Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[H2Otown_WX]

I've got no issue with Tip starting the next "threat thread" but for the love of God, start it with a different word from "Monitoring." We have like a half inch combined from the last two that started with that word

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah its really unstable aloft with the ULL/trough almost over us and at the sfc, we have a bit of an inverted trough producing some slight convergence helping form a few bands....and the colder advection at 925/850 is producing the OES on the south shore/Cape.

I know it looks innocuous on radar but right now it’s increased again to moderate . It only lasts a few minutes and then lightens . I’m not sure I’ve seen something here like this before. 

[codfishsnowman]

Still getting some kind of wintry hybrid flurries....nice overcast northerly breeze ....it would be a really true wintry day with a colder air mass in place over the weekend. Kinda sad.

[SJonesWX]

22 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

I've got no issue with Tip starting the next "threat thread" but for the love of God, start it with a different word from "Monitoring." We have like a half inch combined from the last two that started with that word

well to be fair, he starts the threads like 6 weeks in advance (sarcasm) so about all we can do is "monitor"

[SouthCoastMA]

Today is very reminiscent of what went wrong last year. steady snow all day but only a dusting to show for. tapping into a very mediocre cold source

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Today is very reminiscent of what went wrong last year. steady snow all day but only a dusting to show for. tapping into a very mediocre cold source

Temps will slowly fall. You should accumulate towards evening as long as it snows.

[SouthCoastMA]

Don't get me wrong. Enjoying the wintery appeal of the day. I'll take it since it's all we got

[CoastalWx]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

Don't get me wrong. Enjoying the wintery appeal of the day. I'll take it since it's all we got

I'd love to trade hoods lol.

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 hours ago, Angus said:

Hah - I took some video from that spot this morning...you have better visibility than I did.

 

 

Did you skin it this morning? 

[kdxken]

Fresh coating maybe even a half inch. The flurries have just been sitting over me for quite a while.

[NotSureWeather]

Tough to measure looks like about 0.0”. Gonna be tough to recover from this one. Pretty sure a local tree lost a whole branch. 

[iceman1]

rain rain rain for my area on to the next 

[The 4 Seasons]

Snowfall totals for CT, thanks to everyone for the reports. Below is our final call map which was even more conservative than our first call map, everything got pulled up and in. Overall it lines up pretty well. The 3-6" range was mostly close to the bottom end of that range for far N CT. I'll give it an A- 

I'll post the Southern New England map later on today when i finish it. 

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

I've got no issue with Tip starting the next "threat thread" but for the love of God, start it with a different word from "Monitoring." We have like a half inch combined from the last two that started with that word

I wanted to get back and change both recent titles actually, but during the course of both run-up week(s) I was bombed at work; and so it not really being a huge priority in anyone's life ( certainly should not be),  I didn't find the time do so - oh well.

That said, I don't typically use the word "threat," anyway.  Not a big fan of that expression. I feel/suspect it is used ( if unconsciously ) to lean everything in a euphoria pitch. I like talking about prospects more dispassionately than that. 

I refer to 'periods of interest,' and then if those coalesce more coherently, 'signals' is warranted.    I find that tact to be necessarily neutral enough.  I am aware that I do reasonably well at diagnosing these events in the D6-10 range - not my first rodeo and have been told this over the years.  NO, one cannot guarantee therein who gets the 8" and who "suffers" with 3" ...  But the confidences of those, this season so far, have worked out well being set at medium for good reasons  -I'm satisfied with the verification on both.   But therein lies some responsibility not to inflate using dialogue that contributes to that euphoria thing people have created out of weather modeling graphics-engagement.  Which I frankly am not even sure that is healthy -

[512high]

23 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I wanted to get back and change both recent titles actually, but during the course of both run-up week(s) I was bombed at work; and so it not really being a huge priority in anyone's life ( certainly should not be),  I didn't find the time do so - oh well.

That said, I don't typically use the word "threat," anyway.  Not a big fan of that expression. I feel/suspect it is used ( if unconsciously ) to lean everything in a euphoria pitch. I like talking about prospects more dispassionately than that. 

