Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[Torch Tiger]

Pike north event, let's go! and heck of a sharp cutoff south of that!  wow

[Damage In Tolland]

Reggie colder too. 2-2 hi res 

[Spanks45]

1 minute ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

That map is exactly how the last 2 winters have gone down here....unreal and better yet the RGEM will be correct, on a clown map 48hr+....again, congrats to those north of Uptons forecast region

[weathafella]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What do the mofo’s say?

Good!

[CoastalWx]

Now that's a TIT. Tainting In Tolland.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Reggie juiced and looks similar rain/snow line to NAM.

 

Post Kuchie

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Post Kuchie

It Narcans the 10:1

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Now that's a TIT. Tainting In Tolland.

What are you thinking here at this early juncture..3-6/4-8?

[powderfreak]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Post Kuchie

Positive snow depth would probably be the best but don’t have it for Reggie.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

What are you thinking here at this early juncture..3-6/4-8?

I wouldn't go 4-8 yet. There's definitely some features that are a red flag. I would start 3-6ish. 

A BM track which normally we would all salivate on and now deal with boundary layer issues. Comical really. 

[SouthCoastMA]

8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We’ve been cooked for Ike 2 days here, I really don’t care at this point.

I do find it hilarious that a run that objectively gives Kevin little to no snow is a run he “likes”. Heavy heavy projection. 
 

This storm could produce some absolutely epic melts 

Sit back and enjoy the melts in the backdrop of a Kraft coating to inch on Monday. Bout it for us

[powderfreak]

The positive snow depth maps show the struggle is real.

Kuchie 3km

Positive Snow Depth

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I wouldn't go 4-8 yet. There's definitely some features that are a red flag. I would start 3-6ish. 

A BM track which normally we would all salivate on and now deal with boundary layer issues. Comical really. 

Yeah I suppose wise to start with the 3-6” idea. Hopefully we see the Messenger shuffle we typically see the last 24. What a winter. Nothing ever is easy .

[UnitedWx]

35 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Wha? That run neutered the entire state…

True, but doesn't matter at all. Way too early to be looking at the NAM

[8611Blizz]

Fwiw.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

To those that were waiting with bated breath, the 18z ICON tracks much the same as the 12z ICON, but with the more splotchy QPF thing going on.

[Allsnow]

2 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

To those that were waiting with bated breath, the 18z ICON tracks much the same as the 12z ICON, but with the more splotchy QPF thing going on.

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

We are just now getting toward 48 hours out for my area

still time for S stream tickles north I think 

[ma blizzard]

most paltry GFS run yet? yikes 

[CoastalWx]

Gfs is still abysmal.

[ORH_wxman]

Positive snow depth change maps are gonna be awful over interior with any elevation. It gets reasonably cold at 925. Like-2 to -3. 

[8611Blizz]

off hour shenanigans? 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Positive snow depth change maps are gonna be awful over interior with any elevation. It gets reasonably cold at 925. Like-2 to -3. 

Yeah no issues stacking at 31F or colder. 

[dryslot]

The GFS is lost.

[ORH_wxman]

GFS is still performs worse than dial-up internet era Euro in coastals. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

off hour shenanigans? 

Just a model that tends to randomly crap itself in big spots 

it’s like Jaleyn Brown trying not to commit 5 turnovers in the second half of a game 7

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah no issues stacking at 31F or colder. 

Also some of the cross-hair sigs are good in those bands. You could be rocking 15 to 1 ratios at 31-32F in that to make up for 7 to 1 ratios at beginning. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Also some of the cross-hair sigs are good in those bands. You could be rocking 15 to 1 ratios at 31-32F in that to make up for 7 to 1 ratios at beginning. 

Scott will be rocking 1:3 ratios

 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Scott will be rocking 1:3 ratios

 

We’ll rise again some day. 

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS is still performs worse than dial-up internet era Euro in coastals. 

Yeah even euro goes south, have to think it has the right idea overall. 
 

Out of the glue factory for now.