Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, psuhoffman said: Whether it’s a hit or not I like the changes over the top. It makes a colder solution possible. yea this gives us a much better change in the overall scheme even if the storm is suppressed on this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Low from 1008 to 1004 and over Centered over central AL. 850 line stuck just south of DC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, stormtracker said: Low from 1008 to 1004 and over Centered over central AL. 850 line stuck just south of DC wwbb server moved slower than this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 168...850 line sinks a bit further south. surface freezing just NW of DC....precip APPEARS to be going ENE...so may miss us to the SOUTH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 when you are on day 1 of the pattern and there is marginal cold air--ill take what the euro is showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 lol..too suppressed and misses us to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 168...850 line sinks a bit further south. surface freezing just NW of DC....precip APPEARS to be going ENE...so may miss us to the SOUTH storm is moving so slow--we are in danger of having a high pressure slide down into the great lakes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, stormtracker said: lol..too suppressed and misses us to the south how does a 997 low in SW tenn miss us south lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, Ji said: storm is moving so slow--we are in danger of having a high pressure slide down into the great lakes lol It's a miss to the south. It looked good initially tho...but glad I didn't say that. It's a catch 22...we need suppressed, but not that suppressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, Ji said: how does a 997 low in SW tenn miss us south lol Dude, we're the Mid Atlantic. Of course it can/will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 not a bad spot to be 6-7 days out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Going to need to move that whole ball of confluence a little further north (or south if want some wild phase solution but I have no idea how that would work out). Definitely close to something but as others have said this first threat will be a game of timing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Dude, we're the Mid Atlantic. Of course it can/will im guessing the euro is not showing the final solution. But i never expected this storm to be suppressed of all storms lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 4 minutes ago, Ji said: how does a 997 low in SW tenn miss us south lol Well we had 994-997 all over the place down in Florida, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and how far north did that get. Looks like we are getting the blocking just the wrong kind LOL and also with no real cold air to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, Kevin Reilly said: Well we had 994-997 all over the place down in Florida, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and how far north did that get. Looks like we are getting the blocking just the wrong kind LOL and also with no real cold air to boot. i am not buying the suppression....if you combine the euro and gfs...you kinda get a snowstorm lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 maybe the VDAY storm will turn into a MECS for the entire forum and PD follow up with a HECS and then we can call it a Winter. what are the odds 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 4 minutes ago, Shad said: maybe the VDAY storm will turn into a MECS for the entire forum and PD follow up with a HECS and then we can call it a Winter. what are the odds The same as me winning the lottery... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 8 minutes ago, Ji said: i am not buying the suppression....if you combine the euro and gfs...you kinda get a snowstorm lol Totally agree with you. It i the case of split the difference the take away is cold air intrusion from the Euro and I bet in future cycle runs we get a GFS solution a few times of 8-12" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 No matter what happens this winter.....we had 2 good days out of 120. Nobody can take that away from us 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 I still love this setup. https://ibb.co/DQV7q8D 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6 minutes ago, Ji said: No matter what happens this winter.....we had 2 good days out of 120. Nobody can take that away from us That was one of the best weeks of winter we've had in years so I'll take it. Snow on snow was incredible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 24 minutes ago, Grothar of Herndon said: The same as me winning the lottery... So you’re saying there’s a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Gefs finally fully on board with mega block 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Gefs finally fully on board with mega block Really turns into a +PNA/-AO in the LR.. agrees with the current SOI coming in <-40, and MJO I think too. See how there is a Stratosphere lag: https://ibb.co/wgsNTP6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Eps lit up . 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, Heisy said: Eps lit up . I had a suspicion I liked the op progression a lot better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 EPS. 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 I had a suspicion I liked the op progression a lot better. Yep, it’s the one we want, just gotta keep amping it up. A phase you were going to have issue with temps imo. We could still hypothetically back side phase as long as that N/S piece pushes ahead . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 I like the setup for V-day a lot. Simple, classic. Just got a shit airmass ahead of it which leads to the need for a needle threading with the northern stream. But if it fails, there’s more chances beyond. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 EPS still has the mega block... lots of coastal lows showing up around the PD week period 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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