2026. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: I got 9.5” in two storms that week. I’m good for this winter Maybe even next winter as well. Fuck it! See everyone in 2026. Thinking of either going to whistler for skiing or visiting my brother in Spokane next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Maybe we need a comeback thread here too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Dude NAO isn't even stronger on our side of the globe. https://ibb.co/zFvdTQv 0.38 correlation in February to Air Temps https://ibb.co/XDCcQyq https://ibb.co/P6KD38J Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 27 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Might be time to break out the Downfall video: Das snow ist befell!! 2 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Blast from the past...we need the laugh from last year. Definitely was my piece de resistance. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 4 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Thinking of either going to whistler for skiing or visiting my brother in Spokane next winter Need a fellow skier to travel with? Whistler is at the top of my list of mountains I need to ski. I’m serious. Let me know. Ok…back to beer sales I go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, Scraff said: Need a fellow skier to travel with? Whistler is at the top of my list of mountains I need to ski. I’m serious. Let me know. Ok…back to beer sales I go. Sure! For now my idea was a dart toss at a La Nina climo map most favorable for snow, lol But if I go through with it, it'll be a family trip with the wife and kid in tow... though I might want to hit the steeper slopes with a fellow skier while they stick with the bunnies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Blast from the past...we need the laugh from last year The line about the guy who makes his own snow made me burst out loud laughing. Haven't thought about him in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, EHoffman said: The line about the guy who makes his own snow made me burst out loud laughing. Haven't thought about him in years. Midlo. He's been MIA for the past few hours. Loved me some Midlo. He paved the way for RR. He crawled so RR could walk. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, stormtracker said: Midlo. He's been MIA for the past few hours. Loved me some Midlo. He paved the way for RR. He crawled so RR could walk. That was his name, right. Hilarious character. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 10 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Sure! For now my idea was a dart toss at a La Nina climo map most favorable for snow, lol But if I go through with it, it'll be a family trip with the wife and kid in tow... though I might want to hit the steeper slopes with a fellow skier while they stick with the bunnies Early word is JB’s favoring 95-96 as his top analog 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Euro has a southern wave..like way south into Mexico, but it won't be able to amplify. On to 18 and 0z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 5 minutes ago, EHoffman said: That was his name, right. Hilarious character. I loved his backyard snow maker. I wanted to dig the snow and pile it right up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro has a southern wave..like way south into Mexico, but it won't be able to amplify. On to 18 and 0z! Every model run thar does that it just looks like the wave says PD3 as it slides south...man the psu storm...hope it works. We can't get shutout this month and gamble with March to try to get to 25-30" like many predictions did. We may have an idea in 10 days...(when that storm would be in modeling range) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro has a southern wave..like way south into Mexico, but it won't be able to amplify. On to 18 and 0z! I know this PD3 wave will likely be suppressed, but damn, the look of that storm brewing in the plains on all the globals around D7 gets my loins movin’… 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 21 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Got damn good belly laugh out of that video again! Never fails Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I know this PD3 wave will likely be suppressed, but damn, the look of that storm brewing in the plains on all the globals around D7 gets my loins movin’… Suppressed pants-tent, as it were! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 But hang on though...is a phase completely out of the question for thar wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Did you guys see my NG research? It's since fallen down to 1.83 https://ibb.co/kxdbZSs Quote Since 1998, top 7 +Natural Gas analogs for February averaged 8.3, bottom 4 Natural Gas analogs for February averaged 2.2. We are at 1.97, the 3rd lowest on record in that time, fitting the extreme situation guideline. Here are the top 11 +analogs for March.. based on Feb's NG price: https://ibb.co/6wKqgDf https://ibb.co/Hp0zZqW ^that's Feb high/low NG price rolled forward into March (so a +1 month lead time). I don't know that March's warmth will be that extreme, because a lot of LR models (GEFS, EPS, Euro) are showing below average temps through the 21st, but we probably will finish the month above normal in the NE. 100dm is an amazing signal for something not even really related! Furthermore, my analog set is 1998-2023. I have 11 analogs out of the dataset.. so 11/25 years.. 41% of the total. To have a +7F average anomaly (+ and - .. more - years, for the global warming skew.. 7/11 are cold analogs) for 40% of a dataset in 25 years is amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Euro an improvement from the 00z disaster but still a miss.......Looks similar to the GFS at first look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Obviously some scatter still, but 12z GEFS looks fairly bullish for the psu storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Obviously some scatter still, but 12z GEFS looks fairly bullish for the psu storm That's the one around the 23-24th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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