weatherwiz Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Well, while we still have a chunk of winter left, before we know it we'll be pushing right through spring. Birds returning and chirping for food and mating, grass growing, and trees budding. Besides all this, however, we'll be fast pushing into severe weather season and we're only 92 days away. The past few years overall have been relatively meh, not just from a severe standpoint but even from convective setups. Our best severe weather events occur with EML's or with steep lapse rates induced by a mid-level cold pool. EML events tend to occur every several years or so. As we make our final push through winter and towards spring, it's time to start gearing up for severe weather season! This is a good way to shake off some rust and discuss past events, setups, or just anything to transition the mind from winter weather forecasting to convective forecasting. 92 days to go!!! 2 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Almost go-time! Severe season means heat season, too!! Double win 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Can’t wait for the severe, raw drizzle. At least it’s better than this. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 30 Author Share Posted January 30 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: Can’t wait for the severe, raw drizzle. At least it’s better than this. At least there are no clown maps for drizzle 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 At least there are no clown maps for drizzle BetSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman1 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 time is running out 4 maybe 5 weeks left once march hits i turn to golf training at the range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Hopefully it‘ll be so crazy that Thomas Grazulis is forced to issue a “2024 special addition” to his Sig Tornado series Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Can't wait for anvil cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Can't wait for anvil cirrus. Smashing F5 on the SPC site at 06z to see the upgrade from general thunder to marginal. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 24 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Smashing F5 on the SPC site at 06z to see the upgrade from general thunder to marginal. First thing I do when I get up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 31 Author Share Posted January 31 42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: First thing I do when I get up. Glad I'm not the only one! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 January is OVER!!!! We can get decent/borderline severe storms in March/April occasionally, so we're just a month or two away from convective season! Let's gooo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 3 hours ago, OceanStWx said: Smashing F5 on the SPC site at 06z to see the upgrade from general thunder to marginal. It’s almost like they’re trolling Wiz making that the refresh key 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 1 Share Posted February 1 This thread is about as useless as George’s Feb 2-3 thread. (Kidding… but also not really). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 Wow time is flying, likely expedited by the heavy tracking with the storm for the 13th but we're now down to 76 days!!! In fact, two months from today, the 384 hour GFS will run out into May 1st...WILD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Wow time is flying, likely expedited by the heavy tracking with the storm for the 13th but we're now down to 76 days!!! In fact, two months from today, the 384 hour GFS will run out into May 1st...WILD The current 798hr CFS ends on the 1st day of spring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: The current 798hr CFS ends on the 1st day of spring. How fitting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 looks awful, hope it's wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 22 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: looks awful, hope it's wrong verification will probably be +12C at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: verification will probably be +12C at 850 Yeah wouldn't surprise me, CFS can be wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 want that type wind profile June 1st :D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 hours ago, weatherwiz said: How fitting Morch 2012! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/1/2024 at 6:31 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: This thread is about as useless as George’s Feb 2-3 thread. (Kidding… but also not really). I have to agree. I don’t get the whole idea.. lmao. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 20 Author Share Posted February 20 Doing my annual two weeks for storm chasing June 1 - June 15. Hopefully we can get some high risks into the Northeast during that period...or at least into IL/IN/OH. Farthest west my friend and I have ever gone is like central PA. Been willing to go farther these last 3-4 years but there's been NOTHING. I've always wanted to do the Plains but I am not as enthused about that anymore. Not with all these lunatics' who think that just because they're storm chasing means the rules of the road don't apply to them. then having to deal with chaser convergence. Also, the thought of spending a day or two of driving...gross. I do enough driving as it is and with my back, being in a car longer than a few hours makes bad things happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 On 2/15/2024 at 9:18 PM, WinterWolf said: I have to agree. I don’t get the whole idea.. lmao. For all the threads we’ve had in recent years chasing ghosts, this legacy thread is totally fine to me—not that it matters. I kind of like counting down to May even though it means nothing in the whole scheme of things. On 2/20/2024 at 2:16 PM, weatherwiz said: Doing my annual two weeks for storm chasing June 1 - June 15. Hopefully we can get some high risks into the Northeast during that period...or at least into IL/IN/OH. Farthest west my friend and I have ever gone is like central PA. Been willing to go farther these last 3-4 years but there's been NOTHING. I've always wanted to do the Plains but I am not as enthused about that anymore. Not with all these lunatics' who think that just because they're storm chasing means the rules of the road don't apply to them. then having to deal with chaser convergence. Also, the thought of spending a day or two of driving...gross. I do enough driving as it is and with my back, being in a car longer than a few hours makes bad things happen. Love ya Wiz but reread this. High risk in the northeast ain’t happening lol. Going to the Plains is absolutely worth it. You don’t need high or even mod risk days to get good chasing in, and it can be done without driving 1,000 miles in a day. Given your knowledge you’d probably do very well sniffing out the under the radar setups, which significantly reduces the risk of chaser convergence. In my three times out there I’ve never come close to having issues with other people. My biggest challenges were the road network (stay off the dirt roads!) and staying well ahead of initiation. I love it out there. Worth every penny and ounce of effort. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashFreeze Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Severe weather is not very common on the beach in Murrells Inlet SC aside from hurricanes however this one was impressive, four years ago this struck at about 2 o’clock in the afternoon and lasted for almost 2 hours, spun off a week tornado right on the beach, it was the most intense lightning I have ever seen 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Anvil cirrus season fast approaches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 On 2/25/2024 at 10:49 AM, CoastalWx said: Anvil cirrus season fast approaches. When this horizon becomes this reality 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 March 1!!! Essentially just one more full month to go before we hit May. WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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