Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[UnitedWx]

54 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

So when do you think things will finally change back to snowy for us? I mean, even the 80s had some big snowstorms so something has to break right eventually, no? Maybe have to wait until next season?

That's a who knows for sure. There were a couple years in the 80s where we had like one decent storm a year and mostly nothing else like 83 and 87. I remember getting a 10 inch storm in 87 and it seeming like 2 feet. 88 through 91 there was almost nothing. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nice 3K

Diff between 3k (above) and 12k (below) is laughable

[ineedsnow]

crushed here on the RGEM

[STILL N OF PIKE]

 Now batting Reggie 

Oooo reggie

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Some impressive gradients yikes 

Power issues for 495 corridor  . Ray flickering ?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

crushed here on the RGEM

Cooled a bit from 18z, but still very warm.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Some impressive gradients yikes 

Looks like the warmest guidance places the gradient right over me.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Reggie making me wish I was still living in Pepperell.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Looks like a bit of a shift south on the 00z ICON.

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Looks like a bit of a shift south on the 00z ICON.

looks great here

[40/70 Benchmark]

33 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Some impressive gradients yikes 

Power issues for 495 corridor  . Ray flickering ?

I was so lucky that Jan 7 event flipped to powder........CF slipped through at like 430AM after about 8-9" of paste.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Let’s see if the GFS fouls another one off its nuts in the big game 

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

58 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

That's a who knows for sure. There were a couple years in the 80s where we had like one decent storm a year and mostly nothing else like 83 and 87. I remember getting a 10 inch storm in 87 and it seeming like 2 feet. 88 through 91 there was almost nothing. 

Yeah the only big ones in the 80s I can think of were April 1982, Feb 1983, Jan 1987 and Nov 1989. So if the same holds true for us now, we might only get four big ones in the 2020s also? Jan 2022 counts as one in my area.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Better WAA Thump for Most of W CT 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

Yeah the only big ones in the 80s I can think of were April 1982, Feb 1983, Jan 1987 and Nov 1989. So if the same hold true for us, we might only get four big ones in the 2020s also? Jan 2022 counts as one in my area.

March 1984, Dec 1981 for NE MA, too....Feb 1989 on the cape.

[HoarfrostHubb]

39 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

crushed here on the RGEM

Over 13” at ORH? 

[ineedsnow]

GFS looking good

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Gfs is NW a bit ( it was so far SE this was basically no shock ) not that juicy but def better than 18z for many 

[powderfreak]

42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Cooled a bit from 18z, but still very warm.

Its getting there. Dynamic cooling.

[HoarfrostHubb]

This will be a decent hit 

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

March 1984, Dec 1981 for NE MA, too....Feb 1989 on the cape.

That's right I forgot about  Dec 1981 that was another big one here. March 1984 turned to rain so we had about 3 inches of cement and yeah Feb 1989 was big on the Cape for sure.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

This will be a decent hit 

upped qpf a bit from 18z

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Still pretty crappy I’d say 

7H is closed then open and back and forth . Weak mid levels comparatively 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Still pretty crappy I’d say 

Yeah. I was hoping for a bit better. Still gets a lot of peeps warning levels. 

[ineedsnow]

I think kuchie maps are better for this 10 to 1 will be to high 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah. I was hoping for a bit better. Still gets a lot of peeps warning levels. 

I think unless 7H tightens up even a little (remains closed when passing by/ under) it will be on weaker side of guidance 

Kuchie version even keeps you at 5-6”

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I think unless 7H tightens up even a little (remains closed when passing by/ under) it will be on weaker side of guidance 

It might be the most realistic. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

4-6" in Greenfield, no school Monday for the kiddo is how I need to plan my life schedule.

I would love it if we could lean 6"-8" but need to see where dynamics and lift go for this as we get closer.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I think unless 7H tightens up even a little (remains closed when passing by/ under) it will be on weaker side of guidance 

This will go right up through 0z Sunday without setting reliable goal posts.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

It might be the most realistic. 

Possible but I don’t think I trust it here . Now if other models join sure but not currently