I refer to 'periods of interest,' and then if those coalesce more coherently, 'signals' is warranted.    I find that tact to be necessarily neutral enough.  I am aware that I do reasonably well at diagnosing these events in the D6-10 range - not my first rodeo and have been told this over the years.  NO, one cannot guarantee therein who gets the 8" and who "suffers" with 3" ...  But the confidences of those, this season so far, have worked out well being set at medium for good reasons  -I'm satisfied with the verification on both.   But therein lies some responsibility not to inflate using dialogue that contributes to that euphoria thing people have created out of weather modeling graphics-engagement.  Which I frankly am not even sure that is healthy -

Don't change a thing! I know some members here did not get snow, some got bonus surprises , I will take my 4.25" of snow and run with it,  I thought I was going to be at 30" after this event, but looked at my chart I keep and I am at 26.5" going into Feb. who knows I could be off an inch here or there, etc. For snow enthusiasts its always great when you and others sniff out potential, yes, no guarantee , but the chase sometimes is just as fun (sometimes haha) hopefully on to the next signal!

[H2Otown_WX]

37 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I wanted to get back and change both recent titles actually, but during the course of both run-up week(s) I was bombed at work; and so it not really being a huge priority in anyone's life ( certainly should not be),  I didn't find the time do so - oh well.

That said, I don't typically use the word "threat," anyway.  Not a big fan of that expression. I feel/suspect it is used ( if unconsciously ) to lean everything in a euphoria pitch. I like talking about prospects more dispassionately than that. 

I refer to 'periods of interest,' and then if those coalesce more coherently, 'signals' is warranted.    I find that tact to be necessarily neutral enough.  I am aware that I do reasonably well at diagnosing these events in the D6-10 range - not my first rodeo and have been told this over the years.  NO, one cannot guarantee therein who gets the 8" and who "suffers" with 3" ...  But the confidences of those, this season so far, have worked out well being set at medium for good reasons  -I'm satisfied with the verification on both.   But therein lies some responsibility not to inflate using dialogue that contributes to that euphoria thing people have created out of weather modeling graphics-engagement.  Which I frankly am not even sure that is healthy -

No worries man, I greatly appreciate your insight. We're very lucky to have someone as knowledgeable as you on the board. I was kind of tongue in cheek about the word monitoring being bad luck lol. Thanks for the response.

[DavisStraight]

20 minutes ago, 512high said:

Don't change a thing! I know some members here did not get snow, some got bonus surprises , I will take my 4.25" of snow and run with it,  I thought I was going to be at 30" after this event, but looked at my chart I keep and I am at 26.5" going into Feb. who knows I could be off an inch here or there, etc. For snow enthusiasts its always great when you and others sniff out potential, yes, no guarantee , but the chase sometimes is just as fun (sometimes haha) hopefully on to the next signal!

Hopefully we can double our seasons totals in one big storm, PDIII has a nice ring.

[mahk_webstah]

This is why I like living up here and this is why I like snow pack. Frankly, it’s better when the pack is only 10 to 15 inches like it is today because it’s easier to create a trail for walking.
off the back of our property I can walk about a quarter of a mile up to a hill at over 800 feet and I get this amazing view. Of course I have my constant companion with me. The zoomed in photograph to the distant area is north north east. Somewhere over there is Dendriteland and the chickens

[Modfan2]

Wow, might have gotten more snow out of the 10 min squall than I did all weekend 

[NotSureWeather]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Snowfall totals for CT, thanks to everyone for the reports. Below is our final call map which was even more conservative than our first call map, everything got pulled up and in. Overall it lines up pretty well. The 3-6" range was mostly close to the bottom end of that range for far N CT. I'll give it an A- 

I'll post the Southern New England map later on today when i finish it. 

Wow great job!

[The 4 Seasons]

CT-MA-RI snowfall totals from this event. Final call was pretty solid for this as well but way more elevation oriented. 

[Angus]

3 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Did you skin it this morning? 

Yup. I made the observation this morning on the board that I had expected more snow at Wachusett but felt like there was only 6-7" at the summit. I've only skinned 4x this year so far...Twice in December and it was depressing. The predominant sound was running water on the hill but I went last Wednesday and this morning and both times there has been snow falling and it has been quite nice.

[Damage In Tolland]

This is normal occurrence right? I mean wtf 

https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1752103523720827346?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[The 4 Seasons]

Steady light snow. Not a flake yesterday, now it snows..

[CoastalWx]

Have a coating from these weenie OE cells. 

[Hazey]

9” (23cm) final. Snow was easy to move thankfully. Finally winter again.

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

CT-MA-RI snowfall totals from this event. Final call was pretty solid for this as well but way more elevation oriented. 

Nice job! You're the go-to now.

[The 4 Seasons]

Well that was a sick squall, 34F 0.0"

[DavisStraight]

17 minutes ago, Hazey said:

9” (23cm) final. Snow was easy to move thankfully. Finally winter again.

Looking at models it did look you would get the best of it.

[dryslot]

36.70" on the season, Avg is 75", Will we get there? I ave my doubt's.