Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I wasn’t deflating, but it doesn’t seem to have that big thumping precip shield that’s widespread. Hopefully it changes on modeling.You’ll probably get at least 3-6 anyways. Maybe you’ll creep to 20” on the season. 

Just sittin’ here creepin’

[CoastalWx]

Funny how the cold disappeared and the “CCB” is basically hoping to flip to paste around here.  We’ll need to really get the meat like the nam shows otherwise it’s a couple of inches of slop perhaps. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Just sittin’ here creepin’

You’ll be ok I think. 

[SouthCoastMA]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Funny how the cold disappeared and the “CCB” is basically hoping to flip to paste around here.  We’ll need to really get the meat like the nam shows otherwise it’s a couple of inches of slop perhaps. 

The RGEM is about as bad as it gets. Hope the NAM has a clue

[The 4 Seasons]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Funny how the cold disappeared and the “CCB” is basically hoping to flip to paste around here.  We’ll need to really get the meat like the nam shows otherwise it’s a couple of inches of slop perhaps. 

you hope.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Funny how the cold disappeared and the “CCB” is basically hoping to flip to paste around here.  We’ll need to really get the meat like the nam shows otherwise it’s a couple of inches of slop perhaps. 

This will probably be my last post in this thread, because I refuse to chase ghosts for the 15th time in the last 2 years, but this threat was over around here as soon as we started to lose that cold drain.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

17 minutes ago, tunafish said:

The spamming of clown maps the last 3 pages is sure something.  Borderline unreadable in here.

Star boy...  sometimes less is more.

 

[SouthCoastMA]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This will probably be my last post in this thread, because I refuse to chase ghosts for the 15th time in the last 2 years, but this threat was over around here as soon as we started to lose that cold drain.

yeah it looked good temporarily in the 108-120 hour range but could see the writing on the wall with the trends overnight yesterday. Also the storm isn't as strong so we're not getting a huge ccb that would help the temps crash.  There's always the NAM /s

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

1 hour ago, tunafish said:

The spamming of clown maps the last 3 pages is sure something.  Borderline unreadable in here.

Star boy...  sometimes less is more.

Sorry, used to do data analysis. I want all the data displayed, lol. I'll calm it down for you folks if that's preferred. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Where’s Wizzy? 

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This will probably be my last post in this thread, because I refuse to chase ghosts for the 15th time in the last 2 years, but this threat was over around here as soon as we started to lose that cold drain.

You’ll chase 

[Patrick-02540]

11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This will probably be my last post in this thread, because I refuse to chase ghosts for the 15th time in the last 2 years, but this threat was over around here as soon as we started to lose that cold drain.

Yeah.  I'm about ready for summer in Falmouth.  Lobsters rolls and sandy holes.  

[gonegalt]

Great, now no one is gonna dare post maps for a while.

[ORH_wxman]

I’d feel pretty good for ORH county getting decent snow….495 belt is prob decent as well but a bit more uncertain due to elevation not being as high. 
 

Kevins area is also a bit more uncertain but due to midlevel temps rather than elevation. 

[tunafish]

17 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Sorry, used to to data analysis. I want all the data displayed, lol. I'll calm it down for you folks if that's preferred. 

I appreciate the excitement and love for data - I am right there with you.  The barrage of maps was a lot, is all.

 

13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Where’s Wizzy? 

See the banter thread, he posted about losing some loved ones this week.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

19 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Sorry, used to to data analysis. I want all the data displayed, lol. I'll calm it down for you folks if that's preferred. 

This is Amerika gosh darnit. Be you.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’d feel pretty good for ORH county getting decent snow….495 belt is prob decent as well but a bit more uncertain due to elevation not being as high. 
 

Kevins area is also a bit more uncertain but due to midlevel temps rather than elevation. 

Glad he kept his pants on so far 

Do models typically get a good handle on confluence by 72 hours , and is it now more about Perturbations in W coast ridging and SW strength that determines mid level track / temps or do we know exactly which is weighing more 

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, tunafish said:

I appreciate the excitement and love for data - I am right there with you.  The barrage of maps was a lot, is all.

 

See the banter thread, he posted about losing some loved ones this week.

Ugh painful. Glad HE is ok though. 

[Prismshine Productions]

6z EPS

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[STILL N OF PIKE]

WPC best 4” probs are still over Catskills , berks and N orh county and made a modest (20 mile or so shift north ) into S Monads as well 

As is the case with 95% of our systems last two winters , elevation and being away from coast is favored and ratios will be dicey to determine for CP 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

4 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

6z EPS

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

Do you have the kuchie sir for the coastal plain 

[Typhoon Tip]

Probably take 1/2 to may 2/3rds of that 06z Euro snow product there ... No qualms with 'where' ... but 10::1 seems a stretch in these thermals

[Damage In Tolland]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’d feel pretty good for ORH county getting decent snow….495 belt is prob decent as well but a bit more uncertain due to elevation not being as high. 
 

Kevins area is also a bit more uncertain but due to midlevel temps rather than elevation. 

Cautiously optimistic.  I was feeling decent but these posts have me wringing hands and gnashing teeth. 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Prismshine Productions, when you start posting maps right after I get chastised for it, it doesn't help the narrative that we're not the same person, haha!

[Sey-Mour Snow]

11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Probably take 1/2 to may 2/3rds of that 06z Euro snow product there ... No qualms with 'where' ... but 10::1 seems a stretch in these thermals

Yes, this seems much more realistic to me .. the snow in NNE is from today .. matches up with our map pretty well too ..

[The 4 Seasons]

First call. Will issue an update tomorrow sometime. Starting to think even this is a bit bullish. Up and in and the hills look best for this atm.

BOX/OKX is extremely conservative with their maps but i have a feeling they'll tick up. 

 

 

 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

First call. Will issue an update tomorrow sometime. Starting to think even this is a bit bullish. Up and in and the hills look best for this atm.

BOX/OKX is extremely conservative with their maps but i have a feeling they'll tick up. 

 

 

 

I’ll take 1-3”. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

On 1/23/2024 at 11:20 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Exactly and with a crap airmass…I’m not excited for us. 

 

On 1/23/2024 at 3:02 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Would not be shocked if this did a north shuffle. 

 

On 1/23/2024 at 3:16 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Oh it will. Don’t be shocked, expect it. 

Going as planned…

[WinterWolf]

Wasn’t today rumored to be 60 plus 5 -7 days ago. ?  What happened? 

[dryslot]

Ha it’s ticking north, Shocking.