Torch Tiger Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 YES 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 I'll usually go outside and play with the dog for 10-15 minutes and whenever I'm out there now all winter dressed I just look at the trees and think to myself that in a few months I can be out here in shorts with everything all greened and blossomed. It's such a wonderful thought. I'm sick and tired of looking at bare trees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 On 3/1/2024 at 9:58 AM, weatherwiz said: I'll usually go outside and play with the dong for 10-15 minutes and whenever I'm out there now all winter dressed in drag I just look at the dudes and think to myself that in a few months I can be out here in thongs with everything all firm and blossomed. It's such a wonderful thought. I'm sick and tired of looking at girls get me some big bottom boys. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 19 Author Share Posted March 19 Down to 43 days!!! We're getting there. This time next month the GFS will be getting past May 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 1 Author Share Posted April 1 30 days Crazy how we're within a month until severe weather season and in 2 weeks the end of the GFS run will peak into May. IT'S COMING!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Hopefully we get a wild region-wide squall line at some point. Really miss those 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 9 Author Share Posted April 9 Hopefully we can get something like this in the next few months 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 9 Share Posted April 9 wish we could get that. looks like a messy/complex evolution wrt MCS/boundaries around ...LA...MS...AL...western FL Panhandle... Early on Wednesday, storms are forecast to be ongoing from much of LA into southeast AR and expanding into MS, in a zone of rich low-level moisture. This area will be quite unstable with 2000-3000 J/kg MUCAPE common south of any existing clusters or outflows, and deep-layer shear will favor long-lived severe storms. Both damaging bows and supercells will be possible area-wide, with a strong SRH gradient near/east of the MS River supporting rotation and tornado risk. Evolution may be complex due to early day storms, but any existing MCS may proceed throughout the day producing damaging winds. Supercells will be more likely during the afternoon, possibly on the southwestern flank of any existing outflow boundaries. Diurnal warming as well as continued moisture advection may also support a few supercells within a growing area of warm advection precipitation east/southeast of any boundaries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 9 Author Share Posted April 9 2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: wish we could get that. looks like a messy/complex evolution wrt MCS/boundaries around ...LA...MS...AL...western FL Panhandle... Early on Wednesday, storms are forecast to be ongoing from much of LA into southeast AR and expanding into MS, in a zone of rich low-level moisture. This area will be quite unstable with 2000-3000 J/kg MUCAPE common south of any existing clusters or outflows, and deep-layer shear will favor long-lived severe storms. Both damaging bows and supercells will be possible area-wide, with a strong SRH gradient near/east of the MS River supporting rotation and tornado risk. Evolution may be complex due to early day storms, but any existing MCS may proceed throughout the day producing damaging winds. Supercells will be more likely during the afternoon, possibly on the southwestern flank of any existing outflow boundaries. Diurnal warming as well as continued moisture advection may also support a few supercells within a growing area of warm advection precipitation east/southeast of any boundaries. Thinking wind damage may be the greatest overall threat. Greatest tornado threat probably on the southern flank but it may turn out the southern flank is right along the coast or just off. We'll see how far north the warm front/greatest moisture return can get which should influence northern periphery of the bow/mcs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 15 Author Share Posted April 15 0z run of the GFS tonight will get into 0z May 1!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 14 days, 14 days remaining in the period 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 17 Share Posted April 17 Hopefully Stein doesn't take over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted April 18 Share Posted April 18 22 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Hopefully Stein doesn't take over Forget about Stein dude. We've been pouring rain for the last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 18 Share Posted April 18 50 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Forget about Stein dude. We've been pouring rain for the last year. sure but in fairness, last summer was Stein city 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 Nevermind, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted April 22 Share Posted April 22 Could be some rumblers on Wednesday with, looking better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 22 Author Share Posted April 22 7 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Could be some rumblers on Wednesday with, looking better. yeah for sure. nice lapse rates and some weak instability 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 22 Share Posted April 22 Won't be long until we're tracking slight risks! Maybe even a few moderate! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted April 22 Share Posted April 22 21 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Won't be long until we're tracking slight risks! Maybe even a few moderate! Just give me one enhanced day here and one lightning storm of yore. It’s hard to have expectations around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 22 Share Posted April 22 14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Just give me one enhanced day here and one lightning storm of yore. It’s hard to have expectations around here. Yeah, most here have very low expectations. If given a choice of rolling dice with the usual slight-risk setup which usually busts badly, or a guaranteed regular garden variety storm, I'd take the reg and run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 22 Share Posted April 22 Severe next Tuesday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 22 Author Share Posted April 22 2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Severe next Tuesday? hopefully a shot for thunderstorms at least. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 29 Author Share Posted April 29 One more full day to and and the May discussion thread is up and going. We made it baby!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 30 Author Share Posted April 30 LESS THAN A DAY LEFT IN THE PERIOD!!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 Congrats on today Paul 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 2 Author Share Posted May 2 10 hours ago, radarman said: Congrats on today Paul One giant step. Now the 384 HR EML watch begins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 On 4/18/2024 at 5:42 PM, H2Otown_WX said: Forget about Stein dude. We've been pouring rain for the last year. Well, this didn't age well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 2 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said: Well, this didn't age well At least it’s still May 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 3 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said: Well, this didn't age well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 8 hours ago, dendrite said: At least it’s still May True, didn't start til 4 months after my post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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