Stormlover74 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Ukie has nothing north of the m/d line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Lonnie Quinn went out to Central Park himself today to measure, and he measured 3.9 inches after he tired of waiting for the Parks official guesstimate. I'm sure Lonnie measured after some compacting took place, but it was still much higher than the usual low ball 3.2 number the Park threw out there today. Is it a big deal? When it happens once no, but it's been an on again off again problem for decades. Local Mets that have been here long enough all know and even joke about it, nice job by Lonnie going out to do what they can't seem to get straight themselves. @the_other_guy 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Ukie has nothing north of the m/d line A decent bump north from its 12z run though. It does get an inch up to Cape May County now, and I'm sure it will keep trending north tomorrow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Models hinting at something day 9-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Models hinting at something day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, NEG NAO said: Cmc even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Cmc even better need the track to pass south of us near the Del Marva and the best snows are 50 -75 miles north of the 850 lp usually - even though temps are borderline the next couple of weeks are a snowstorm pattern here - HP to the north storm tracks just south and east of here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Day 10, so I really don't want to say it, but I like the zero from a macro scale perspective. Granted it may be our last chance 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 You know it’s a warm winter pattern when what was supposed to be a colder week in earlier model runs struggles to stay below 40°. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Still looks good through the 24th before we warm again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 DC has a real good shot at having an average snowfall winter!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 We can't complain this year, we performed far better than 97/98 even if we have seen out last snow!! Avoided first back to back sub 10 inch seasons in my lifetime. Sitting at 12.5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: We can't complain this year, we performed far better than 97/98 even if we have seen out last snow!! Avoided first back to back sub 10 inch seasons in my lifetime. Sitting at 12.5. More than I expected with what looked like a relentless Pacific jet throwing heat into Canada... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Dark Star said: More than I expected with what looked like a relentless Pacific jet throwing heat into Canada... Completely agree! Sure 15/16 and 82/83 were better, however avoiding 97/98 was great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I'm guaranteeing a snow storm march 6th. Got an important flight that day into NY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 19 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: We can't complain this year, we performed far better than 97/98 even if we have seen out last snow!! Avoided first back to back sub 10 inch seasons in my lifetime. Sitting at 12.5. Nyc snow hole aside it shows how hard it is to get 2 awful winters in a row. At least this one is just bad so far and I'd imagine places like Sussex and orange are at their seasonal average to date. Allentown is close 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 12 minutes ago, suzook said: I'm guaranteeing a snow storm march 6th. Got an important flight that day into NY Don’t know what the exact weather is going to be on March 6th, but we could be talking about 60° readings near the beginning of March. Especially if we go toward that La Niña look of deep trough out West and Southeast ridge. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nyc snow hole aside it shows how hard it is to get 2 awful winters in a row. At least this one is just bad so far and I'd imagine places like Sussex and orange are at their seasonal average to date. Allentown is close South of us too! DC and Baltimore are around average snowfall for this time of year and have a legit shot at reaching. It's Philly, CPK and oddly Boston in this year snow hole. Even with poor measurement, CPK has more snowfall than the entirety of 97/98. They can still see a couple more inches before things fall apart around the 24th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 A early spring would be great 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 20 minutes ago, suzook said: I'm guaranteeing a snow storm march 6th. Got an important flight that day into NY By then we will be solidly in the warm phases of the MJO without blocking so would take an oddity to affect you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Allsnow said: A early spring would be great Worry that we are entering warm MJO phases too early. I would much rather have a cold snowy March than a cold rainy April. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: A early spring would be great That would be disgusting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: That would be disgusting MJO 5/6 is a torch for morch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, Allsnow said: MJO 5/6 is a torch for morch Right, but that may mean 7,8,1 for April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 7 minutes ago, Allsnow said: A early spring would be great March will be warm and then April will probably suck 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: March will be warm and then April will probably suck Yup, that's why I worry about flipping to a warmer pattern for March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: March will be warm and then April will probably suck I like cold and damp springs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Caution on tossing the towel before 2/25. I do think we will warmup big time the first few days of March, if not around 2/28-29. BUT... weeklies seem optimistic about multiple qpf opportunities in March. We'll know I think at 4PM Friday when the updated March monthly posts from CPC. In the meantime, minor minor Thu night. Will re review at 530PM for a 1-4" refresher thread NJ-LI portion of the forum, so snow starve. Looks too me like a nice colder consistency Saturday morning. 2/22-24 is on... no thread but pretty sure large winter storm then. Probably a little too warm here, but maybe not, so keep monitoring the ensembles/ops reading up. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yup, that's why I worry about flipping to a warmer pattern for March. Unless it's like 2010 where we flip and have a warm spring 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 It's kinda nice seeing all this talk about a Clipper but I'll be disappointed if it's more productive on the coast than here in the northern hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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