Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

My attention has completely turned to whether or not someone in the state of ma will get a big enough storm to warrant a state snow day Monday 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Does do a better job bringing the goods up to my neighborhood though.

Yea, I mean across SNE....def. doesn't have the sharp cut-off.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, weathafella said:

I feel like I’m on the line between slop and ok event.

Everything but the NAM is slop. The euro produces some semblance of a CCB but it’s not for eastern ma, so it doesn’t matter 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I mean across SNE....def. doesn't have the sharp cut-off.

Definitely agree there.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

My attention has completely turned to whether or not someone in the state of ma will get a big enough storm to warrant a state snow day Monday 

I have decided I am staying home, regardless. I dealt with Wednesday's commute with that in mind.

[CoastalWx]

MId levels way north

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

MId levels way north

This is what I was saying to Kev....even more so, now.

[MJO812]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

MId levels way north

White rain for all of us.  Lete embrace it. 

[mahk_webstah]

Sometimes they show up then kinda fade  and wobble and in the end they come back.  She back?

[CoastalWx]

Models are all over still.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I like my spot as far as lower terrain goes.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

So much for the confluence....S stream FTW.

3-4” of that is from today for Concord NH to Rochester Nh into Maine and north 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Sometimes they show up then kinda fade  and wobble and in the end they come back.  She back?

We both get destroyed in the current runs of both the ICON and the UKMET, if that gives you any confidence, lol. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

3-4” of that is from today for Concord NH to Rochester Nh into Maine and north 

0.0 on my care-meter.

[40/70 Benchmark]

ICON is a toaster bath for SNE.

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

We both get destroyed in the current runs of both the ICON and the UKMET, if that gives you any confidence, lol. 

Haven’t seen them but while we sometimes lose out on the coastal, it isn’t uncommon to see the north bumps

[ORH_wxman]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

White rain for all of us.  Lete embrace it. 

No not for all of us. A significant percentage of this forum will get a real event. 

[CoastalWx]

Looks like euro tries to Kraft a bit at the end.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

10:1 map

is about same as euro…

Looks a little north of the euro. Regardless, I’m glad to see more model runs giving better QPF rates. GFS is still pretty flaccid but it will eventually cave. Bigger question is whether the northern models are too amped or not. 

[CoastalWx]

Euro looked a little slotty to the pike. Definitely shot the goods into NH.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

10:1 map

is about same as euro…

No, it isn't.

Its north of it.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, it isn't.

Its north of it.

For us 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

For us 

No..its north.

[George001]

It will come more north.

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

White rain for all of us.  Lete embrace it. 

Lol not at all . Hills will do well in general 

[40/70 Benchmark]

ICON gives me like 4" in 10:1...Euro is like 7.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like euro tries to Kraft a bit at the end.

Seeing that kink in H5 around 60h is a good thing. I think if we can see that feature continue to show up on future runs, it raises the ceiling on the event. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Seeing that kink in H5 around 60h is a good thing. I think if we can see that feature continue to show up on future runs, it raises the ceiling on the event. 

Will likes his models kinky.

[George001]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Seeing that kink in H5 around 60h is a good thing. I think if we can see that feature continue to show up on future runs, it raises the ceiling on the event. 

Realistically what’s the ceiling here? I figured with how this has evolved it’s not very high outside of the mountains.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro looked a little slotty to the pike. Definitely shot the goods into NH.

Euro looked like it was unsure on how to link the WCB/CCB…hoping to get more clarity going forward…I mean, WTF is this for the 6-hourly QPF map? Looks like convective cells training