Heisy Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Would that not be a good thing? That more resembles the 0z gfs does it not?Yea but if the northern shortwave and the main one don’t have enough separation you’d end up with like a 00z cmc solution. Yea that trend is favorable, but only if the southern main shortwave backs up/slows down a bit there. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Time for the GFS show. Hold on to your loved ones. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 We should know where it's heading around the 111-123 hr time frame 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 WW got his fingers hitting refresh to put up how there is no support for anything as fast as possible when the GEFS come out... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 https://x.com/henrymargusity/status/1754828730331975893?s=61 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 To my untrained eye... The SW is looking more amped on panel H5 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 3 minutes ago, anotherman said: https://x.com/henrymargusity/status/1754828730331975893?s=61 Oh crap henry just jinxed us lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Can't really make a call yet. s/w is a little more southwester vs 6z. so far it's a draw. We just can't know....until a few more panels 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Oh crap henry just jinxed us lol I know right? Peddlin that snow crack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 However there is just a tad more separation vs 6z...but not as good as 0z at that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 30 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Time for the GFS show. Hold on to your loved ones. Can't believe you forgot about the ICON, the must trustworthy model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Actually, separation is noticeable, but again I wouldn't try to predict what's going to happen yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Hanging back a bit more at 120. Still not sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Precip field is flatter out front, but still a ways to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 By the way at 138 so far...gonna take a little bit to see the whites of the eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 looks better to me at 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 H132 looks more similar to 06z than 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 All I can tell you know is it's definitely flatter out front wrt to precip orientation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Just now, Terpeast said: H132 looks more similar to 06z than 00z It's flatter...i'm ahead a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 141, hanging further back... I take back my 06 vs 00z statement 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 h5 is vastly different (better) than 6z...southern s/w isn't phase it and southern s/w is almost neg titled with base in southern AL/MS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Just now, Terpeast said: 141, hanging further back... I take back my 06 vs 00z statement Tried to tell you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 So, it's flatter with precip, but it APPEARS as tho it's gonna be too warm for us...but this is sort of a split the difference between 0z and 6z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 6z was an open wave, but both 00z and 12z are closed h5 lows in TVA... 12z is just a little ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: So, it's flatter with precip, but it APPEARS as tho it's gonna be too warm for us...but this is sort of a split the difference between 0z and 6z so far Less confluence 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Rain comes in at 159 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 0 850 sags south to DC border...with precip ongoing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 vort passes south of us...still a bit too warm at 165 precip still going...850 bisects DC from SW to E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 Surface is really warm...Like 46 at the start of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 6, 2024 Share Posted February 6, 2024 If only it was prime climo and not April... 1 1 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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