Weather Will Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I won't get pessimistic until President's week. Nothing to track by then, it will be a real red flag. Cold air is on track as predicted for several weeks. Storm(s) for DMV? TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I won't get pessimistic until President's week. Nothing to track by then, it will be a real red flag. Cold air is on track as predicted for several weeks. Storm(s) for DMV? TBD.Too late. You are already there 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I won't get pessimistic until President's week. Nothing to track by then, it will be a real red flag. Cold air is on track as predicted for several weeks. Storm(s) for DMV? TBD.Not to be a hater, but it was said several times we were supposed to be tracking discrete threats by this weekend. In a weird way, I guess we are… they are just 15 days out. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 23 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Not to be a hater, but it was said several times we were supposed to be tracking discrete threats by this weekend. In a weird way, I guess we are… they are just 15 days out. Supposed to and discrete seem like opposites to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said: He's not complaining about the week. He's complaining that it's the only week. What about the other 8 weeks of this winter, how do they rank? we don't live in alaska i don't know why anyone would expect or even want 8 weeks of wall to wall wintry conditions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 There has been an indication on the ensembles of a discrete wave in the southern stream for several runs now for around the 20th. Remains to be seen how far north the moisture can make it, but it is probably the most trackable signal as of now, and it is 2 weeks out. There are still hints on some runs of something centered on the 15th. Another window to keep an eye on. We are in monitor mode. Some are getting skittish and impatient, and probably should take a break/find other activities to engage in. 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 14 minutes ago, CAPE said: There has been an indication on the ensembles of a discrete wave in the southern stream for several runs now for around the 20th. Remains to be seen how far north the moisture can make it, but it is probably the most trackable signal as of now, and it is 2 weeks out. There are still hints on some runs of something centered on the 15th. Another window to keep an eye on. We are in monitor mode. Some are getting skittish and impatient, and probably should take a break/find other activities to engage in. I thought 0z GEFS was the best look yet for that PD period. 6z GEFS a bit more south, but these are all small changes for 15 days out. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 20 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: we don't live in alaska i don't know why anyone would expect or even want 8 weeks of wall to wall wintry conditions I dont know of any winter enthusiasts, who primarily make up the population of this forum, who wouldn't want wall to wall winter. Having said that, yes, everyone knows our climo here and the best we can expect is periods of winter mixed in with warmer episodes. But, this is not what has happened. It's been 8 weeks of spring with one week of winter. We should be able to do better than that in an El-nino. Who knows, maybe they'll be an epic period to close it out, although, by the time it gets here we'll be fighting an uphill struggle with climo. 2 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 now this is more like it 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 13 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: I dont know of any winter enthusiasts, who primarily make up the population of this forum, who wouldn't want wall to wall winter. Having said that, yes, everyone knows our climo here and the best we can expect is periods of winter mixed in with warmer episodes. But, this is not what has happened. It's been 8 weeks of spring with one week of winter. We should be able to do better than that in an El-nino. Who knows, maybe they'll be an epic period to close it out, although, by the time it gets here we'll be fighting an uphill struggle with climo. i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendrimer77 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 3 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao I think most people would prefer wall to wall winter, cold and snow. What are we doing here if not? 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 6 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao Having lived through a few winters like that, I can assure you I am that much of a weenie. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 8 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao If it wasn't for all the road salt I would give that a go lol. I wouldn't want it every winter though. Luckily, there is zero chance it ever happens in the MA lowlands. 2-4 weeks of legit winter is about it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
understudyhero Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 11 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao I am. I honestly get exceptionally depressed when there is no cold or snow, and rain is the only thing that kind'a makes that better. I know I live in exactly the wrong place on this planet where we get teased with perfection (feb 2010) and then usually trend more towards last winter. If I can't have three feet of snow on the ground at all times, I want no stop drizzle for months on end. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 13 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao I guarantee you I wouldn't get tired of it if we had 18 weeks like it. Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 21 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao Speak for yourself man. I'd love it. 9 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 7 minutes ago, understudyhero said: I am. I honestly get exceptionally depressed when there is no cold or snow, and rain is the only thing that kind'a makes that better. I know I live in exactly the wrong place on this planet where we get teased with perfection (feb 2010) and then usually trend more towards last winter. If I can't have three feet of snow on the ground at all times, I want no stop drizzle for months on end. Without snow, winter is brutal. Give me lots of snow for three months and then spring but if we’re not getting snow, give me sunny and 50. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 The SOI continues its tanking, which it has been doing for the last several days. Here’s the latest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 30 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao The only time I’ve been tired of snow was my Freshman year at Syracuse in the 2003-2004 season; it was the second snowiest season on record there with 180” and by March (combined w pledging activities in the snow) I was ready for spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 56 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: now this is more like it Does anyone know what sort of algorithm/process they use to determine analogs? Seems like something that would only be possible with AI/machine learning but they have been doing it for years before that stuff was around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 uhhhhhhhhhh 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao Read the room. Many/most here would absolutely love that. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao It can never snow enough or be too cold. If we had 8 straight weeks like that I'd be in pure heaven. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 WB 12Z GEPS brings the cold on schedule, but looks dry.... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao I actually don't disagree. I live up in Madison for winter 07-08 and they had a record 100" that winter, and by March that shit was more of a nuisance than enjoyable. But that was after like 4 straight months of snow cover. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Is it just me or is the biggest issue with the first part of the incoming pattern through pday or further going to potentially be a lack of cold air? Can anyone with knowledge speak to this. 500 charts at the end of both gfs and cmc ens seem to be kind of a pac puke look for our latitude with cold air stuck to the north. Trying to learn here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 We’ve mastered quality long range ens 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 It IS gonna snow folks. Just a little more patience. The storms will be there. The pattern is going to turn awesome, we will be happily tracking, and enthusiastic snow weenies will be flying! Some of you will be so elated, that you will be in orbit! You wanna see how we will get demolished? Take a good, long look at Mammoth today. A 20 inch hecs is not out of the question. This is one hell of an incredible pattern we are heading into. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: It can never snow enough or be too cold. If we had 8 straight weeks like that I'd be in pure heaven. We have a winnah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, AtlanticWx said: i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao I see you've only been in here since late 2022 so I'll give ya a pass on this take, lol Ya don't know how deep it runs, sir/ma'am 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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