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Mid/Late February will be rocking. (This year we mean it!) February long range discussion.


JenkinsJinkies
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13 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

I’ll be following for the VDay event, but we need the stars to align. Not out of the realm of possibility for sure, but thermals will be a problem. Just no significant cold air to work with. 
 

The pattern afterwards though :ph34r:

It is a literal thread the needle with wave timing. We need one piece of NS energy scooting out in front phasing into the 50-50 low to flatten the flow up top, then the southern shortwave to move east just behind, and then to keep it from sliding harmlessly eastward off the coast to our south we need the next piece of NS energy to capture it just as it approaches the coast to induce a strong low just to our southeast with plenty of lift/ dynamical cooling, but not a full phase and not too soon.. 

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8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

It is a literal thread the needle with wave timing. We need one piece of NS energy scooting out in front phasing into the 50-50 low to flatten the flow up top, then the southern shortwave to move east just behind, and then to keep it from sliding harmlessly eastward off the coast to our south we need the next piece of NS energy to capture it just as it approaches the coast to induce a strong low just to our southeast with plenty of lift/ dynamical cooling, but not a full phase and not too soon.. 

So basically...like the Ghostbusters car...it needs everything!

 

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1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

then, you have the 2nd! and the 6th! and the 12th... and the 17th....... and the 20th

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom-9251200.thumb.png.0b19e367dfdfc2512bad70bcc6ff7443.pngecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom-9683200.thumb.png.45128f53b73cb96d4ab9e0907996b116.pngecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom-0201600.thumb.png.d09f4c5be3efd123b2996ecdb8d24b2e.pngecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom-0633600.thumb.png.eb556a5f97dca678ed92c063f52ccc05.pngecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom-0892800.thumb.png.5543eac95b5b28fe128890dec0bac727.png

No Changes.

No. Changes....

To my eye this doesn't seem like an overly suppressive look?  The 50-50 isn't too far S and E.  But the winners will likely be Mid Atlantic, SNE and CNE when it comes to jackpots?

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