Sunday 1/28-midday Monday 29/2024 snowfall and OBS most of the NYC subforum including potential 1/2-2" NYC-LI-heavier toward I84.

[psv88]

9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Short term models were too cold for areas south of I 84 yesterday 

WTTTE

[Rtd208]

Picked up 1.10" of rain for the day yesterday. Current temp 38

[Snowlover11]

white rain here in yonkers

[Bxstormwatcher360]

70 snow/30 rain..34f..

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Some mangled flakes in lynbrook currently. Looks like the north shore along the hills In Suffolk might be in for a surprise (not really a surprise as it was modeled) 

[wdrag]

I'm aware this was a wrong  forecast south of I84.  I'll post maps of snowfall this evening.  

You'll note via initial thread issuance, that the EPS prob of 1" ended up the worst of the outlooks.  No single model is best every time but the blend works, especially as the NWS has incorporated many elements that we don't see here outside the NWS domain via National Blend of Models (NBM). 

Any future winter threads for NYC (if there are any?) will incorporate the National Blend of Models (NBM) which did very well on this non-event south of I84 and am sure was part of the guidance for the conservative NWS deterministic snow forecasts. I've seen this NBM perform well on big rain events. This is my first winter utilizing it. I'll make sure it is added to the initial thread issuance in the future (if there any) in addition to the EPS probs. 

 

[gravitylover]

It's been flurrying here since about 9pm and it's still snowing now. It was at or above 32 until a few hours ago so everything is coated but nothing significant. 

edit: I forgot to add that it's been stuck at 30° for a few hours so that insignificant coating is pretty crunchy. 

[jm1220]

2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Some mangled flakes in lynbrook currently. Looks like the north shore along the hills In Suffolk might be in for a surprise (not really a surprise as it was modeled) 

Rain here, maybe some mangled flakes. 

[wishcast_hater]

Storm total of 1.5” here between yesterday morning and last night. NWS discussion kept saying how the precipitation shield would fill back in after the secondary low formed and moved N/E but it certainly didn’t look that way. Sitting at 30 degrees right now.


.

[Dark Star]

11 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

Right, but that may increase snowfall in larger storms that are cold enough.

Perhaps less storms but more snow and less suppression (SE ridge).

Too early to tell.

 

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Rain here, maybe some mangled flakes. 

there was wet snow here for 2 hours but everything cleared out right around sunrise

[jm1220]

Some mangled flakes in Melville. Sun trying to peek out. 

[gravitylover]

It looks like a late March/early April kind of snow accumulation, wet, spotty and melting rapidly. Yuck. April in January kinda sux.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

0.7 inches of snow overnight bringing the storm total to 0.7 inches. Better than nothing and at a least it's semi white outside. 14.5 inches for the month so overall not bad except for the usual +3 temperatures for the month. 

[psv88]

Just saw a few flurries. 36 out. Long Island upslope FTW?

[NorthShoreWx]

8 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Just saw a few flurries. 36 out. Long Island upslope FTW?

Or FTL.  But it does seem to have happened.

[uofmiami]

Snowing here in Syosset with a temp of 35

[LibertyBell]

24 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

Snowing here in Syosset with a temp of 35

the sun is out here now!

 

[psv88]

25 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Or FTL.  But it does seem to have happened.

Ha i spoke too soon. Steady snow now over the island.
 

Sound effect snow in full effect now. Will add up to noting haha. 

[jm1220]

Just now, psv88 said:

Ha i spoke too soon. Steady snow now over the island.
 

Sound effect snow in full effect now. Will add up to noting haha. 

Final total in Boston looks like it was 0.3”. No moderate event for them either.  What a pathetic storm in a pathetic winter. 

[psv88]

2 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Final total in Boston looks like it was 0.3”. No moderate event for them either.  What a pathetic storm in a pathetic winter. 

Actually a nice burst of snow just to your east. Building west a bit?

[Uniblab]

Congrats Newfoundland. 

[Stormlover74]

Just now, Uniblab said:

Congrats Newfoundland. 

its about time for them

[MANDA]

Total rainfall here with this last event was 1.37".  Trace of snow yesterday morning.

Majority of this rain fell with the temperatures between 33 and 35 degrees !  Frustrating to say the least.

I wasn't expecting much, maybe a half inch on colder surfaces but didn't even get that.

[Picard]

20 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Total rainfall here with this last event was 1.37".  Trace of snow yesterday morning.

Majority of this rain fell with the temperatures between 33 and 35 degrees !  Frustrating to say the least.

I wasn't expecting much, maybe a half inch on colder surfaces but didn't even get that.

We got about 1.15".  News 12 showed a segment claiming our area got 3.9" of rainfall per radar estimates, which was wildly inaccurate.  On top of a 1" snowfall forecast which we didn't see a flake of either.

[snywx]

Only 0.5" here

Had to go above 1200' to see atleast 1". Took a 20 min weenie drive to Cragsmoor which is perched up at 2100' on the Shawangunk ridge & even there it was 4" the most

[wdrag]

Click for clarity if you're interested in snowfall for this weekends I84 event. The 2 day would slightly more ne PA but this was the essentials. 

Repeating a little from this morning's wrap.

 

You'll note via initial thread issuance, that the EPS prob of 1" ended up the worst of the outlooks.  No single model is best every time but the NBM blend works, especially as the NWS has incorporated many elements that we don't see here outside the NWS domain via National Blend of Models (NBM). 

Any future initialized winter threads for NYC will incorporate the National Blend of Models (NBM) which did very well on this non-event south of I84 and am sure was part of the guidance for the conservative NWS deterministic snow forecasts. I've seen this NBM perform well on big rain events. This is my first winter utilizing it. I'll make sure it is added to the initial thread issuance in the future, in addition to the globals EPS probs and EPS positive snow depth change,  which will make a routine of 6 graphics plus the NBM graphic.   29/659P

[LibertyBell]

9 hours ago, wdrag said:

Click for clarity if you're interested in snowfall for this weekends I84 event. The 2 day would slightly more ne PA but this was the essentials. 

Repeating a little from this morning's wrap.

 

You'll note via initial thread issuance, that the EPS prob of 1" ended up the worst of the outlooks.  No single model is best every time but the NBM blend works, especially as the NWS has incorporated many elements that we don't see here outside the NWS domain via National Blend of Models (NBM). 

Any future initialized winter threads for NYC will incorporate the National Blend of Models (NBM) which did very well on this non-event south of I84 and am sure was part of the guidance for the conservative NWS deterministic snow forecasts. I've seen this NBM perform well on big rain events. This is my first winter utilizing it. I'll make sure it is added to the initial thread issuance in the future, in addition to the globals EPS probs and EPS positive snow depth change,  which will make a routine of 6 graphics plus the NBM graphic.   29/659P

wow so only 0.9" at Mt Pocono?  That 0.2" in Nassau County on Long Island looks a little strange lol.