Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[dryslot]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:15 PM, Layman said:

Awesome pic!

Why does the rain look like it's falling as fluffy white stuff?

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3” of it too, Rode 100 miles tough keeping the shield clear in these conditions.

[MJO812]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:44 PM, wx2fish said:

3k looks good, pike north into SNH 

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[Damage In Tolland]

Yeah much better in N CT there. Shift south 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:46 PM, MJO812 said:

 

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And still going a little more 

[Torch Tiger]

if banding blows and precip is more showery/convective in nature, this is gonna suck for low elevations- even up here and probably beyond.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:48 PM, Torch Tiger said:

if banding blows and precip is more showery/convective in nature, this is gonna suck for low elevations- even up here and probably beyond.

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Yup 
that is the general consensus 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:47 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

And still going a little more 

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Keene snow hole in full effect on the NAM. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:33 PM, CoastalWx said:

NAM QPF is rather blotchy. Strange. Almost convective looking.

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No wedge of cold air to create a nice smooth overrunning look?

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Actually looked like the 3km might have had more to give there at the end. Anyway, tis a silly model to use at any hour let alone 60.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:47 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah much better in N CT there. Shift south 

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It’s not even 5 yet and you’re drunk.

[Kitz Craver]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:47 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah much better in N CT there. Shift south 

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Wha? That run neutered the entire state…

[Torch Tiger]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:53 PM, Kitz Craver said:

Wha? That run neutered the entire state…

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Yeah must be early IPA's, looked worse if anything

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:53 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s not even 5 yet and you’re drunk.

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The 3k. I like this area up to ORH to NW RI and NW CT.. your area 2-4 

[Layman]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:38 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Tries for the Kraft in eastern MA. It’s a little stretched out but that was close to something a lot nicer. 

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How long until this term shows up in an AFD?  This is one of those things that morphs over time and gets so far away from the original source, but is used regularly enough that everyone understands what it means.  Years from now people will be studying the genesis of the "Kraft" weather phenomenon.  I can see the dictionary entry now:

Used in a sentence:  "Eight hours into heavy snowfall I began anticipating the Kraft by disrobing and performing snow angels in my front lawn."

[SJonesWX]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

The 3k. I like this area up to ORH to NW RI and NW CT.. your area 2-4 

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how can you look at this and say that?

heavy, heavy beer.

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:46 PM, MJO812 said:

 

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[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:58 PM, SJonesWX said:

how can you look at this and say that?

heavy, heavy beer.

 

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I’m not using snow maps . The 3k did shift south . Not sure about 12k

[HinghamBoss]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:33 PM, CoastalWx said:

NAM QPF is rather blotchy. Strange. Almost convective looking.

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What's your over/under vs the 1/7 storm debacle?  I am taking the over for no other reason than hope going into the weekend lol.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/26/2024 at 8:41 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Warmer and worse than 12z. 

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Figured when Will said it was "close" to something better...usually means it blows 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/26/2024 at 9:01 PM, HinghamBoss said:

What's your over/under vs the 1/7 storm debacle?  I am taking the over for no other reason than hope going into the weekend lol.

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Well we actually do slowly cold air advect during this instead of the opposite on 1/7. But of course the airmass aloft is warmer. 

I would stay conservative with maybe 1-2 at the end for now. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/26/2024 at 9:03 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Figured when Will said it was "close" to something better...usually means it blows 

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Mid levels stretched more than Kevin's 1995 long sleeve Yankee shirt.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Think Reggie should look a little better.

 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 1/26/2024 at 9:06 PM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Think Reggie should look a little better.

 

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Or a lot.

[dendrite]

Pretty good run for interior MA/S NH there.

[CoastalWx]

Weenie band

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Actually does get a bit better in the next few frames too.

[MaineJayhawk]

  On 1/26/2024 at 9:07 PM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Or a lot.

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Not sure T-Blizz will share your enthusiasm.

 

I could be wrong.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 1/26/2024 at 9:14 PM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

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Here's the real one guys, had a little accident.

[powderfreak]

  On 1/26/2024 at 9:12 PM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Actually does get a bit better in the next few frames too.

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Reggie juiced and looks similar rain/snow line to NAM.

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/26/2024 at 9:13 PM, MaineJayhawk said:

Not sure T-Blizz will share your enthusiasm.

 

I could be wrong.

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We’ve been cooked for Ike 2 days here, I really don’t care at this point.

I do find it hilarious that a run that objectively gives Kevin little to no snow is a run he “likes”. Heavy heavy projection. 
 

This storm could produce some absolutely epic melts