DocATL Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Anybody take a look at the 6z GFS?The GFS is on an island. Fully anticipate a rug pull for northern Illinois today on subsequent runs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 On 2/9/2024 at 7:29 PM, michsnowfreak said: Record high at DTW today of 64°. This is 20° warmer than the warmest temperature of January. Very breezy all day. What an incredible start to the month of February for Detroit, although certainly not limited to that location but rather demonstrative of the entire region. Warmest mean high temperatures for the first 12 days of the month by nearly 1F. One of only three years with no measurable precipitation for the first 12 days of the month, and one of only two years with no snow at all. The other two years with no measurable precipitation (1991 & 1877) were also among the warmest starts to the month, albeit several degrees Fahrenheit cooler. Looks like El Nino on steroids for you guys. Average high temperature for February 1 to February 12: Total Precipitation: Total Snowfall: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 On 2/9/2024 at 8:39 PM, TheClimateChanger said: Crazy stuff. This must be a 1 in 1000-year winter heat wave up there, but barely registering with our derelict media these days. Minneapolis Green Bay Milwaukee Even more incredible if looking at overnight minima. Green Bay currently 3.8F ahead of second place, and 5.4F ahead of any year at the airport observation site. Minneapolis currently 3.3F ahead of second place, and 4.6F ahead of any year at the airport observation site. The average minimum temperature of 25.2F at Green Bay is 3.9F warmer than the normal winter mean temperature (21.3F). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Incredible winter in Milwaukee for palm tree growing enthusiasts, where the average minimum to date is closer to the freezing point (2.6F cooler) than it is to the second warmest (2.9F warmer), and an astounding 2.5F warmer than the normal winter mean temperature. Also, of note, the 25.2F average minima at Green Bay would tie the 3rd highest ever observed in Milwaukee and the highest ever observed at MKE Airport [prior to this year], more than 100 miles to the south in a much larger urban environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Well there is always March right That groundhog wasn’t wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 If we look at Chicago, there's a lot of data here from non-comparative stations (downtown, lakeshore exposure). But if we limit our inquiry to airport data (MDW 1942-Jan. 16, 1980; ORD Jan. 17, 1980-present), we see a much different picture. The mean mimima of 28.3F is 2.2F warmer than any year observed at one of the airport observation sites. Incredibly, the 25.2F mean minima at GRB would have been the 5th warmest ever observed at a Chicago area airport prior to this year. This also suggests to me there are likely locations near the lakeshore downtown where the mean minima from a properly sited station may be 32F or higher this winter. There's certainly evidence to show that a lakeshore siting can have a big impact. If we look at Cleveland, we find a mean minima of 31.3F for the winter to date. Yet Burke Lakefront Airport (BKL) on the lakeshore, and close to downtown Cleveland, registers an absolutely astounding 34.3F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 27 minutes ago, nwohweather said: That groundhog wasn’t wrong Kind of wrong in that we didn't even get the 4 more weeks of winter let alone 6 weeks Note: I am actually getting very light snow right now as I type this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 43 minutes ago, Lightning said: Kind of wrong in that we didn't even get the 4 more weeks of winter let alone 6 weeks Note: I am actually getting very light snow right now as I type this Some nice mood flakes and light wind. It’s nice watching them fall gracefully 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 And south it goes. Well it was fun while it lasted.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 hours ago, SolidIcewx said: Some nice mood flakes and light wind. It’s nice watching them fall gracefully It was like they were falling in slow motion at times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Was surprised to see snow showers this morning, then downright heavier snow squalls this afternoon. Picked up 0.3". Its been so zzz I hadnt even checked but thought it was supposed to be sunny today. Todays snowfall marks the FIRST precip for me since the January 30th snowfall, a solid 2 weeks. What an about face after a January full of snow & rain. DTW had a T of rain a few days back, but nothing measurable since Jan 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 14 hours ago, Brian D said: What I can glean from Ft Snelling written notes, Dec 1857 was mild, and Jan 1858 was too, but Feb turned cold. My monthly data charts confirm this. I think thats the one. Im putting together a list of the stuff I have for Detroit from 1835 on (to when records started), and what I have for 1857-58 is Mild & open winter, “no snow and atmosphere of spring”, until February. On January 31st violets were in bloom in gardens. Do you have a link for Fort Snelling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 0.3" of snow both here and DTW today. Based on the hit and miss nature of the heavier squalls, some areas only had a trace, but isolated areas may have had up to an inch. With today's 0.3" of snow DTW is at 19.8" on the season (17.0" in Jan) and Wyandotte 18.3" on the season (16.0" in Jan). This has to be the worst winter ever where southeast michigan still received 14-24 inches of snow in a single calendar month lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Measured 6.5" of lake effect snow on the driveway this afternoon. Was a nice surprise. Temp already down to 12 degrees as of 6:50. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Looks like a little cold rain tomorrow night and some flurries Fri morning. Other than that looks pretty quiet for next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Do you have a link for Fort Snelling? I’ll keep digging for the daily weather reports and link it here too. https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/climate/twin_cities/snelling.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 With fresh snow otg, temp has plummeted this evening. 7 down in Negaunee. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 14 minutes ago, weatherbo said: With fresh snow otg, temp has plummeted this evening. 7 down in Negaunee. That's pretty cool for this season. We are in the 20s here in WNC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: That's pretty cool for this season. We are in the 20s here in WNC. Coldest temp at my house this season has been -11 during the brief winter spell in Jan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 4 minutes ago, weatherbo said: Coldest temp at my house this season has been -11 during the brief winter spell in Jan. That's impressive for this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 NAM showing 2-4” imby tomorrow. My heart says yes, but my mind knows it’s likely just foolish NAM games. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: I’ll keep digging for the daily weather reports and link it here too. https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/climate/twin_cities/snelling.html Thanks!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Thanks!!! Just looking at April 1820, it was very warm on some of the days. These are 1400 hr readings. It would be so nice to have daily data going back centuries. I bet we would be amazed at some of the readings from way back then. April 10 1977 - 88 1910 - 81 1820/2006 - 79 1955 - 78 1930/2011 - 76 April 19 1985 - 87 1987 - 84 1923 - 83 1820/1915 - 82 1908 - 81 April 23 1990 - 86 2009 - 85 1820 - 84 1925 - 82 1942 - 81 April 24 1820 -85 1962 - 84 1939 - 83 1921/42/90 - 81 1915 - 80 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Add 23 Nov too as a warm day 1905 - 55 1820/2001/06/21 - 54 1907/98/2009/11 - 52 1902/2014 - 51 1908 - 50 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 February 14, 2024 - The first winter weather advisory of the season imby. Incredible “winter” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Looking at some stats today, there's finally two stations that have crossed the 100" mark for the season... well behind average. Herman is coming in 3rd. I'm estimating my area has seen 80-85" now, which is probably pretty close to accurate as my totals usually come very close to Herman on any given year. This area still running about 5 foot below average. Pretty anemic by UP standards. Calumet 109.8" Keweenaw County 102.8" Herman 91.8" 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 12 minutes ago, weatherbo said: Looking at some stats today, there's finally two stations that have crossed the 100" mark for the season... well behind average. Herman is coming in 3rd. I'm estimating my area has seen 80-85" now, which is probably pretty close to accurate as my totals usually come very close to Herman on any given year. This area still running about 5 foot below average. Pretty anemic by UP standards. Calumet 109.8" Keweenaw County 102.8" Herman 91.8" What do the least snowiest records look like around there? There’s obviously a lot of winter to go there but I would think this winter would be in the running right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 18 minutes ago, roardog said: What do the least snowiest records look like around there? There’s obviously a lot of winter to go there but I would think this winter would be in the running right now. Looks like 161.1 for the Keweenaw: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Without the two weeks of nickle and dimes and cold in January, this winter would rival 2011-2012 as an all time stinker. Extended looks mild and pretty dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 will be right on the edge of accumulating snowfall tonight. Could easily get 3" or nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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