brooklynwx99 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:49 PM, MJO812 said: He is a little worried but nothing to suggest this pattern going forward is horrible. Even CooL isn't worried . PB loves this pattern Expand he literally isn't worried. what are you talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:54 PM, brooklynwx99 said: he literally isn't worried. what are you talking about Expand That doesn't go to say that he isn't somewhat worried since he alluded that next weeks storm would have been better for us if it was a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 That dude is from MSP why do we care what he thinks? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:55 PM, MJO812 said: That doesn't go to say that he isn't somewhat worried since he alluded that next weeks storm would have been better for us if it was a cutter. Expand the problem is that a walmart pattern might not cut it given the crappy background state of this "winter" or shall I say extended autumn. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:43 PM, Allsnow said: Presidents’ Day weekend. But we will have a short window to score something. If not, it’s over with the pac taking over Expand Yeah President's Weekend continues to look like our best shot at seeing something significant this winter. Cold air in place with Euro showing a storm going to our south. With late February not looking as good now, we really need the period from early next week to early the following week to work out. Tuesday's storm looks like only a very slim chance of working out for our area (at least it's a chance), but there's reason to be more optimistic about President's Day Weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:00 PM, Brian5671 said: the problem is that a walmart pattern might not cut it given the crappy background state of this "winter" or shall I say extended autumn. Expand walmart version of a top tier pattern. he still says it's very good. i don't get why his thoughts are being misinterpreted so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Anyway it's 60 degrees here right now. Time to get outside and enjoy it instead of worrying about the pattern ahead. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:56 PM, Allsnow said: That dude is from MSP why do we care what he thinks? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:06 PM, winterwx21 said: Anyway it's 60 degrees here right now. Time to get outside and enjoy it instead of worrying about the pattern ahead. Expand I just came back from the store without a jacket. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:05 PM, brooklynwx99 said: walmart version of a top tier pattern. he still says it's very good. i don't get why his thoughts are being misinterpreted so much Expand Given the background warmth this year color me skeptical. NYC is plus +6, +3.5 and +5 for the first 9 days of Feb. Snowcover at a record low nationwide as well as Great Lake ice. It is what it is. Going to get outside this weekend and enjoy the spring preview.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:07 PM, MJO812 said: I just came back from the atore without a jacket. Expand Nice to be able to do stuff outside with just a t-shirt on this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Again, and this can be said numerous times over. When winter is almost non-existent for most of the nation, it's harder for there to be any sustained cold, let alone snow, over here in NYC and for many in the region. The source airmass continues to be horrible, and two PAC extensions (one during December), and one during late jan- mid feb, are arguable the worst times to have torches across CONUS. That's why snowpack is near record low, and why almost no where outside of mountains has seen significant snowfall this winter (outside of a brief pattern in early-mid January). Until that changes, there's not much to separate 2024 from joining the ranks of 2012, 2020, 2023 as ratter winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:10 PM, Krs4Lfe said: Again, and this can be said numerous times over. When winter is almost non-existent for most of the nation, it's harder for there to be any sustained cold, let alone snow, over here in NYC and for many in the region. The source airmass continues to be horrible, and two PAC extensions (one during December), and one during late jan- mid feb, are arguable the worst times to have torches across CONUS. That's why snowpack is near record low, and why almost no where outside of mountains has seen significant snowfall this winter (outside of a brief pattern in early-mid January). Until that changes, there's not much to separate 2024 from joining the ranks of 2012, 2020, 2023 as ratter winters. Expand add 1997-98, 2001-02 and a few others to this list too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:08 PM, winterwx21 said: Nice to be able to do stuff outside with just a t-shirt on this afternoon. Expand I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:08 PM, winterwx21 said: Nice to be able to do stuff outside with just a t-shirt on this afternoon. Expand Lower heating bills...my gas bill has been low all winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:31 PM, Allsnow said: Yup. I don’t have much hope anymore. We probably get cold in March but by that time it will be too late for NYC. Awful turn of events Expand Eh, if this fails we'll get a good winter soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 This might be my first post in over a decade on here lol I don’t understand the doom and gloom. Pattern will be favorable for multiple storms through march 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:35 PM, CooL said: This might be my first post in over a decade on here lol I don’t understand the doom and gloom. Pattern will be favorable for multiple storms through march Expand Some are saying late Feb looks less than stellar now-thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:39 PM, Brian5671 said: Some are saying late Feb looks less than stellar now-thoughts? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Stage left? Hahahahah it goes over the North Pole tanking the -AO and the -NAO continue to reload 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 This is why I stay off twitter. Just awful There’s your polar block on the eps too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 8:08 PM, snowman19 said: Expand BAMWX is terrible but they are right on the nationwide warmth outside of the mid Jan cold outbreak 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 7:35 PM, CooL said: This might be my first post in over a decade on here lol I don’t understand the doom and gloom. Pattern will be favorable for multiple storms through march Expand Wow CooL in the house 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Weeklies end up being wrong again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 8:43 PM, MJO812 said: Wow CooL in the house Expand Yeah, nice to see him. Everyone here seems to know exactly what's going to happen weeks ahead of time. It's amazing! The whole place is like a funeral all the time. Like a bunch of old people talking about their ailments. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 9:14 PM, Allsnow said: Weeklies end up being wrong again Expand Western trough ugh.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 9:16 PM, FPizz said: Yeah, nice to see him. Everyone here seems to know exactly what's going to happen weeks ahead of time. It's amazing! The whole place is like a funeral all the time. Like a bunch of old people talking about their ailments. Expand 2.3 in the last two winters… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 On 2/9/2024 at 6:46 PM, brooklynwx99 said: earthlight also isn't worried at all. i don't know what that's about Expand MJO trend all winter has been faster than both the EPS/GEFS...closer to the GEFS...if that happens its gonna be a long while til it goes into 3-4-5 or anything of that sort and there is a lag of course. I had said no pattern lasted more than 2 weeks all winter. I still expect we get a solid pattern 2/14-2/28 then it probably flips to something else but right now the ensembles may just be rushing the flip a week early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 9, 2024 Share Posted February 9, 2024 Quote Expand Up to 60 today here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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